IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/streco/v58y2021icp23-34.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

The opening of Central and Eastern European countries to free trade: A critical assessment

Author

Listed:
  • Kuc‑Czarnecka, Marta
  • Saltelli, Andrea
  • Olczyk, Magdalena
  • Reinert, Erik

Abstract

Three decades after the fall of the Berlin wall and one and a half decades after the Big Bang enlargement of the European Union (2004-2007), we revisit contrasting narratives about the benefit of both free trade and the EU enlargement for Central and Eastern European (CEE) countries. We distinguish old, pre-2004 EU countries from CEE countries that joined the EU in 2004-2007, as well as from the CEE countries that have not become part of the EU, in particular Belarus, Moldova, and Ukraine. Our analysis looks at two temporal windows: one from 1991 – the demise of the Eastern European free trade zone (COMECON) – to today, and the second zooming on the period following the enlargement process of 2004-2007. Our analysis points to an unfavourable turn of events for CEE countries, which appear to have experienced significant losses in their process of rapid integration in the world and EU economies. We are comparing these events in Central and Eastern Europe with the patterns of de-industrialisation and migration that took place in Latin America after a similar free trade shock starting in the 1970s.

Suggested Citation

  • Kuc‑Czarnecka, Marta & Saltelli, Andrea & Olczyk, Magdalena & Reinert, Erik, 2021. "The opening of Central and Eastern European countries to free trade: A critical assessment," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 58(C), pages 23-34.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:streco:v:58:y:2021:i:c:p:23-34
    DOI: 10.1016/j.strueco.2021.04.005
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0954349X21000394
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.strueco.2021.04.005?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Jan Fagerberg & Bart Verspagen & G. N. von Tunzelmann (ed.), 1994. "The Dynamics Of Technology, Trade And Growth," Books, Edward Elgar Publishing, number 163.
    2. Slavo Radosevic, 2017. "Upgrading technology in Central and Eastern European economies," IZA World of Labor, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA), pages 338-338, February.
    3. J.A. Kregel & Egon Matzner, 1992. "Agenda for the Reconstruction of Central and Eastern Europe," Challenge, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 35(5), pages 33-40, September.
    4. Arkadiusz Kijek & Anna Matras-Bolibok, 2020. "Technological convergence across European regions," Equilibrium. Quarterly Journal of Economics and Economic Policy, Institute of Economic Research, vol. 15(2), pages 295-313, June.
    5. Harald Badinger & Werner Muller & Gabriele Tondl, 2004. "Regional Convergence in the European Union, 1985- 1999: A Spatial Dynamic Panel Analysis," Regional Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 38(3), pages 241-253.
    6. Erik S. Reinert & Rainer Kattel, 2007. "European Eastern Enlargement as Europe's Attempted Economic Suicide?," The Other Canon Foundation and Tallinn University of Technology Working Papers in Technology Governance and Economic Dynamics 14, TUT Ragnar Nurkse Department of Innovation and Governance.
    7. Alan V. Deardorff, 2011. "The General Validity of the Law of Comparative Advantage," World Scientific Book Chapters, in: Robert M Stern (ed.), Comparative Advantage, Growth, And The Gains From Trade And Globalization A Festschrift in Honor of Alan V Deardorff, chapter 10, pages 73-90, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
    8. Riccardo Crescenzi & Mara Giua, 2016. "The EU Cohesion Policy in context: Does a bottom-up approach work in all regions?," Environment and Planning A, , vol. 48(11), pages 2340-2357, November.
    9. Greenhalgh, Christine & Taylor, Paul & Wilson, Rob, 1994. "Innovation and Export Volumes and Prices--A Disaggregated Study," Oxford Economic Papers, Oxford University Press, vol. 46(1), pages 102-135, January.
    10. Erik S. Reinert, 2017. "Towards a better understanding of convergence and divergence: or, how the present EU strategy –– at the expense of the economic periphery –– neglects the theories that once made Europe successful," The Other Canon Foundation and Tallinn University of Technology Working Papers in Technology Governance and Economic Dynamics 77, TUT Ragnar Nurkse Department of Innovation and Governance.
    11. Filip Keereman & Istvan Szekely (ed.), 2010. "Five Years of an Enlarged EU," Springer Books, Springer, number 978-3-642-12516-4, June.
    12. Joel I. Deichmann & Abdolreza Eshghi & Dominique Haughton & Mingfei Li, 2017. "Socioeconomic Convergence in Europe One Decade After the EU Enlargement of 2004: Application of Self-Organizing Maps," Eastern European Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 55(3), pages 236-260, May.
    13. repec:pes:ierequ:v:14:y:2019:i:1:p:lip.29 is not listed on IDEAS
