Measurement and Impact of Longevity Risk in Portfolios of Pension Annuity: The Case in Sub Saharan Africa
Author
Abstract
Suggested Citation
Download full text from publisher
References listed on IDEAS
- Ayuso, Mercedes & Bravo, Jorge M. & Holzmann, Robert, 2021.
"Getting life expectancy estimates right for pension policy: period versus cohort approach,"
Journal of Pension Economics and Finance, Cambridge University Press, vol. 20(2), pages 212-231, April.
- Mercedes Ayuso & Jorge Miguel Bravo & Robert Holzman, 2018. "Getting Life Expectancy Estimates Right for Pension Policy: Period versus Cohort Approach," CESifo Working Paper Series 7349, CESifo.
- Ayuso, Mercedes & Bravo, Jorge Miguel & Holzmann, Robert, 2018. "Getting Life Expectancy Estimates Right for Pension Policy: Period versus Cohort Approach," IZA Discussion Papers 11512, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
- Georgina Onuma Kalu & Chinemerem Dennis Ikpe & Benjamin Ifeanyichukwu Oruh & Samuel Asante Gyamerah, 2020. "State Space Vasicek Model of a Longevity Bond," Papers 2011.12753, arXiv.org.
- Pablo Antolin, 2007.
"Longevity Risk and Private Pensions,"
Financial Market Trends, OECD Publishing, vol. 2007(1), pages 107-128.
- Pablo Antolín, 2007. "Longevity Risk and Private Pensions," OECD Working Papers on Insurance and Private Pensions 3, OECD Publishing.
- Zhou, Kenneth Q. & Li, Johnny Siu-Hang, 2020. "Asymmetry in mortality volatility and its implications on index-based longevity hedging," Annals of Actuarial Science, Cambridge University Press, vol. 14(2), pages 278-301, September.
- Kurtbegu, Enareta, 2018. "Replicating intergenerational longevity risk sharing in collective defined contribution pension plans using financial markets," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 78(C), pages 286-300.
- Andrew Cairns & David Blake & Kevin Dowd & Guy Coughlan & David Epstein & Alen Ong & Igor Balevich, 2009. "A Quantitative Comparison of Stochastic Mortality Models Using Data From England and Wales and the United States," North American Actuarial Journal, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 13(1), pages 1-35.
- Diebold, Francis X & Mariano, Roberto S, 2002.
"Comparing Predictive Accuracy,"
Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 20(1), pages 134-144, January.
- Diebold, Francis X & Mariano, Roberto S, 1995. "Comparing Predictive Accuracy," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 13(3), pages 253-263, July.
- Francis X. Diebold & Roberto S. Mariano, 1994. "Comparing Predictive Accuracy," NBER Technical Working Papers 0169, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Emilio Bisetti & Carlo Favero, 2014.
"Measuring the Impact of Longevity Risk on Pension Systems: The Case of Italy,"
North American Actuarial Journal, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 18(1), pages 87-103.
- Emilio Bisetti & Carlo A. Favero, 2012. "Measuring the Impact of Longevity Risk on Pension Systems: The Case of Italy," Working Papers 439, IGIER (Innocenzo Gasparini Institute for Economic Research), Bocconi University.
- Jie Wen & Torsten Kleinow & Andrew J. G. Cairns, 2020. "Trends in Canadian Mortality by Pension Level: Evidence from the CPP and QPP," North American Actuarial Journal, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 24(4), pages 533-561, October.
- Hári, Norbert & De Waegenaere, Anja & Melenberg, Bertrand & Nijman, Theo E., 2008. "Longevity risk in portfolios of pension annuities," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 42(2), pages 505-519, April.
- Chih-Kai Chang & Jack C. Yue & Chian-Jing Chen & Yen-Wen Chen, 2021. "Mortality Differential and Social Insurance: A Case Study in Taiwan," North American Actuarial Journal, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 25(S1), pages 582-592, February.
- Renshaw, A.E. & Haberman, S., 2006. "A cohort-based extension to the Lee-Carter model for mortality reduction factors," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 38(3), pages 556-570, June.
- Andrew J. G. Cairns & David Blake & Kevin Dowd, 2006. "A Two‐Factor Model for Stochastic Mortality with Parameter Uncertainty: Theory and Calibration," Journal of Risk & Insurance, The American Risk and Insurance Association, vol. 73(4), pages 687-718, December.
- Carter, Lawrence R. & Lee, Ronald D., 1992. "Modeling and forecasting US sex differentials in mortality," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 8(3), pages 393-411, November.
- Amy Kessler, 2021. "New Solutions to an Age-Old Problem: Innovative Strategies for Managing Pension and Longevity Risk," North American Actuarial Journal, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 25(S1), pages 7-24, February.
- Broeders, Dirk & Mehlkopf, Roel & van Ool, Annick, 2021. "The economics of sharing macro-longevity risk," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 99(C), pages 440-458.
Citations
Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
Cited by:
- Tathiana M. Barchi & João Lucas Ferreira dos Santos & Priscilla Bassetto & Henrique Nazário Rocha & Sergio L. Stevan & Fernanda Cristina Correa & Yslene Rocha Kachba & Hugo Valadares Siqueira, 2024. "Comparative Analysis of Linear Models and Artificial Neural Networks for Sugar Price Prediction," FinTech, MDPI, vol. 3(1), pages 1-20, March.
Most related items
These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.- Blake, David & Cairns, Andrew J.G., 2021. "Longevity risk and capital markets: The 2019-20 update," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 99(C), pages 395-439.
- Helena Chuliá & Montserrat Guillén & Jorge M. Uribe, 2015. "Mortality and Longevity Risks in the United Kingdom: Dynamic Factor Models and Copula-Functions," Working Papers 2015-03, Universitat de Barcelona, UB Riskcenter.
