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A limit theorem for the time of ruin in a Gaussian ruin problem

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  • Hüsler, Jürg
  • Piterbarg, Vladimir

Abstract

For certain Gaussian processes X(t) with trend -ct[beta] and variance V2(t), the ruin time is analyzed where the ruin time is defined as the first time point t such that X(t)-ct[beta]>=u. The ruin time is of interest in finance and actuarial subjects. But the ruin time is also of interest in other applications, e.g. in telecommunications where it indicates the first time of an overflow. We derive the asymptotic distribution of the ruin time as u-->[infinity] showing that the limiting distribution depends on the parameters [beta], V(t) and the correlation function of X(t).

Suggested Citation

  • Hüsler, Jürg & Piterbarg, Vladimir, 2008. "A limit theorem for the time of ruin in a Gaussian ruin problem," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 118(11), pages 2014-2021, November.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:spapps:v:118:y:2008:i:11:p:2014-2021
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Hüsler, J. & Piterbarg, V., 1999. "Extremes of a certain class of Gaussian processes," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 83(2), pages 257-271, October.
    2. Dieker, A.B., 2005. "Extremes of Gaussian processes over an infinite horizon," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 115(2), pages 207-248, February.
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    4. Delbaen, Freddy, 1990. "A remark on the moments of ruin time in classical risk theory," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 9(2-3), pages 121-126, September.
    5. Chiu, S. N. & Yin, C. C., 2003. "The time of ruin, the surplus prior to ruin and the deficit at ruin for the classical risk process perturbed by diffusion," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 33(1), pages 59-66, August.
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    Cited by:

    1. Bai, Long & Luo, Li, 2017. "Parisian ruin of the Brownian motion risk model with constant force of interest," Statistics & Probability Letters, Elsevier, vol. 120(C), pages 34-44.
    2. Ji, Lanpeng & Peng, Xiaofan, 2023. "Extreme value theory for a sequence of suprema of a class of Gaussian processes with trend," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 158(C), pages 418-452.
    3. Dȩbicki, Krzysztof & Hashorva, Enkelejd & Ji, Lanpeng & Rolski, Tomasz, 2018. "Extremal behavior of hitting a cone by correlated Brownian motion with drift," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 128(12), pages 4171-4206.
    4. Ghosh, Souvik & Samorodnitsky, Gennady, 2010. "Long strange segments, ruin probabilities and the effect of memory on moving average processes," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 120(12), pages 2302-2330, December.
    5. Krzysztof Dȩbicki & Peng Liu & Zbigniew Michna, 2020. "Sojourn Times of Gaussian Processes with Trend," Journal of Theoretical Probability, Springer, vol. 33(4), pages 2119-2166, December.

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