    14. Reinert, Erik S. & Kattel, Rainer, 2004. "The Qualitative Shift in European Integration: Towards permanent wage pressures and a ‘Latin-Americanization’ of Europe?," MPRA Paper 47909, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    15. Martin Mandel & Vladimír Tomšík, 2008. "External Balance in a Transition Economy: The Role of Foreign Direct Investments," Eastern European Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 46(4), pages 5-26, July.
    16. Petr Pavlínek, 2018. "Global Production Networks, Foreign Direct Investment, and Supplier Linkages in the Integrated Peripheries of the Automotive Industry," Economic Geography, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 94(2), pages 141-165, March.
    17. Andrzej Cieslik & Giang Hien Tran, 2019. "Determinants of outward FDI from emerging economies," Equilibrium. Quarterly Journal of Economics and Economic Policy, Institute of Economic Research, vol. 14(2), pages 209-231, June.
    18. Riccardo Crescenzi & Mara Giua, 2018. "One or Many Cohesion Policies of the European Union? On the Diverging Impacts of Cohesion Policy across Member States," SERC Discussion Papers 0230, Centre for Economic Performance, LSE.
    19. Piotr Żuk & Paweł Żuk & Justyna Lisiewicz-Jakubaszko, 2019. "Labour migration of doctors and nurses and the impact on the quality of health care in Eastern European countries: The case of Poland," The Economic and Labour Relations Review, , vol. 30(2), pages 307-320, June.
    20. Wagner, Alfred, 1891. "Marshall's Principles of Economics," History of Economic Thought Articles, McMaster University Archive for the History of Economic Thought, vol. 5, pages 319-338.
    21. Magdalena Bernaciak, 2014. "Social dumping and the EU integration process," Working Papers 11091, European Trade Union Institute (ETUI).
    22. Popov, Vladimir, 2019. "Successes and failures of industrial policy: Lessons from transition (post-communist) economies of Europe and Asia," MPRA Paper 95332, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    23. Agnieszka Głodowska & Bożena Pera, 2019. "On the Relationship between Economic Integration, Business Environment and Real Convergence: The Experience of the CEE Countries," Economies, MDPI, vol. 7(2), pages 1-19, June.
    24. Erik S. Reinert, 2006. "European Integration, Innovations and Uneven Economic Growth: Challenges and Problems of EU 2005," The Other Canon Foundation and Tallinn University of Technology Working Papers in Technology Governance and Economic Dynamics 05, TUT Ragnar Nurkse Department of Innovation and Governance.
    25. Jacques Mazier & Sebastian Valdecantos, 2015. "A multi-speed Europe: is it viable? A stock-flow consistent approach," Post-Print hal-01367461, HAL.
    26. Erik S. Reinert, 2018. "Smart Specialization: theory and brief case studies," The Other Canon Foundation and Tallinn University of Technology Working Papers in Technology Governance and Economic Dynamics 81, TUT Ragnar Nurkse Department of Innovation and Governance.
    27. Slawomir Czech & Monika Krakowiak-Drzewiecka, 2019. "The rationale of Brexit and the theories of European integration," Oeconomia Copernicana, Institute of Economic Research, vol. 10(4), pages 589-602, December.
    28. Frank D. Graham, 1923. "Some Aspects of Protection Further Considered," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 37(2), pages 199-227.
    29. Jacques Mazier & Sebastian Valdecantos, 2015. "A multi-speed Europe: is it viable? A stock-flow consistent approach," European Journal of Economics and Economic Policies: Intervention, Edward Elgar Publishing, vol. 12(1), pages 93-112, April.
    30. Krugman, Paul, 1981. "Trade, accumulation, and uneven development," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 8(2), pages 149-161, April.
    31. Marinko Skare & Malgorzata Porada-Rochon, 2019. "Tracking financial cycles in ten transitional economies 2005–2018 using singular spectrum analysis (SSA) techniques," Equilibrium. Quarterly Journal of Economics and Economic Policy, Institute of Economic Research, vol. 14(1), pages 7-29, March.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Knez, Klemen, 2022. "Domestic Supplier Spillovers of Global Value Chains in Central and Eastern European Countries," MPRA Paper 112391, University Library of Munich, Germany.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Erik Reinert, 2007. "Towards an Austro–German theory of uneven economic development? A plea for theorising by inclusion," The Review of Austrian Economics, Springer;Society for the Development of Austrian Economics, vol. 20(2), pages 155-170, September.
    2. Roberto Veneziani & Luca Zamparelli & Michalis Nikiforos & Gennaro Zezza, 2017. "Stock-Flow Consistent Macroeconomic Models: A Survey," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 31(5), pages 1204-1239, December.
    3. Zacharias Bragoudakis & Evangelia Kasimati & Christos Pierros & Nikolaos Rodousakis & George Soklis, 2022. "Measuring Productivities for the 38 OECD Member Countries: An Input-Output Modelling Approach," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 10(13), pages 1-21, July.