- Yang, Sharon S. & Yue, Jack C. & Huang, Hong-Chih, 2010. "Modeling longevity risks using a principal component approach: A comparison with existing stochastic mortality models," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 46(1), pages 254-270, February.
- Blake, David & El Karoui, Nicole & Loisel, Stéphane & MacMinn, Richard, 2018.
"Longevity risk and capital markets: The 2015–16 update,"
Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 78(C), pages 157-173.
- David Blake & Nicole El Karoui & Stéphane Loisel & Richard Macminn, 2018. "Longevity risk and capital markets: The 2015–16 update," Post-Print hal-01995778, HAL.
- Bravo, Jorge M. & Ayuso, Mercedes & Holzmann, Robert & Palmer, Edward, 2021. "Addressing the life expectancy gap in pension policy," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 99(C), pages 200-221.
- Rachel WINGENBACH & Jong-Min KIM & Hojin JUNG, 2020. "Living Longer in High Longevity Risk," JODE - Journal of Demographic Economics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 86(1), pages 47-86, March.
- Mercedes Ayuso & Jorge M. Bravo & Robert Holzmann & Edward Palmer, 2021. "Automatic Indexation of the Pension Age to Life Expectancy: When Policy Design Matters," Risks, MDPI, vol. 9(5), pages 1-28, May.
- Bravo, Jorge M. & Ayuso, Mercedes & Holzmann, Robert & Palmer, Edward, 2023.
"Intergenerational actuarial fairness when longevity increases: Amending the retirement age,"
Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 113(C), pages 161-184.
- Jorge Miguel Bravo & Mercedes Ayuso & Robert Holzmann & Edward Palmer, 2021. "Intergenerational Actuarial Fairness when Longevity Increases: Amending the Retirement Age," CESifo Working Paper Series 9408, CESifo.
- Karim Barigou & Stéphane Loisel & Yahia Salhi, 2020. "Parsimonious Predictive Mortality Modeling by Regularization and Cross-Validation with and without Covid-Type Effect," Risks, MDPI, vol. 9(1), pages 1-18, December.
- Li, Johnny Siu-Hang, 2010. "Pricing longevity risk with the parametric bootstrap: A maximum entropy approach," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 47(2), pages 176-186, October.
- Katrien Antonio & Anastasios Bardoutsos & Wilbert Ouburg, 2015.
"Bayesian Poisson log-bilinear models for mortality projections with multiple populations,"
Working Papers Department of Accountancy, Finance and Insurance (AFI), Leuven
485564, KU Leuven, Faculty of Economics and Business (FEB), Department of Accountancy, Finance and Insurance (AFI), Leuven.
- Katrien Antonio & Anastasios Bardoutsos & Wilbert Ouburg, 2015. "Bayesian Poisson log-bilinear models for mortality projections with multiple populations," BAFFI CAREFIN Working Papers 1505, BAFFI CAREFIN, Centre for Applied Research on International Markets Banking Finance and Regulation, Universita' Bocconi, Milano, Italy.
- D’Amato, Valeria & Di Lorenzo, Emilia & Haberman, Steven & Sagoo, Pretty & Sibillo, Marilena, 2018. "De-risking strategy: Longevity spread buy-in," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 79(C), pages 124-136.
- Leung, Melvern & Li, Youwei & Pantelous, Athanasios A. & Vigne, Samuel A., 2021.
"Bayesian Value-at-Risk backtesting: The case of annuity pricing,"
European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 293(2), pages 786-801.
- Leung, Melvern & Li, Youwei & Pantelous, Athanasios & Vigne, Samuel, 2019. "Bayesian Value-at-Risk Backtesting: The Case of Annuity Pricing," MPRA Paper 101698, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Wang, Chou-Wen & Huang, Hong-Chih & Hong, De-Chuan, 2013. "A feasible natural hedging strategy for insurance companies," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 52(3), pages 532-541.
- Dowd, Kevin & Cairns, Andrew J.G. & Blake, David & Coughlan, Guy D. & Epstein, David & Khalaf-Allah, Marwa, 2010. "Evaluating the goodness of fit of stochastic mortality models," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 47(3), pages 255-265, December.
- Alonso, Pablo J., 2015. "Hierarchical Lee-Carter model estimation through data cloning applied to demographically linked countries," DES - Working Papers. Statistics and Econometrics. WS ws1510, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid. Departamento de EstadÃstica.
- Basellini, Ugofilippo & Camarda, Carlo Giovanni & Booth, Heather, 2023. "Thirty years on: A review of the Lee–Carter method for forecasting mortality," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 39(3), pages 1033-1049.
- Ugofilippo Basellini & Søren Kjærgaard & Carlo Giovanni Camarda, 2020. "An age-at-death distribution approach to forecast cohort mortality," Working Papers axafx5_3agsuwaphvlfk, French Institute for Demographic Studies.
- Man Chung Fung & Gareth W. Peters & Pavel V. Shevchenko, 2016. "A unified approach to mortality modelling using state-space framework: characterisation, identification, estimation and forecasting," Papers 1605.09484, arXiv.org.
- Jackie Li & Atsuyuki Kogure, 2021. "Bayesian Mixture Modelling for Mortality Projection," Risks, MDPI, vol. 9(4), pages 1-12, April.
More about this item
Keywords
stochastic mortality model; actuarial ratemaking; mortality forecasting; longevity risk; pension management; Lee–Carter model;All these keywords.
Statistics
Access and download statisticsCorrections
All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:gam:jfinte:v:2:y:2023:i:1:p:4-67:d:1034833. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.
If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.
If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .
If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.
For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: MDPI Indexing Manager (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.mdpi.com .
Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.