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Partial Cointegrated Vector Autoregressive Models with Structural Breaks in Deterministic Terms

Author

Listed:
  • Takamitsu Kurita

    (Faculty of Economics, Fukuoka University, 8-19-1, Nanakuma, Jonan-ku, Fukuoka 814-0180, Japan
    These authors contributed equally to this work.)

  • Bent Nielsen

    (Department of Economics and Program for Economic Modelling, University of Oxford & Nuffield College, Oxford OX1 1NF, UK
    These authors contributed equally to this work.)

Abstract

This paper proposes a class of partial cointegrated models allowing for structural breaks in the deterministic terms. Moving-average representations of the models are given. It is then shown that, under the assumption of martingale difference innovations, the limit distributions of partial quasi-likelihood ratio tests for cointegrating rank have a close connection to those for standard full models. This connection facilitates a response surface analysis that is required to extract critical information about moments from large-scale simulation studies. An empirical illustration of the proposed methodology is also provided.

Suggested Citation

  • Takamitsu Kurita & Bent Nielsen, 2019. "Partial Cointegrated Vector Autoregressive Models with Structural Breaks in Deterministic Terms," Econometrics, MDPI, vol. 7(4), pages 1-35, October.
  • Handle: RePEc:gam:jecnmx:v:7:y:2019:i:4:p:42-:d:273844
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    8. repec:bla:jecsur:v:12:y:1998:i:5:p:533-72 is not listed on IDEAS
    9. Søren Johansen & Rocco Mosconi & Bent Nielsen, 2000. "Cointegration analysis in the presence of structural breaks in the deterministic trend," Econometrics Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 3(2), pages 216-249.
    10. Cavaliere, Giuseppe & Rahbek, Anders & Taylor, A.M. Robert, 2010. "Cointegration Rank Testing Under Conditional Heteroskedasticity," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 26(6), pages 1719-1760, December.
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    Cited by:

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    2. Rocco Mosconi & Paolo Paruolo, 2022. "Celebrated Econometricians: Katarina Juselius and Søren Johansen," Econometrics, MDPI, vol. 10(2), pages 1-4, May.
    3. Marit Gjelsvik & Ragnar Nymoen & Victoria Sparrman, 2020. "Cointegration and Structure in Norwegian Wage–Price Dynamics," Econometrics, MDPI, vol. 8(3), pages 1-15, July.
    4. Takamitsu Kurita & Patrick James, 2022. "The Canadian–US dollar exchange rate over the four decades of the post‐Bretton Woods float: An econometric study allowing for structural breaks," Metroeconomica, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 73(3), pages 856-883, July.
    5. Castle, Jennifer L. & Kurita, Takamitsu, 2021. "A dynamic econometric analysis of the dollar-pound exchange rate in an era of structural breaks and policy regime shifts," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 128(C).
    6. Jennifer Castle & Takamitsu Kurita, 2022. "Structural relationships between cryptocurrency prices and monetary policy indicators," Economics Series Working Papers 972, University of Oxford, Department of Economics.

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