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Reliability Model of Battery Energy Storage Cooperating with Prosumer PV Installations

Author

Listed:
  • Magdalena Bartecka

    (Institute of Electrical Power Engineering, Warsaw University of Technology, ul. Koszykowa 75, 00-662 Warsaw, Poland)

  • Piotr Marchel

    (Institute of Electrical Power Engineering, Warsaw University of Technology, ul. Koszykowa 75, 00-662 Warsaw, Poland)

  • Krzysztof Zagrajek

    (Institute of Electrical Power Engineering, Warsaw University of Technology, ul. Koszykowa 75, 00-662 Warsaw, Poland)

  • Mirosław Lewandowski

    (Institute of Electrical Power Engineering, Warsaw University of Technology, ul. Koszykowa 75, 00-662 Warsaw, Poland)

  • Mariusz Kłos

    (Institute of Electrical Power Engineering, Warsaw University of Technology, ul. Koszykowa 75, 00-662 Warsaw, Poland)

Abstract

The energy transition toward low-carbon electricity systems has resulted in a steady increase in RESs. The expansion of RESs has been accompanied by a growing number of energy storage systems (ESSs) that smooth the demand curve or improve power quality. However, in order to investigate ESS benefits, it is necessary to determine their reliability. This article proposes a four-state reliability model of a battery ESS operating with a PV system for low-voltage grid end users: households and offices. The model assumes an integration scenario of an ESS and a PV system to maximize autoconsumption and determine generation reliability related to energy availability. The paper uses a simulation approach and proposes many variants of power source and storage capacity. Formulas to calculate the reliability parameters—the intensity of transition λ , resident time T i , or stationary probabilities—are provided. The results show that increasing the BESS capacity above 80% of daily energy consumption does not improve the availability probability, but it may lead to an unnecessary cost increase; doubling the PV system capacity results in a decrease in the unavailability probability by almost half. The analysis of the results by season shows that it is impossible to achieve a high level of BESS reliability in winter in temperate climates.

Suggested Citation

  • Magdalena Bartecka & Piotr Marchel & Krzysztof Zagrajek & Mirosław Lewandowski & Mariusz Kłos, 2024. "Reliability Model of Battery Energy Storage Cooperating with Prosumer PV Installations," Energies, MDPI, vol. 17(23), pages 1-23, November.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jeners:v:17:y:2024:i:23:p:5839-:d:1526526
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    References listed on IDEAS

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