IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/gam/jijerp/v19y2022i2p743-d721466.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Analysis of the Water Demand-Supply Gap and Scarcity Index in Lower Amu Darya River Basin, Central Asia

Author

Listed:
  • Zheng Wang

    (State Key Laboratory of Desert and Oasis Ecology, Xinjiang Institute of Ecology and Geography, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Urumqi 830011, China
    State Key Laboratory of Remote Sensing and Geographic Information System Application, Urumqi 830011, China
    University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100049, China)

  • Yue Huang

    (State Key Laboratory of Desert and Oasis Ecology, Xinjiang Institute of Ecology and Geography, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Urumqi 830011, China
    State Key Laboratory of Remote Sensing and Geographic Information System Application, Urumqi 830011, China
    Research Center for Ecology and Environment of Central Asia, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Urumqi 830011, China
    China-Pakistan Joint Research Center on Earth Sciences, CAS-HEC, Islamabad 45320, Pakistan)

  • Tie Liu

    (State Key Laboratory of Desert and Oasis Ecology, Xinjiang Institute of Ecology and Geography, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Urumqi 830011, China
    State Key Laboratory of Remote Sensing and Geographic Information System Application, Urumqi 830011, China
    Research Center for Ecology and Environment of Central Asia, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Urumqi 830011, China
    China-Pakistan Joint Research Center on Earth Sciences, CAS-HEC, Islamabad 45320, Pakistan)

  • Chanjuan Zan

    (State Key Laboratory of Desert and Oasis Ecology, Xinjiang Institute of Ecology and Geography, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Urumqi 830011, China
    State Key Laboratory of Remote Sensing and Geographic Information System Application, Urumqi 830011, China
    University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100049, China)

  • Yunan Ling

    (State Key Laboratory of Desert and Oasis Ecology, Xinjiang Institute of Ecology and Geography, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Urumqi 830011, China
    State Key Laboratory of Remote Sensing and Geographic Information System Application, Urumqi 830011, China
    University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100049, China)

  • Chenyu Guo

    (State Key Laboratory of Desert and Oasis Ecology, Xinjiang Institute of Ecology and Geography, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Urumqi 830011, China
    State Key Laboratory of Remote Sensing and Geographic Information System Application, Urumqi 830011, China
    University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100049, China)

Abstract

Lower reaches of the Amu Darya River Basin (LADB) is one of the typical regions which is facing the problem of water shortage in Central Asia. During the past decades, water resources demand far exceeds that supplied by the mainstream of the Amu Darya River, and has resulted in a continuous decrease in the amount of water flowing into the Aral Sea. Clarifying the dynamic relationship between the water supply and demand is important for the optimal allocation and sustainable management of regional water resources. In this study, the relationship and its variations between the water supply and demand in the LADB from the 1970s to 2010s were analyzed by detailed calculation of multi-users water demand and multi-sources water supply, and the water scarcity indices were used for evaluating the status of water resources utilization. The results indicated that (1) during the past 50 years, the average total water supply (TWS) was 271.88 × 10 8 m 3 /y, and the average total water demand (TWD) was 467.85 × 10 8 m 3 /y; both the volume of water supply and demand was decreased in the LADB, with rates of −1.87 × 10 8 m 3 /y and −15.59 × 10 8 m 3 /y. (2) percentages of the rainfall in TWS were increased due to the decrease of inflow from the Amu Darya River; percentage of agriculture water demand was increased obviously, from 11.04% in the 1970s to 44.34% in 2010s, and the water demand from ecological sector reduced because of the Aral Sea shrinking. (3) the supply and demand of water resources of the LADB were generally in an unbalanced state, and water demand exceeded water supply except in the 2010s; the water scarcity index decreased from 2.69 to 0.94, indicating the status changed from awful to serious water scarcity. A vulnerable balanced state has been reached in the region, and that water shortages remain serious in the future, which requires special attention to the decision-makers of the authority.

