IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/renene/v169y2021icp1013-1025.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Determination of design parameters to minimize LCOE, for a 1 MWe CSP plant in different sites

Author

Listed:
  • El Hamdani, Fayrouz
  • Vaudreuil, Sébastien
  • Abderafi, Souad
  • Bounahmidi, Tijani

Abstract

The levelized cost of energy (LCOE) from a parabolic trough collector power plant is influenced directly by its design parameters. In the present paper, the impact of five design parameters (solar multiple, direct normal irradiation, cycle efficiency, mirrors efficiency and absorber efficiency) is investigated in order to minimize the LCOE for a 1 MWe power plant. The artificial neural networks (ANN) and the response surface methodology (RSM) are used to model the LCOE as function of these five parameters. The methodology is applied to six cities of Morocco, and the results show that the ANN is the best model to predict the LCOE using the best topology of 5-7-1 neurons. This structure allows satisfactory prediction of LCOE obtained with Mean Absolute Error (MAE) of about 2% and Maximum Error (ME) of 9%. A minimal cost of 8.74 cents is obtained for Tata city with a direct normal irradiation of 7.09 Wh/m2/day, by coupling ANN model to desirability function. The optimal plant design point is 1.94 for the solar multiple, 20.88% for the cycle efficiency, 0.8673 for the mirror efficiency and 0.8537 for the absorber efficiency.

