IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/transa/v94y2016icp461-469.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

The Northern Sea Route competitiveness for oil tankers

Author

Listed:
  • Faury, Olivier
  • Cariou, Pierre

Abstract

This article proposes a decision model for a ship-owner who contemplates the benefits of sailing north via the Northern Sea Route (NSR) or south via the Suez Canal Route (SCR) when transporting oil products from Russia to Asia. The decision is based on potential cost and transit time savings that change on a monthly basis according to sailing conditions and the area along the NSR. This study is applied to a 1A Ice-Class Panamax tanker vessel sailing through the NSR compared to a Panamax tanker vessel sailing through the SCR. It concludes that the NSR provides a competitive advantage in the months from August to November when conservative assumptions on ice conditions (higher bound) are considered for the level of ice thickness encountered along the route and from July to November when a lower bound is assumed.

Suggested Citation

  • Faury, Olivier & Cariou, Pierre, 2016. "The Northern Sea Route competitiveness for oil tankers," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 94(C), pages 461-469.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:transa:v:94:y:2016:i:c:p:461-469
    DOI: 10.1016/j.tra.2016.09.026
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0965856415302421
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.tra.2016.09.026?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Pierre Cariou & Olivier Faury, 2015. "Relevance of the Northern Sea Route (NSR) for bulk shipping," Post-Print hal-02077034, HAL.
    2. Scott Stephenson & Laurence Smith & Lawson Brigham & John Agnew, 2013. "Projected 21st-century changes to Arctic marine access," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 118(3), pages 885-899, June.
    3. Hua Xu & Zhifang Yin & Dashan Jia & Fengjun Jin & Hua Ouyang, 2011. "The potential seasonal alternative of Asia--Europe container service via Northern sea route under the Arctic sea ice retreat," Maritime Policy & Management, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 38(5), pages 541-560, April.
    4. Wang, Shuaian & Meng, Qiang, 2012. "Sailing speed optimization for container ships in a liner shipping network," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 48(3), pages 701-714.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Joseph, Lambert & Giles, Thomas & Nishatabbas, Rehmatulla & Tristan, Smith, 2021. "A techno-economic environmental cost model for Arctic shipping," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 151(C), pages 28-51.
    2. Kandel, Rajesh & Baroud, Hiba, 2024. "A data-driven risk assessment of Arctic maritime incidents: Using machine learning to predict incident types and identify risk factors," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 243(C).
    3. Wang, Hua & Zhang, Yiru & Meng, Qiang, 2018. "How will the opening of the Northern Sea Route influence the Suez Canal Route? An empirical analysis with discrete choice models," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 107(C), pages 75-89.
    4. Zheng Wan & Jiawei Ge & Jihong Chen, 2018. "Energy-Saving Potential and an Economic Feasibility Analysis for an Arctic Route between Shanghai and Rotterdam: Case Study from China’s Largest Container Sea Freight Operator," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(4), pages 1-13, March.
    5. Theocharis, Dimitrios & Rodrigues, Vasco Sanchez & Pettit, Stephen & Haider, Jane, 2019. "Feasibility of the Northern Sea Route: The role of distance, fuel prices, ice breaking fees and ship size for the product tanker market," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 129(C), pages 111-135.
    6. Laurent Fedi & Olivier Faury & Laurent Etienne & Ali Cheaitou & Patrick Rigot-Muller, 2024. "Application of the IMO taxonomy on casualty investigation: Analysis of 20 years of marine accidents along the North-East Passage," Post-Print hal-04483233, HAL.
    7. Benz, Lukas & Münch, Christopher & Hartmann, Evi, 2021. "Development of a search and rescue framework for maritime freight shipping in the Arctic," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 152(C), pages 54-69.
