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Country-specific idiosyncratic risk and global equity index returns

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  • Hueng, C. James
  • Yau, Ruey

Abstract

Studies have claimed that the “idiosyncratic volatility puzzle” in the firm-level data can be explained by certain time-series properties of the firm-specific shocks. The absence of this puzzle in the country-level index data implies that the time-series properties of the country-specific shocks are different from those of the firm-specific shocks. We find that the differences are, first, lagged idiosyncratic volatility is a better proxy for expected idiosyncratic risk in the country-level data. Second, idiosyncratic skewness is not a significant factor determining country-level index returns. Finally, country-specific index returns show momentum, as opposed to return reversals documented in the firm-level data.

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  • Hueng, C. James & Yau, Ruey, 2013. "Country-specific idiosyncratic risk and global equity index returns," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 25(C), pages 326-337.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:reveco:v:25:y:2013:i:c:p:326-337
    DOI: 10.1016/j.iref.2012.07.014
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    2. Abugri, Benjamin A. & Dutta, Sandip, 2014. "Are we overestimating REIT idiosyncratic risk? Analysis of pricing effects and persistence," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 29(C), pages 249-259.
    3. Mardi Dungey & Moses Kangogo & Vladimir Volkov, 2022. "Dynamic effects of network exposure on equity markets," Eurasian Economic Review, Springer;Eurasia Business and Economics Society, vol. 12(4), pages 569-629, December.
    4. Adam Zaremba, 2019. "The Cross Section of Country Equity Returns: A Review of Empirical Literature," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 12(4), pages 1-26, October.
    5. Mohammadreza Tavakoli Baghdadabad & Girijasankar Mallik, 2018. "Global idiosyncratic risk moments," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 55(2), pages 731-764, September.
    6. Umutlu, Mehmet, 2019. "Does idiosyncratic volatility matter at the global level?," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 47(C), pages 252-268.
    7. Adam Zaremba & Jacob Koby Shemer, 2018. "Price-Based Investment Strategies," Springer Books, Springer, number 978-3-319-91530-2, April.
    8. Pelin Bengitöz & Mehmet Umutlu, 2023. "Are return predictors of industrial equity indexes common across regions?," Journal of Asset Management, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 24(5), pages 396-418, September.
    9. Kangogo, Moses & Volkov, Vladimir, 2021. "Dynamic effects of network exposure on equity markets," Working Papers 2021-03, University of Tasmania, Tasmanian School of Business and Economics.
    10. Malagon, Juliana & Moreno, David & Rodríguez, Rosa, 2018. "Idiosyncratic volatility, conditional liquidity and stock returns," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 53(C), pages 118-132.
    11. Nath, Harmindar B. & Brooks, Robert D., 2015. "Assessing the idiosyncratic risk and stock returns relation in heteroskedasticity corrected predictive models using quantile regression," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 38(C), pages 94-111.
    12. He, Zhongzhi & Xue, Wenjun, 2022. "Idiosyncratic volatility puzzle exists at the country level," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 62(C).
    13. Hueng, C. James, 2014. "Are global systematic risk and country-specific idiosyncratic risk priced in the integrated world markets?," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 33(C), pages 28-38.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Country-specific risk; Idiosyncratic volatility puzzle; International asset pricing;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G11 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Portfolio Choice; Investment Decisions
    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets

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