Suggested Citation

  • El Hamdani, Fayrouz & Vaudreuil, Sébastien & Abderafi, Souad & Bounahmidi, Tijani, 2021. "Determination of design parameters to minimize LCOE, for a 1 MWe CSP plant in different sites," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 169(C), pages 1013-1025.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:renene:v:169:y:2021:i:c:p:1013-1025
    DOI: 10.1016/j.renene.2021.01.060
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0960148121000677
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.renene.2021.01.060?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Jack P. C. Kleijnen, 2015. "Response Surface Methodology," International Series in Operations Research & Management Science, in: Michael C Fu (ed.), Handbook of Simulation Optimization, edition 127, chapter 0, pages 81-104, Springer.
    2. Dufo-López, Rodolfo & Bernal-Agustín, José L. & Yusta-Loyo, José M. & Domínguez-Navarro, José A. & Ramírez-Rosado, Ignacio J. & Lujano, Juan & Aso, Ismael, 2011. "Multi-objective optimization minimizing cost and life cycle emissions of stand-alone PV–wind–diesel systems with batteries storage," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 88(11), pages 4033-4041.
    3. Pavlović, Tomislav M. & Radonjić, Ivana S. & Milosavljević, Dragana D. & Pantić, Lana S., 2012. "A review of concentrating solar power plants in the world and their potential use in Serbia," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 16(6), pages 3891-3902.
    4. Belgasim, Basim & Aldali, Yasser & Abdunnabi, Mohammad J.R. & Hashem, Gamal & Hossin, Khaled, 2018. "The potential of concentrating solar power (CSP) for electricity generation in Libya," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 90(C), pages 1-15.
    5. Bendato, Ilaria & Cassettari, Lucia & Mosca, Marco & Mosca, Roberto, 2016. "Stochastic techno-economic assessment based on Monte Carlo simulation and the Response Surface Methodology: The case of an innovative linear Fresnel CSP (concentrated solar power) system," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 101(C), pages 309-324.
    6. Parrado, C. & Marzo, A. & Fuentealba, E. & Fernández, A.G., 2016. "2050 LCOE improvement using new molten salts for thermal energy storage in CSP plants," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 57(C), pages 505-514.
    7. Mihoub, Sofiane & Chermiti, Ali & Beltagy, Hani, 2017. "Methodology of determining the optimum performances of future concentrating solar thermal power plants in Algeria," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 122(C), pages 801-810.
    8. Yan Luo & Yue Hu & Tao Lu, 2019. "Efficient optimized design of solar power tower plants based on successive response surface methodology," International Journal of Low-Carbon Technologies, Oxford University Press, vol. 14(4), pages 475-486.
    9. Bellos, Evangelos & Tzivanidis, Christos, 2017. "Parametric analysis and optimization of an Organic Rankine Cycle with nanofluid based solar parabolic trough collectors," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 114(PB), pages 1376-1393.
    10. Cheng, Ze-Dong & He, Ya-Ling & Du, Bao-Cun & Wang, Kun & Liang, Qi, 2015. "Geometric optimization on optical performance of parabolic trough solar collector systems using particle swarm optimization algorithm," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 148(C), pages 282-293.
    11. Avila-Marin, Antonio L. & Fernandez-Reche, Jesus & Tellez, Felix M., 2013. "Evaluation of the potential of central receiver solar power plants: Configuration, optimization and trends," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 112(C), pages 274-288.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Dahlioui, Dounia & El Hamdani, Fayrouz & Djdiaa, Abdelali & Martínez López, Teodoro & Bouzekri, Hicham, 2023. "Assessment of dry and wet cleaning of aluminum mirrors toward water consumption reduction," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 205(C), pages 248-255.
    2. Zhang, Shunqi & Liu, Ming & Zhao, Yongliang & Zhang, Kezhen & Liu, Jiping & Yan, Junjie, 2022. "Thermodynamic analysis on a novel bypass steam recovery system for parabolic trough concentrated solar power plants during start-up processes," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 198(C), pages 973-983.
    3. Alessandro Bellucci & Gianluca Caposciutti & Marco Antonelli & Daniele Maria Trucchi, 2023. "Techno-Economic Evaluation of Future Thermionic Generators for Small-Scale Concentrated Solar Power Systems," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(3), pages 1-14, January.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Wu, Yunna & Zhang, Buyuan & Wu, Chenghao & Zhang, Ting & Liu, Fangtong, 2019. "Optimal site selection for parabolic trough concentrating solar power plant using extended PROMETHEE method: A case in China," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 143(C), pages 1910-1927.
    2. Ajbar, Wassila & Parrales, A. & Huicochea, A. & Hernández, J.A., 2022. "Different ways to improve parabolic trough solar collectors’ performance over the last four decades and their applications: A comprehensive review," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 156(C).
    3. Aqachmar, Zineb & Allouhi, Amine & Jamil, Abdelmajid & Gagouch, Belgacem & Kousksou, Tarik, 2019. "Parabolic trough solar thermal power plant Noor I in Morocco," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 178(C), pages 572-584.
    4. Meybodi, Mehdi Aghaei & Beath, Andrew C., 2016. "Impact of cost uncertainties and solar data variations on the economics of central receiver solar power plants: An Australian case study," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 93(C), pages 510-524.
    5. Arias, I. & Cardemil, J. & Zarza, E. & Valenzuela, L. & Escobar, R., 2022. "Latest developments, assessments and research trends for next generation of concentrated solar power plants using liquid heat transfer fluids," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 168(C).
    6. Ogunmodimu, Olumide & Okoroigwe, Edmund C., 2018. "Concentrating solar power technologies for solar thermal grid electricity in Nigeria: A review," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 90(C), pages 104-119.
    7. Emmanuel Wendsongre Ramde & Eric Tutu Tchao & Yesuenyeagbe Atsu Kwabla Fiagbe & Jerry John Kponyo & Asakipaam Simon Atuah, 2020. "Pilot Low-Cost Concentrating Solar Power Systems Deployment in Sub-Saharan Africa: A Case Study of Implementation Challenges," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(15), pages 1-14, August.
    8. Icaro Figueiredo Vilasboas & Victor Gabriel Sousa Fagundes dos Santos & Armando Sá Ribeiro & Julio Augusto Mendes da Silva, 2021. "Surrogate Models Applied to Optimized Organic Rankine Cycles," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(24), pages 1-16, December.
    9. Mostafavi Tehrani, S. Saeed & Taylor, Robert A., 2016. "Off-design simulation and performance of molten salt cavity receivers in solar tower plants under realistic operational modes and control strategies," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 179(C), pages 698-715.
    10. Hoz, Jordi de la & Martín, Helena & Montalà, Montserrat & Matas, José & Guzman, Ramon, 2018. "Assessing the 2014 retroactive regulatory framework applied to the concentrating solar power systems in Spain," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 212(C), pages 1377-1399.
    11. Delise, T. & Tizzoni, A.C. & Menale, C. & Telling, M.T.F. & Bubbico, R. & Crescenzi, T. & Corsaro, N. & Sau, S. & Licoccia, S., 2020. "Technical and economic analysis of a CSP plant presenting a low freezing ternary mixture as storage and transfer fluid," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 265(C).
    12. Wang, Kun & He, Ya-Ling & Qiu, