IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/spapps/v126y2016i8p2494-2525.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Hawkes and INAR(∞) processes

Author

Listed:
  • Kirchner, Matthias

Abstract

In this paper, we discuss integer-valued autoregressive time series (INAR), Hawkes point processes, and their interrelationship. Besides presenting structural analogies, we derive a convergence theorem. More specifically, we generalize the well-known INAR(p), p∈N, time series model to a corresponding model of infinite order: the INAR(∞) model. We establish existence, uniqueness, finiteness of moments, and give formulas for the autocovariance function as well as for the joint moment-generating function. Furthermore, we derive a branching-process–as well as an AR(∞)–and an MA(∞) representation for the model. We compare Hawkes process properties with their INAR(∞) counterparts. Given a Hawkes process N, in the main theorem of the paper we construct an INAR(∞)-based family of point processes and prove its convergence to N. This connection between INAR and Hawkes models will be relevant in applications.

Suggested Citation

  • Kirchner, Matthias, 2016. "Hawkes and INAR(∞) processes," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 126(8), pages 2494-2525.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:spapps:v:126:y:2016:i:8:p:2494-2525
    DOI: 10.1016/j.spa.2016.02.008
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0304414916000399
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.spa.2016.02.008?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Konstantinos Fokianos & Dag Tjøstheim, 2012. "Nonlinear Poisson autoregression," Annals of the Institute of Statistical Mathematics, Springer;The Institute of Statistical Mathematics, vol. 64(6), pages 1205-1225, December.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Yang Lu, 2021. "The predictive distributions of thinning‐based count processes," Scandinavian Journal of Statistics, Danish Society for Theoretical Statistics;Finnish Statistical Society;Norwegian Statistical Association;Swedish Statistical Association, vol. 48(1), pages 42-67, March.
    2. Benjamin Favetto, 2019. "The European intraday electricity market : a modeling based on the Hawkes process," Working Papers hal-02089289, HAL.
    3. Serge Darolles & Gaëlle Le Fol & Yang Lu & Ran Sun, 2018. "Bivariate integer-autoregressive process with an application to mutual fund flows," Post-Print hal-04590149, HAL.
    4. Chen, Zezhun Chen & Dassios, Angelos & Tzougas, George, 2023. "A first order binomial mixed poisson integer-valued autoregressive model with serially dependent innovations," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 112222, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    5. Schatz, Michael & Wheatley, Spencer & Sornette, Didier, 2022. "The ARMA Point Process and its Estimation," Econometrics and Statistics, Elsevier, vol. 24(C), pages 164-182.
    6. Darolles, Serge & Fol, Gaëlle Le & Lu, Yang & Sun, Ran, 2019. "Bivariate integer-autoregressive process with an application to mutual fund flows," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 173(C), pages 181-203.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Jon Michel, 2020. "The Limiting Distribution of a Non‐Stationary Integer Valued GARCH(1,1) Process," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 41(2), pages 351-356, March.
    2. Huiyu Mao & Fukang Zhu & Yan Cui, 2020. "A generalized mixture integer-valued GARCH model," Statistical Methods & Applications, Springer;Società Italiana di Statistica, vol. 29(3), pages 527-552, September.
    3. William Kengne & Isidore S. Ngongo, 2022. "Inference for nonstationary time series of counts with application to change-point problems," Annals of the Institute of Statistical Mathematics, Springer;The Institute of Statistical Mathematics, vol. 74(4), pages 801-835, August.
    4. Ali Ahmad & Christian Francq, 2016. "Poisson QMLE of Count Time Series Models," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 37(3), pages 291-314, May.
    5. Moysiadis, Theodoros & Fokianos, Konstantinos, 2014. "On binary and categorical time series models with feedback," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 131(C), pages 209-228.
    6. Luiza S. C. Piancastelli & Wagner Barreto‐Souza & Hernando Ombao, 2023. "Flexible bivariate INGARCH process with a broad range of contemporaneous correlation," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 44(2), pages 206-222, March.
    7. Konstantinos Fokianos, 2012. "Comments on: Some recent theory for autoregressive count time series," TEST: An Official Journal of the Spanish Society of Statistics and Operations Research, Springer;Sociedad de Estadística e Investigación Operativa, vol. 21(3), pages 451-454, September.
    8. Mawuli Segnon, 2022. "Strict stationarity of Poisson integer-valued ARCH processes of order infinity," CQE Working Papers 10222, Center for Quantitative Economics (CQE), University of Muenster.
    9. Šárka Hudecová & Marie Hušková & Simos G. Meintanis, 2021. "Goodness–of–Fit Tests for Bivariate Time Series of Counts," Econometrics, MDPI, vol. 9(1), pages 1-20, March.
    10. Mamadou Lamine Diop & William Kengne, 2017. "Testing Parameter Change in General Integer-Valued Time Series," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 38(6), pages 880-894, November.
    11. Doukhan, Paul & Fokianos, Konstantinos & Tjøstheim, Dag, 2012. "On weak dependence conditions for Poisson autoregressions," Statistics & Probability Letters, Elsevier, vol. 82(5), pages 942-948.
    12. Michael H. Neumann, 2021. "Bootstrap for integer‐valued GARCH(p, q) processes," Statistica Neerlandica, Netherlands Society for Statistics and Operations Research, vol. 75(3), pages 343-363, August.
    13. Heidar Eyjolfsson & Dag Tjøstheim, 2018. "Self-exciting jump processes with applications to energy markets," Annals of the Institute of Statistical Mathematics, Springer;The Institute of Statistical Mathematics, vol. 70(2), pages 373-393, April.
    14. Huang, Lorick & Khabou, Mahmoud, 2023. "Nonlinear Poisson autoregression and nonlinear Hawkes processes," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 161(C), pages 201-241.
    15. Vasiliki Christou & Konstantinos Fokianos, 2014. "Quasi-Likelihood Inference For Negative Binomial Time Series Models," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 35(1), pages 55-78, January.
    16. Dag Tjøstheim, 2012. "Some recent theory for autoregressive count time series," TEST: An Official Journal of the Spanish Society of Statistics and Operations Research, Springer;Sociedad de Estadística e Investigación Operativa, vol. 21(3), pages 413-438, September.
    17. Yan Cui & Fukang Zhu, 2018. "A new bivariate integer-valued GARCH model allowing for negative cross-correlation," TEST: An Official Journal of the Spanish Society of Statistics and Operations Research, Springer;Sociedad de Estadística e Investigación Operativa, vol. 27(2), pages 428-452, June.
    18. Jiwon Kang & Sangyeol Lee, 2014. "Parameter Change Test for Poisson Autoregressive Models," Scandinavian Journal of Statistics, Danish Society for Theoretical Statistics;Finnish Statistical Society;Norwegian Statistical Association;Swedish Statistical Association, vol. 41(4), pages 1136-1152, December.
    19. Doukhan, Paul & Fokianos, Konstantinos & Tjøstheim, Dag, 2013. "Correction to “On weak dependence conditions for Poisson autoregressions” [Statist. Probab. Lett. 82 (2012) 942–948]," Statistics & Probability Letters, Elsevier, vol. 83(8), pages 1926-1927.
    20. Dag Tjøstheim, 2012. "Rejoinder on: Some recent theory for autoregressive count time series," TEST: An Official Journal of the Spanish Society of Statistics and Operations Research, Springer;Sociedad de Estadística e Investigación Operativa, vol. 21(3), pages 469-476, September.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:spapps:v:126:y:2016:i:8:p:2494-2525. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/wps/find/journaldescription.cws_home/505572/description#description .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.