Suggested Citation

  • Zheng Wang & Yue Huang & Tie Liu & Chanjuan Zan & Yunan Ling & Chenyu Guo, 2022. "Analysis of the Water Demand-Supply Gap and Scarcity Index in Lower Amu Darya River Basin, Central Asia," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 19(2), pages 1-18, January.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jijerp:v:19:y:2022:i:2:p:743-:d:721466
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/1660-4601/19/2/743/pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/1660-4601/19/2/743/
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Malin Falkenmark & Jan Lundqvist & Carl Widstrand, 1989. "Macro‐scale water scarcity requires micro‐scale approaches," Natural Resources Forum, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 13(4), pages 258-267, November.
    2. Moseki, Ofentse & Murray-Hudson, Michael & Kashe, Keotshephile, 2019. "Crop water and irrigation requirements of Jatropha curcas L. in semi-arid conditions of Botswana: applying the CROPWAT model," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 225(C).
    3. C.A. Sullivan & J.R. Meigh & A.M. Giacomello, 2003. "The Water Poverty Index: Development and application at the community scale," Natural Resources Forum, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 27(3), pages 189-199, August.
    4. Chen, Dengshuai & Li, Jing & Yang, Xiaonan & Zhou, Zixiang & Pan, Yuqi & Li, Manchun, 2020. "Quantifying water provision service supply, demand and spatial flow for land use optimization: A case study in the YanHe watershed," Ecosystem Services, Elsevier, vol. 43(C).
    5. Sun, J. & Li, Y.P. & Suo, C. & Liu, Y.R., 2019. "Impacts of irrigation efficiency on agricultural water-land nexus system management under multiple uncertainties—A case study in Amu Darya River basin, Central Asia," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 216(C), pages 76-88.
    6. Li, Zhi & Fang, Gonghuan & Chen, Yaning & Duan, Weili & Mukanov, Yerbolat, 2020. "Agricultural water demands in Central Asia under 1.5 °C and 2.0 °C global warming," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 231(C).
    7. Rahimzadegan, Majid & Janani, AdelehalSadat, 2019. "Estimating evapotranspiration of pistachio crop based on SEBAL algorithm using Landsat 8 satellite imagery," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 217(C), pages 383-390.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Badir S. Alsaeed & Dexter V. L. Hunt & Soroosh Sharifi, 2022. "Sustainable Water Resources Management Assessment Frameworks (SWRM-AF) for Arid and Semi-Arid Regions: A Systematic Review," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(22), pages 1-31, November.
    2. Yun Ding & Shiqi Zhang & Ruifan Xu & Yuan Gao & Hao Ding & Pengfei Sun & Wenxin Liu, 2023. "The Coupling Coordination Measurement, Spatio-Temporal Differentiation and Driving Mechanism of Urban and Rural Water Poverty in Northwest China," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 20(3), pages 1-23, January.
    3. Ran Zhu & Yiping Fang, 2022. "Application of a Water Supply-Demand Balance Model to Set Priorities for Improvements in Water Supply Systems: A Case Study from the Koshi River Basin, Nepal," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 19(3), pages 1-16, January.
    4. Changchang Liu & Chuxiong Deng & Zhongwu Li & Yaojun Liu & Shuyuan Wang, 2022. "Optimization of Spatial Pattern of Land Use: Progress, Frontiers, and Prospects," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 19(10), pages 1-22, May.
    5. Wenxin Liu & Minjuan Zhao & Yu Cai & Rui Wang & Weinan Lu, 2019. "Synergetic Relationship between Urban and Rural Water Poverty: Evidence from Northwest China," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 16(9), pages 1-22, May.
    6. Badir S. Alsaeed & Dexter V. L. Hunt & Soroosh Sharifi, 2024. "A Sustainable Water Resources Management Assessment Framework (SWRM-AF) for Arid and Semi-Arid Regions—Part 1: Developing the Conceptual Framework," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 16(7), pages 1-43, March.
