IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/rensus/v91y2018icp248-258.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Analysis of different combinations of meteorological parameters in predicting the horizontal global solar radiation with ANN approach: A case study

Author

Listed:
  • Rao K, D.V. Siva Krishna
  • Premalatha, M.
  • Naveen, C.

Abstract

Solar energy is a clean renewable energy source and availability of solar resources at a particular location depends on the local meteorological parameters. In the present study, prediction models using artificial neural networks (ANN) are developed by varying the meteorological parameters from one to six. A two year database of daily global solar radiation (GSR), daily minimum temperature (Tmin), daily maximum temperature (Tmax), difference of daily maximum and minimum temperature (DT), sunshine hours (S), theoretical sunshine hours (So) and extraterrestrial radiation (Ho) have been used to train the ANN. Six ANN models are developed (ANN-1 to ANN-6) with 32 possible combinations of inputs and are used to train the network to identify the best combination of inputs to estimate the monthly mean daily GSR accurately. All the models are validated and the performance of the models are analyzed by using the statistical tools.

Suggested Citation

  • Rao K, D.V. Siva Krishna & Premalatha, M. & Naveen, C., 2018. "Analysis of different combinations of meteorological parameters in predicting the horizontal global solar radiation with ANN approach: A case study," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 91(C), pages 248-258.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:rensus:v:91:y:2018:i:c:p:248-258
    DOI: 10.1016/j.rser.2018.03.096
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1364032118301953
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.rser.2018.03.096?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Bakirci, Kadir, 2009. "Correlations for estimation of daily global solar radiation with hours of bright sunshine in Turkey," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 34(4), pages 485-501.
    2. Kaplanis, S. & Kumar, Jatin & Kaplani, E., 2016. "On a universal model for the prediction of the daily global solar radiation," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 91(C), pages 178-188.
    3. Al-Alawi, S.M. & Al-Hinai, H.A., 1998. "An ANN-based approach for predicting global radiation in locations with no direct measurement instrumentation," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 14(1), pages 199-204.
    4. Wasilewski, J. & Baczynski, D., 2017. "Short-term electric energy production forecasting at wind power plants in pareto-optimality context," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 69(C), pages 177-187.
    5. Trabea, A.A. & Shaltout, M.A.Mosalam, 2000. "Correlation of global solar radiation with meteorological parameters over Egypt," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 21(2), pages 297-308.
    6. Besharat, Fariba & Dehghan, Ali A. & Faghih, Ahmad R., 2013. "Empirical models for estimating global solar radiation: A review and case study," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 21(C), pages 798-821.
    7. Kumar, Rajesh & Aggarwal, R.K. & Sharma, J.D., 2015. "Comparison of regression and artificial neural network models for estimation of global solar radiations," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 52(C), pages 1294-1299.
    8. Rahimikhoob, Ali, 2010. "Estimating global solar radiation using artificial neural network and air temperature data in a semi-arid environment," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 35(9), pages 2131-2135.
    9. Macedo, M.N.Q. & Galo, J.J.M. & de Almeida, L.A.L. & de C. Lima, A.C., 2015. "Demand side management using artificial neural networks in a smart grid environment," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 41(C), pages 128-133.
    10. Deo, Ravinesh C. & Wen, Xiaohu & Qi, Feng, 2016. "A wavelet-coupled support vector machine model for forecasting global incident solar radiation using limited meteorological dataset," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 168(C), pages 568-593.
    11. Teke, Ahmet & Yıldırım, H. Başak & Çelik, Özgür, 2015. "Evaluation and performance comparison of different models for the estimation of solar radiation," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 50(C), pages 1097-1107.
    12. Li, Huashan & Ma, Weibin & Lian, Yongwang & Wang, Xianlong & Zhao, Liang, 2011. "Global solar radiation estimation with sunshine duration in Tibet, China," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 36(11), pages 3141-3145.