    4. Alessandro Caiani & Ermanno Catullo & Mauro Gallegati, 2018. "The effects of fiscal targets in a monetary union: a multi-country agent-based stock flow consistent model," Industrial and Corporate Change, Oxford University Press and the Associazione ICC, vol. 27(6), pages 1123-1154.
    5. Paul Krugman, 1989. "History Vs. Expectations," NBER Working Papers 2971, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    6. Konstantin Kucheryavyy & Gary Lyn & Andrés Rodríguez-Clare, 2023. "Grounded by Gravity: A Well-Behaved Trade Model with Industry-Level Economies of Scale," American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, American Economic Association, vol. 15(2), pages 372-412, April.
    7. Vincent Duwicquet & Jacques Mazier & Jamel Saadaoui, 2018. "Dealing with the consequences of exchange rate misalignments for macroeconomic adjustments in the EMU," Metroeconomica, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 69(4), pages 737-767, November.
    8. Patrick Kaczmarczyk, 2020. "Growth Models and the Footprint of Transnational Capital," Working Papers hal-03471320, HAL.
    9. Marco Di Cataldo & Vassilis Monastiriotis, 2020. "Regional needs, regional targeting and regional growth: an assessment of EU Cohesion Policy in UK regions," Regional Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 54(1), pages 35-47, January.
    10. Gimet, Céline & Lagoarde-Segot, Thomas & Reyes-Ortiz, Luis, 2019. "Financialization and the macroeconomy. Theory and empirical evidence," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 81(C), pages 89-110.
    11. Aweng Peter Majok Garang & Hatice Erkekoglu, 2021. "Convergence Triggers in Africa: Evidence from Convergence Clubs and Panel Models," South African Journal of Economics, Economic Society of South Africa, vol. 89(2), pages 218-245, June.
    12. Ignatov Augustin, 2018. "Regional Development Discrepancies in the Eastern European Union Analysed through the Prism of Growth Determinants," Global Economy Journal, De Gruyter, vol. 18(4), pages 1-18, December.
    13. Bernhard Schuetz, 2022. "Investment booms, diverging competitiveness and wage growth within a monetary union: An AB-SFC model," ICAE Working Papers 138, Johannes Kepler University, Institute for Comprehensive Analysis of the Economy.
    14. Erik S. Reinert, 2006. "Development and Social Goals: Balancing Aid and Development to Prevent ‘Welfare Colonialism’," Working Papers 14, United Nations, Department of Economics and Social Affairs.
    15. repec:hal:spmain:info:hdl:2441/48v6dshhlh9r2blvjpak2prpav is not listed on IDEAS
    16. Gräbner-Radkowitsch, Claudius & Heimberger, Philipp & Kapeller, Jakob & Landesmann, Michael & Schütz, Bernhard, 2022. "The evolution of debtor-creditor relationships within a monetary union: Trade imbalances, excess reserves and economic policy," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 62(C), pages 262-289.
    17. Reinert, Erik S., 2004. "How rich nations got rich. Essays in the history of economic policy," MPRA Paper 48147, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    18. Rajah Rasiah & Johannes Dragsbaek Schmidt, 2010. "Introduction," Chapters, in: Rajah Rasiah & Johannes Dragsbaek Schmidt (ed.), The New Political Economy of Southeast Asia, chapter 1, Edward Elgar Publishing.
    19. Marta Degl'Innocenti & Roman Matousek & Nickolaos G Tzeremes, 2018. "Financial centres' competitiveness and economic convergence: Evidence from the European Union regions," Environment and Planning A, , vol. 50(1), pages 133-156, February.
    20. Kaczmarczyk, Patrick, 2020. "Growth models and the footprint of transnational capital," MaxPo Discussion Paper Series 20/2, Max Planck Sciences Po Center on Coping with Instability in Market Societies (MaxPo).
    21. Urban Gråsjö, 2008. "University-educated Labor, R&D and Regional Export Performance," International Regional Science Review, , vol. 31(3), pages 211-256, July.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    de-industrialisation; EU enlargement; EU integration; migration; COMECON;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F15 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Economic Integration
    • R11 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - General Regional Economics - - - Regional Economic Activity: Growth, Development, Environmental Issues, and Changes
    • R12 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - General Regional Economics - - - Size and Spatial Distributions of Regional Economic Activity; Interregional Trade (economic geography)
    • B15 - Schools of Economic Thought and Methodology - - History of Economic Thought through 1925 - - - Historical; Institutional; Evolutionary
    • B17 - Schools of Economic Thought and Methodology - - History of Economic Thought through 1925 - - - International Trade and Finance
    • P33 - Political Economy and Comparative Economic Systems - - Socialist Institutions and Their Transitions - - - International Trade, Finance, Investment, Relations, and Aid

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:streco:v:58:y:2021:i:c:p:23-34. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/inca/525148 .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.