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Scenario planning: Is the ‘box’ black or clear? It depends

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  • Frith, D.
  • Tapinos, E.

Abstract

This paper responds to a debate concerning the gap in the knowledge of scenario planning literature. We propose a dichotomy in the scenario planning research: i) investigating the activities undertaken within interventions, and ii) studying how these activities lead to the reported outcomes. In our view, there is a plethora of on-going research on the first, but we have sought to address a significant gap in the latter.

Suggested Citation

  • Frith, D. & Tapinos, E., 2020. "Scenario planning: Is the ‘box’ black or clear? It depends," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 158(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:tefoso:v:158:y:2020:i:c:s0040162520309963
    DOI: 10.1016/j.techfore.2020.120170
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Tapinos, E. & Pyper, N., 2018. "Forward looking analysis: Investigating how individuals ‘do’ foresight and make sense of the future," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 126(C), pages 292-302.
    2. Hussain, M. & Tapinos, E. & Knight, L., 2017. "Scenario-driven roadmapping for technology foresight," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 124(C), pages 160-177.
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    Cited by:

    1. Oughton, Edward J. & Comini, Niccolò & Foster, Vivien & Hall, Jim W., 2022. "Policy choices can help keep 4G and 5G universal broadband affordable," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 176(C).

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