    13. Gairaa, Kacem & Khellaf, Abdallah & Messlem, Youcef & Chellali, Farouk, 2016. "Estimation of the daily global solar radiation based on Box–Jenkins and ANN models: A combined approach," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 57(C), pages 238-249.
    14. Yadav, Amit Kumar & Malik, Hasmat & Chandel, S.S., 2014. "Selection of most relevant input parameters using WEKA for artificial neural network based solar radiation prediction models," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 31(C), pages 509-519.
    15. Santos, Noe I. & Said, Aly M. & James, David E. & Venkatesh, Nanda H., 2012. "Modeling solar still production using local weather data and artificial neural networks," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 40(1), pages 71-79.
    16. Amrouche, Badia & Le Pivert, Xavier, 2014. "Artificial neural network based daily local forecasting for global solar radiation," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 130(C), pages 333-341.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Hossain, S. M. Zakir & Sultana, Nahid & Razzak, Shaikh A. & Hossain, Mohammad M., 2022. "Modeling and multi-objective optimization of microalgae biomass production and CO2 biofixation using hybrid intelligence approaches," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 157(C).
    2. Mohammad Mahdi Forootan & Iman Larki & Rahim Zahedi & Abolfazl Ahmadi, 2022. "Machine Learning and Deep Learning in Energy Systems: A Review," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(8), pages 1-49, April.
    3. Singh Doorga, Jay Rovisham & Dhurmea, Kumar Ram & Rughooputh, Soonil & Boojhawon, Ravindra, 2019. "Forecasting mesoscale distribution of surface solar irradiation using a proposed hybrid approach combining satellite remote sensing and time series models," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 104(C), pages 69-85.
    4. Weizhen Wang & Jiaojiao Feng & Feinan Xu, 2021. "Estimating Downward Shortwave Solar Radiation on Clear-Sky Days in Heterogeneous Surface Using LM-BP Neural Network," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(2), pages 1-14, January.
    5. Kumari, Pratima & Toshniwal, Durga, 2021. "Long short term memory–convolutional neural network based deep hybrid approach for solar irradiance forecasting," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 295(C).
    6. Jiaojiao Feng & Weizhen Wang & Jing Li, 2018. "An LM-BP Neural Network Approach to Estimate Monthly-Mean Daily Global Solar Radiation Using MODIS Atmospheric Products," Energies, MDPI, vol. 11(12), pages 1-14, December.
    7. Youssef Kassem & Hüseyin Çamur & Salman Mohammed Awadh Alhuoti, 2020. "Solar Energy Technology for Northern Cyprus: Assessment, Statistical Analysis, and Feasibility Study," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(4), pages 1-29, February.
    8. Bikhtiyar Ameen & Heiko Balzter & Claire Jarvis & James Wheeler, 2019. "Modelling Hourly Global Horizontal Irradiance from Satellite-Derived Datasets and Climate Variables as New Inputs with Artificial Neural Networks," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(1), pages 1-28, January.
    9. Ağbulut, Ümit & Gürel, Ali Etem & Sarıdemir, Suat, 2021. "Experimental investigation and prediction of performance and emission responses of a CI engine fuelled with different metal-oxide based nanoparticles–diesel blends using different machine learning alg," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 215(PA).
    10. Gupta, Priya & Singh, Rhythm, 2023. "Combining a deep learning model with multivariate empirical mode decomposition for hourly global horizontal irradiance forecasting," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 206(C), pages 908-927.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Zhang, Jianyuan & Zhao, Li & Deng, Shuai & Xu, Weicong & Zhang, Ying, 2017. "A critical review of the models used to estimate solar radiation," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 70(C), pages 314-329.
    2. Rohani, Abbas & Taki, Morteza & Abdollahpour, Masoumeh, 2018. "A novel soft computing model (Gaussian process regression with K-fold cross validation) for daily and monthly solar radiation forecasting (Part: I)," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 115(C), pages 411-422.
    3. Keshtegar, Behrooz & Mert, Cihan & Kisi, Ozgur, 2018. "Comparison of four heuristic regression techniques in solar radiation modeling: Kriging method vs RSM, MARS and M5 model tree," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 81(P1), pages 330-341.
    4. Rodrigues, Eugénio & Gomes, Álvaro & Gaspar, Adélio Rodrigues & Henggeler Antunes, Carlos, 2018. "Estimation of renewable energy and built environment-related variables using neural networks – A review," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 94(C), pages 959-988.
