IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/techno/v110y2022ics0166497221001450.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Applying digital technologies in technology roadmapping to overcome individual biased assessments

Author

Listed:
  • Nazarenko, Anastasia
  • Vishnevskiy, Konstantin
  • Meissner, Dirk
  • Daim, Tugrul

Abstract

Using digital technologies for technology roadmapping has the advantage of significantly extending the range of information sources used for the roadmap. Thus, a more solid evidence-based foundation for the integrated roadmap is provided, and the risk of biased individual judgements limited. The main challenge of extending the information base lies in processing information and integrating into aggregate indicators for the final roadmap. The revised methodology was pilot tested for a roadmap on the development of artificial intelligence technologies and their applications in a large Russian company. The roadmap is being already used by a large state-owned Russian corporation for strategic and investment decision making and project management including investment priority-setting, identification of technological forks and strategic alternatives, revelation of areas of presence and lack of competence, risk assessment, identification of potential consortia and the potential tasks for them, project expertise, and proactive project search.

Suggested Citation

  • Nazarenko, Anastasia & Vishnevskiy, Konstantin & Meissner, Dirk & Daim, Tugrul, 2022. "Applying digital technologies in technology roadmapping to overcome individual biased assessments," Technovation, Elsevier, vol. 110(C).
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:techno:v:110:y:2022:i:c:s0166497221001450
    DOI: 10.1016/j.technovation.2021.102364
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0166497221001450
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.technovation.2021.102364?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Daim, Tugrul U. & Yoon, Byung-Sung & Lindenberg, John & Grizzi, Robert & Estep, Judith & Oliver, Terry, 2018. "Strategic roadmapping of robotics technologies for the power industry: A multicriteria technology assessment," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 131(C), pages 49-66.
    2. Yu, Xiang & Zhang, Ben, 2019. "Obtaining advantages from technology revolution: A patent roadmap for competition analysis and strategy planning," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 145(C), pages 273-283.
    3. Victoria Kayser & Kerstin Goluchowicz & Antje Bierwisch, 2014. "Text Mining For Technology Roadmapping — The Strategic Value Of Information," International Journal of Innovation Management (ijim), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 18(03), pages 1-23.
    4. Lu, Hsi-Peng & Weng, Chien-I, 2018. "Smart manufacturing technology, market maturity analysis and technology roadmap in the computer and electronic product manufacturing industry," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 133(C), pages 85-94.
    5. Lee, Jung Hoon & Phaal, Robert & Lee, Sang-Ho, 2013. "An integrated service-device-technology roadmap for smart city development," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 80(2), pages 286-306.
    6. Cresto Aleina, Sara & Viola, Nicole & Fusaro, Roberta & Longo, José & Saccoccia, Giorgio, 2018. "Basis for a methodology for roadmaps generation for hypersonic and re-entry space transportation systems," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 128(C), pages 208-225.
    7. Park, Hyunkyu & Phaal, Rob & Ho, Jae-Yun & O'Sullivan, Eoin, 2020. "Twenty years of technology and strategic roadmapping research: A school of thought perspective," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 154(C).
    8. Haddad, Carolina R. & Uriona Maldonado, Mauricio, 2017. "A functions approach to improve sectoral technology roadmaps," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 115(C), pages 251-260.
    9. Toro-Jarrín, Miguel Angel & Ponce-Jaramillo, Idalia Estefania & Güemes-Castorena, David, 2016. "Methodology for the of building process integration of Business Model Canvas and Technological Roadmap," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 110(C), pages 213-225.
    10. Gershman, Mikhail & Bredikhin, Sergey & Vishnevskiy, Konstantin, 2016. "The role of corporate foresight and technology roadmapping in companies' innovation development: The case of Russian state-owned enterprises," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 110(C), pages 187-195.
    11. Hansen, Christoph & Daim, Tugrul & Ernst, Horst & Herstatt, Cornelius, 2016. "The future of rail automation: A scenario-based technology roadmap for the rail automation market," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 110(C), pages 196-212.
    12. Lee, Hakyeon & Geum, Youngjung, 2017. "Development of the scenario-based technology roadmap considering layer heterogeneity: An approach using CIA and AHP," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 117(C), pages 12-24.
    13. Paliokaitė, Agnė & Martinaitis, Žilvinas & Sarpong, David, 2016. "Implementing smart specialisation roadmaps in Lithuania: Lost in translation?," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 110(C), pages 143-152.
    14. Gastaldi, Luca & Pietrosi, Astrid & Lessanibahri, Sina & Paparella, Marco & Scaccianoce, Antonio & Provenzale, Giuseppe & Corso, Mariano & Gridelli, Bruno, 2018. "Measuring the maturity of business intelligence in healthcare: Supporting the development of a roadmap toward precision medicine within ISMETT hospital," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 128(C), pages 84-103.
    15. Vishnevskiy, Konstantin & Karasev, Oleg & Meissner, Dirk, 2015. "Integrated roadmaps and corporate foresight as tools of innovation management: The case of Russian companies," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 90(PB), pages 433-443.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Gozuacik, Necip & Sakar, C. Okan & Ozcan, Sercan, 2023. "Technological forecasting based on estimation of word embedding matrix using LSTM networks," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 191(C).