    8. Nong, Duy & Warziniack, Travis & Countryman, Amanda M. & Grey-Avis, Erin, 2017. "Effects of a Melting Arctic on Risk of Invasive Species Spread," Conference papers 332828, Purdue University, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Global Trade Analysis Project.
    9. Theocharis, Dimitrios & Pettit, Stephen & Rodrigues, Vasco Sanchez & Haider, Jane, 2018. "Arctic shipping: A systematic literature review of comparative studies," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 69(C), pages 112-128.
    10. Xu, Hua & Yin, Zhifang, 2021. "The optimal icebreaking tariffs and the economic performance of tramp shipping on the Northern Sea Route," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 149(C), pages 76-97.
    11. Zhang, Chi & Zhang, Di & Zhang, Mingyang & Lang, Xiao & Mao, Wengang, 2020. "An integrated risk assessment model for safe Arctic navigation," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 142(C), pages 101-114.
    12. Faury, Olivier & Cheaitou, Ali & Givry, Philippe, 2020. "Best maritime transportation option for the Arctic crude oil: A profit decision model," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 136(C).
    13. Benz, Lukas & Münch, Christopher & Hartmann, Evi, 2021. "Fuzzy-based decision analysis on Arctic transportation: A guidance for freight shipping companies," Chapters from the Proceedings of the Hamburg International Conference of Logistics (HICL), in: Jahn, Carlos & Kersten, Wolfgang & Ringle, Christian M. (ed.), Adapting to the Future: Maritime and City Logistics in the Context of Digitalization and Sustainability. Proceedings of the Hamburg International Conf, volume 32, pages 375-400, Hamburg University of Technology (TUHH), Institute of Business Logistics and General Management.
    14. Rigot-Müller, Patrick & Cheaitou, Ali & Etienne, Laurent & Faury, Olivier & Fedi, Laurent, 2022. "The role of polarseaworthiness in shipping planning for infrastructure projects in the Arctic: The case of Yamal LNG plant," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 155(C), pages 330-353.
    15. Pierre Cariou & Ali Cheaitou & Olivier Faury & Sadeque Hamdan, 2021. "The feasibility of Arctic container shipping: the economic and environmental impacts of ice thickness," Maritime Economics & Logistics, Palgrave Macmillan;International Association of Maritime Economists (IAME), vol. 23(4), pages 615-631, December.
    16. Theocharis, Dimitrios & Rodrigues, Vasco Sanchez & Pettit, Stephen & Haider, Jane, 2021. "Feasibility of the Northern Sea Route for seasonal transit navigation: The role of ship speed on ice and alternative fuel types for the oil product tanker market," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 151(C), pages 259-283.
    17. Wang, Yangjun & Liu, Kefeng & Zhang, Ren & Qian, Longxia & Shan, Yulong, 2021. "Feasibility of the Northeast Passage: The role of vessel speed, route planning, and icebreaking assistance determined by sea-ice conditions for the container shipping market during 2020–2030," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 149(C).
    18. Sibul, Gleb & Jin, Jian Gang, 2021. "Evaluating the feasibility of combined use of the Northern Sea Route and the Suez Canal Route considering ice parameters," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 147(C), pages 350-369.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Lasserre, Frédéric & Beveridge, Leah & Fournier, Mélanie & Têtu, Pierre-Louis & Huang, Linyan, 2016. "Polar seaways? Maritime transport in the Arctic: An analysis of shipowners' intentions II," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 57(C), pages 105-114.
    2. Theocharis, Dimitrios & Pettit, Stephen & Rodrigues, Vasco Sanchez & Haider, Jane, 2018. "Arctic shipping: A systematic literature review of comparative studies," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 69(C), pages 112-128.
    3. Koçak, Saim Turgut & Yercan, Funda, 2021. "Comparative cost-effectiveness analysis of Arctic and international shipping routes: A Fuzzy Analytic Hierarchy Process," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 114(C), pages 147-164.
    4. Zhao, Hui & Hu, Hao & Lin, Yisong, 2016. "Study on China-EU container shipping network in the context of Northern Sea Route," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 53(C), pages 50-60.