    5. Fan, Junliang & Wu, Lifeng & Zhang, Fucang & Cai, Huanjie & Zeng, Wenzhi & Wang, Xiukang & Zou, Haiyang, 2019. "Empirical and machine learning models for predicting daily global solar radiation from sunshine duration: A review and case study in China," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 100(C), pages 186-212.
    6. Chen, Ji-Long & He, Lei & Yang, Hong & Ma, Maohua & Chen, Qiao & Wu, Sheng-Jun & Xiao, Zuo-lin, 2019. "Empirical models for estimating monthly global solar radiation: A most comprehensive review and comparative case study in China," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 108(C), pages 91-111.
    7. Wang, Lunche & Kisi, Ozgur & Zounemat-Kermani, Mohammad & Salazar, Germán Ariel & Zhu, Zhongmin & Gong, Wei, 2016. "Solar radiation prediction using different techniques: model evaluation and comparison," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 61(C), pages 384-397.
    8. Halabi, Laith M. & Mekhilef, Saad & Hossain, Monowar, 2018. "Performance evaluation of hybrid adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system models for predicting monthly global solar radiation," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 213(C), pages 247-261.
    9. Yadav, Amit Kumar & Malik, Hasmat & Chandel, S.S., 2015. "Application of rapid miner in ANN based prediction of solar radiation for assessment of solar energy resource potential of 76 sites in Northwestern India," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 52(C), pages 1093-1106.
    10. Meenal, R. & Selvakumar, A. Immanuel, 2018. "Assessment of SVM, empirical and ANN based solar radiation prediction models with most influencing input parameters," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 121(C), pages 324-343.
    11. Khalil, Samy A. & Shaffie, A.M., 2016. "Evaluation of transposition models of solar irradiance over Egypt," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 66(C), pages 105-119.
    12. Hassan, Gasser E. & Youssef, M. Elsayed & Mohamed, Zahraa E. & Ali, Mohamed A. & Hanafy, Ahmed A., 2016. "New Temperature-based Models for Predicting Global Solar Radiation," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 179(C), pages 437-450.
    13. Qin, Wenmin & Wang, Lunche & Lin, Aiwen & Zhang, Ming & Xia, Xiangao & Hu, Bo & Niu, Zigeng, 2018. "Comparison of deterministic and data-driven models for solar radiation estimation in China," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 81(P1), pages 579-594.
    14. Deo, Ravinesh C. & Şahin, Mehmet, 2017. "Forecasting long-term global solar radiation with an ANN algorithm coupled with satellite-derived (MODIS) land surface temperature (LST) for regional locations in Queensland," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 72(C), pages 828-848.
    15. Samuel Chukwujindu, Nwokolo, 2017. "A comprehensive review of empirical models for estimating global solar radiation in Africa," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 78(C), pages 955-995.
    16. Mohamed A. Ali & Ashraf Elsayed & Islam Elkabani & Mohammad Akrami & M. Elsayed Youssef & Gasser E. Hassan, 2023. "Optimizing Artificial Neural Networks for the Accurate Prediction of Global Solar Radiation: A Performance Comparison with Conventional Methods," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(17), pages 1-30, August.
    17. Akarslan, Emre & Hocaoglu, Fatih Onur, 2017. "A novel method based on similarity for hourly solar irradiance forecasting," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 112(C), pages 337-346.
    18. Teke, Ahmet & Yıldırım, H. Başak & Çelik, Özgür, 2015. "Evaluation and performance comparison of different models for the estimation of solar radiation," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 50(C), pages 1097-1107.
    19. Olatomiwa, Lanre & Mekhilef, Saad & Shamshirband, Shahaboddin & Petković, Dalibor, 2015. "Adaptive neuro-fuzzy approach for solar radiation prediction in Nigeria," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 51(C), pages 1784-1791.
    20. Kambezidis, H.D. & Psiloglou, B.E. & Karagiannis, D. & Dumka, U.C. & Kaskaoutis, D.G., 2017. "Meteorological Radiation Model (MRM v6.1): Improvements in diffuse radiation estimates and a new approach for implementation of cloud products," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 74(C), pages 616-637.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:rensus:v:91:y:2018:i:c:p:248-258. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/wps/find/journaldescription.cws_home/600126/description#description .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.