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Gauss-Newton and M-estimation for ARMA processes with infinite variance

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  • Davis, Richard A.

Abstract

We consider two estimation procedures, Gauss-Newton and M-estimation, for the parameters of an ARMA (p,q) process when the innovations belong to the domain of attraction of a nonnormal stable distribution. The Gauss-Newton or iterative least squares estimate is shown to have the same limiting distribution as the maximum likelihood and Whittle estimates. The latter was derived recently by Mikosch et al. (1995). We also establish the weak convergence for a class of M-estimates, including the case of least absolute deviation, and show that, asymptotically, the M-estimate dominates both the Gauss-Newton and Whittle estimates. A brief simulation is carried out comparing the performance of M-estimation with iterative and ordinary least squares. As suggested by the asymptotic theory, M-estimation, using least absolute deviation for the loss function, outperforms the other two procedures.

Suggested Citation

  • Davis, Richard A., 1996. "Gauss-Newton and M-estimation for ARMA processes with infinite variance," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 63(1), pages 75-95, October.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:spapps:v:63:y:1996:i:1:p:75-95
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Davis, Richard A. & Knight, Keith & Liu, Jian, 1992. "M-estimation for autoregressions with infinite variance," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 40(1), pages 145-180, February.
    2. Klüppelberg, Claudia & Mikosch, Thomas, 1993. "Spectral estimates and stable processes," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 47(2), pages 323-344, September.
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    Cited by:

    1. Rongning Wu, 2013. "M-estimation for general ARMA Processes with Infinite Variance," Scandinavian Journal of Statistics, Danish Society for Theoretical Statistics;Finnish Statistical Society;Norwegian Statistical Association;Swedish Statistical Association, vol. 40(3), pages 571-591, September.
    2. Rongning Wu & Richard A. Davis, 2010. "Least absolute deviation estimation for general autoregressive moving average time‐series models," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 31(2), pages 98-112, March.
    3. Sbrana, Giacomo & Silvestrini, Andrea, 2013. "Aggregation of exponential smoothing processes with an application to portfolio risk evaluation," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 37(5), pages 1437-1450.
    4. Ke Zhu & Shiqing Ling, 2015. "LADE-Based Inference for ARMA Models With Unspecified and Heavy-Tailed Heteroscedastic Noises," Journal of the American Statistical Association, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 110(510), pages 784-794, June.
    5. Wan, Phyllis & Davis, Richard A., 2022. "Goodness-of-fit testing for time series models via distance covariance," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 227(1), pages 4-24.
    6. Li, Jinyu & Liang, Wei & He, Shuyuan, 2011. "Empirical likelihood for LAD estimators in infinite variance ARMA models," Statistics & Probability Letters, Elsevier, vol. 81(2), pages 212-219, February.
    7. Xinghui Wang & Shuhe Hu, 2017. "Asymptotics of self-weighted M-estimators for autoregressive models," Metrika: International Journal for Theoretical and Applied Statistics, Springer, vol. 80(1), pages 83-92, January.
    8. Davis, Richard A. & Mikosch, Thomas, 1998. "Gaussian likelihood-based inference for non-invertible MA(1) processes with SS noise," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 77(1), pages 99-122, September.
    9. Richard A. Davis & William T. M. Dunsmuir, 1997. "Least Absolute Deviation Estimation for Regression with ARMA Errors," Journal of Theoretical Probability, Springer, vol. 10(2), pages 481-497, April.
    10. Bouhaddioui, Chafik & Ghoudi, Kilani, 2012. "Empirical processes for infinite variance autoregressive models," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 107(C), pages 319-335.
    11. Benth, Fred Espen & Klüppelberg, Claudia & Müller, Gernot & Vos, Linda, 2014. "Futures pricing in electricity markets based on stable CARMA spot models," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 44(C), pages 392-406.

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