    5. Tomi Solakivi & Tuomas Kiiski & Lauri Ojala, 2019. "On the cost of ice: estimating the premium of Ice Class container vessels," Maritime Economics & Logistics, Palgrave Macmillan;International Association of Maritime Economists (IAME), vol. 21(2), pages 207-222, June.
    6. Christian Finnsgård & Joakim Kalantari & Zeeshan Raza & Violeta Roso & Johan Woxenius, 2018. "Swedish shippers’ strategies for coping with slow-steaming in deep sea container shipping," Journal of Shipping and Trade, Springer, vol. 3(1), pages 1-24, December.
    7. Asghari, Mohammad & Jaber, Mohamad Y. & Mirzapour Al-e-hashem, S.M.J., 2023. "Coordinating vessel recovery actions: Analysis of disruption management in a liner shipping service," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 307(2), pages 627-644.
    8. Xinyu Li & Yi Zuo & Junhao Jiang, 2022. "Application of Regression Analysis Using Broad Learning System for Time-Series Forecast of Ship Fuel Consumption," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(1), pages 1-21, December.
    9. Shuaian Wang & Dan Zhuge & Lu Zhen & Chung-Yee Lee, 2021. "Liner Shipping Service Planning Under Sulfur Emission Regulations," Transportation Science, INFORMS, vol. 55(2), pages 491-509, March.
    10. Frédéric Lasserre, 2022. "Canadian Arctic Marine Transportation Issues, Opportunities and Challenges," SPP Research Papers, The School of Public Policy, University of Calgary, vol. 15(6), February.
    11. Wang, Shuaian & Meng, Qiang & Liu, Zhiyuan, 2013. "Bunker consumption optimization methods in shipping: A critical review and extensions," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 53(C), pages 49-62.
    12. Xiangang Lan & Xiaode Zuo & Qin Tao, 2023. "Container Shipping Optimization under Different Carbon Emission Policies: A Case Study," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(10), pages 1-20, May.
    13. Taiba Zahid & Fouzia Gillani & Usman Ghafoor & Muhammad Raheel Bhutta, 2022. "Synchromodal Transportation Analysis of the One-Belt-One-Road Initiative Based on a Bi-Objective Mathematical Model," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(6), pages 1-14, March.
    14. Wang, Hua & Wang, Shuaian & Meng, Qiang, 2014. "Simultaneous optimization of schedule coordination and cargo allocation for liner container shipping networks," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 70(C), pages 261-273.
    15. Nguyen, Son & Fu, Xiuju & Ogawa, Daichi & Zheng, Qin, 2023. "An application-oriented testing regime and multi-ship predictive modeling for vessel fuel consumption prediction," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 177(C).
    16. Yan, Ran & Wang, Shuaian & Du, Yuquan, 2020. "Development of a two-stage ship fuel consumption prediction and reduction model for a dry bulk ship," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 138(C).
    17. Hamed Hasheminia & Changmin Jiang, 2017. "Strategic trade-off between vessel delay and schedule recovery: an empirical analysis of container liner shipping," Maritime Policy & Management, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 44(4), pages 458-473, May.
    18. Li, Lingyue & Gao, Suixiang & Yang, Wenguo & Xiong, Xing, 2021. "Assessment and improvement of EPA's penalty policy: From the perspective of governments' and ships' behaviors," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 104(C), pages 18-28.
    19. Haoqing Wang & Yuan Liu & Ying Yang & Ran Yan & Shuaian Wang, 2023. "Optimal Shipping Route under the Designation of the Mediterranean Sulfur Emission Control Area: Mathematical Models and Applications," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 11(24), pages 1-21, December.
    20. Wang, Ying & Yeo, Gi-Tae & Ng, Adolf K.Y., 2014. "Choosing optimal bunkering ports for liner shipping companies: A hybrid Fuzzy-Delphi–TOPSIS approach," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 35(C), pages 358-365.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:transa:v:94:y:2016:i:c:p:461-469. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/wps/find/journaldescription.cws_home/547/description#description .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.