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Zhang, Hao & Daim, Tugrul & Zhang, Yunqiu (Peggy), 2021. "Integrating patent analysis into technology roadmapping: A latent dirichlet allocation based technology assessment and roadmapping in the field of Blockchain," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 167(C).
    2. Park, Hyunkyu & Phaal, Rob & Ho, Jae-Yun & O'Sullivan, Eoin, 2020. "Twenty years of technology and strategic roadmapping research: A school of thought perspective," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 154(C).
    3. Garza Ramos, Alejandro & Daim, Tugrul & Gaats, Lukas & Hutmacher, Dietmar W. & Hackenberger, David, 2022. "Technology roadmap for the development of a 3D cell culture workstation for a biomedical industry startup," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 174(C).
    4. Daim, Tugrul U. & Yoon, Byung-Sung & Lindenberg, John & Grizzi, Robert & Estep, Judith & Oliver, Terry, 2018. "Strategic roadmapping of robotics technologies for the power industry: A multicriteria technology assessment," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 131(C), pages 49-66.
    5. Kim, Junhan & Geum, Youngjung, 2021. "How to develop data-driven technology roadmaps:The integration of topic modeling and link prediction," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 171(C).
    6. Chakraborty, Swagata & Nijssen, Edwin J. & Valkenburg, Rianne, 2022. "A systematic review of industry-level applications of technology roadmapping: Evaluation and design propositions for roadmapping practitioners," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 179(C).
    7. Saba Sareminia & Alireza Hasanzadeh & Shaaban Elahi & Gholamali Montazer, 2019. "Developing Technology Roadmapping Combinational Framework by Meta Synthesis Technique," International Journal of Innovation and Technology Management (IJITM), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 16(02), pages 1-36, April.
    8. Chi-Yo Huang & Jih-Jeng Huang & You-Ning Chang & Yen-Chu Lin, 2021. "A Fuzzy-MOP-Based Competence Set Expansion Method for Technology Roadmap Definitions," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 9(2), pages 1-26, January.
    9. Yu, Xiang & Zhang, Ben, 2019. "Obtaining advantages from technology revolution: A patent roadmap for competition analysis and strategy planning," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 145(C), pages 273-283.
    10. Isabela Neto Piccirillo & Daniel Capaldo Amaral & Maicon Gouvêa De Oliveira, 2022. "A Research Agenda for Collaborative Roadmapping Supported by Blockchain Technology," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(20), pages 1-16, October.
    11. Noh, Heeyong & Kim, Kyuwoong & Song, Young-Keun & Lee, Sungjoo, 2021. "Opportunity-driven technology roadmapping: The case of 5G mobile services," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 163(C).
    12. Yujin Jeong & Hyejin Jang & Byungun Yoon, 2021. "Developing a risk-adaptive technology roadmap using a Bayesian network and topic modeling under deep uncertainty," Scientometrics, Springer;Akadémiai Kiadó, vol. 126(5), pages 3697-3722, May.
    13. Kayabay, Kerem & Gökalp, Mert Onuralp & Gökalp, Ebru & Erhan Eren, P. & Koçyiğit, Altan, 2022. "Data science roadmapping: An architectural framework for facilitating transformation towards a data-driven organization," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 174(C).
    14. de Alcantara, Douglas Pedro & Martens, Mauro Luiz, 2019. "Technology Roadmapping (TRM): a systematic review of the literature focusing on models," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 138(C), pages 127-138.
    15. Yuskevich, Ilya & Hein, Andreas Makoto & Amokrane-Ferka, Kahina & Doufene, Abdelkrim & Jankovic, Marija, 2021. "A metamodel of an informational structure for model-based technology roadmapping," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 173(C).
    16. Ferreira, Paula & Rocha, Ana & Araujo, Madalena & Afonso, Joao L. & Antunes, Carlos Henggeler & Lopes, Marta A.R. & Osório, Gerardo J. & Catalão, João P.S. & Lopes, João Peças, 2023. "Assessing the societal impact of smart grids: Outcomes of a collaborative research project," Technology in Society, Elsevier, vol. 72(C).
    17. Yuya Mitake & Kenshiro Hiramitsu & Yusuke Tsutsui & Mar’atus Sholihah & Yoshiki Shimomura, 2020. "A Strategic Planning Method to Guide Product—Service System Development and Implementation," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(18), pages 1-23, September.
    18. Marinković, Milan & Al-Tabbaa, Omar & Khan, Zaheer & Wu, Jie, 2022. "Corporate foresight: A systematic literature review and future research trajectories," Journal of Business Research, Elsevier, vol. 144(C), pages 289-311.
    19. Marek Jemala, 2019. "Problematic Roadmapping for Companies in Less Developed Regions of Slovakia," International Journal of Innovation and Technology Management (IJITM), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 16(08), pages 1-26, December.
    20. Le, Duc Nha & Le Tuan, Loc & Dang Tuan, Minh Nguyen, 2019. "Smart-building management system: An Internet-of-Things (IoT) application business model in Vietnam," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 141(C), pages 22-35.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:techno:v:110:y:2022:i:c:s0166497221001450. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/journal/01664972 .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.