    7. Zuo, Qiting & Wu, Qingsong & Yu, Lei & Li, Yongping & Fan, Yurui, 2021. "Optimization of uncertain agricultural management considering the framework of water, energy and food," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 253(C).
    8. Hipólito-Valencia, Brígido J. & Mosqueda-Jiménez, Francisco Waldemar & Barajas-Fernández, Juan & Ponce-Ortega, José M., 2021. "Incorporating a seawater desalination scheme in the optimal water use in agricultural activities," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 244(C).
    9. Hassan Tolba Aboelnga & Lars Ribbe & Franz-Bernd Frechen & Jamal Saghir, 2019. "Urban Water Security: Definition and Assessment Framework," Resources, MDPI, vol. 8(4), pages 1-19, November.
    10. Nouri, Milad & Homaee, Mehdi & Pereira, Luis S. & Bybordi, Mohammad, 2023. "Water management dilemma in the agricultural sector of Iran: A review focusing on water governance," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 288(C).
    11. Anderson, Heather K. & Price, Heather & Staddon, Sam, 2023. "Water poverty in a ‘Hydro Nation’: Exploring distributional and recognitional water injustice in Scotland," Utilities Policy, Elsevier, vol. 85(C).
    12. Simon Meißner, 2021. "The Impact of Metal Mining on Global Water Stress and Regional Carrying Capacities—A GIS-Based Water Impact Assessment," Resources, MDPI, vol. 10(12), pages 1-34, November.
    13. Tianlin Zhai & Linke Wu & Yuanmeng Chen & Mian Faisal Nazir & Mingyuan Chang & Yuanbo Ma & Enxiang Cai & Guanyu Ding & Chenchen Zhao & Ling Li & Longyang Huang, 2022. "Ecological Compensation in the Context of Carbon Neutrality: A Case Involving Service Production-Transmission and Distribution-Service Consumption," Land, MDPI, vol. 11(12), pages 1-18, December.
    14. Fei, Rilong & Lin, Ziyi & Chunga, Joseph, 2021. "How land transfer affects agricultural land use efficiency: Evidence from China’s agricultural sector," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 103(C).
    15. Sabzchi-Dehkharghani, Hamed & Nazemi, Amir Hossein & Sadraddini, Ali Ashraf & Majnooni-Heris, Abolfazl & Biswas, Asim, 2021. "Recognition of different yield potentials among rain-fed wheat fields before harvest using remote sensing," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 245(C).
    16. Ionuț Minea & Marina Iosub & Daniel Boicu, 2020. "Groundwater Resources from Eastern Romania under Human and Climatic Pressure," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(24), pages 1-16, December.
    17. Xuan, Wang & Quan, Cui & Shuyi, Li, 2012. "An optimal water allocation model based on water resources security assessment and its application in Zhangjiakou Region, northern China," Resources, Conservation & Recycling, Elsevier, vol. 69(C), pages 57-65.
    18. Lima, Carlos Eduardo Santos de & Costa, Valéria Sandra de Oliveira & Galvíncio, Josiclêda Domiciano & Silva, Richarde Marques da & Santos, Celso Augusto Guimarães, 2021. "Assessment of automated evapotranspiration estimates obtained using the GP-SEBAL algorithm for dry forest vegetation (Caatinga) and agricultural areas in the Brazilian semiarid region," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 250(C).
    19. Chao Bao & Dongmei He, 2019. "Scenario Modeling of Urbanization Development and Water Scarcity Based on System Dynamics: A Case Study of Beijing–Tianjin–Hebei Urban Agglomeration, China," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 16(20), pages 1-19, October.
    20. Ruan, Hongwei & Yu, Jingjie & Wang, Ping & Hao, Lingang & Wang, Zhenlong, 2023. "Relieving water stress by optimizing crop structure is a practicable approach in arid transboundary rivers of Central Asia," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 275(C).

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:gam:jijerp:v:19:y:2022:i:2:p:743-:d:721466. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: MDPI Indexing Manager (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.mdpi.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.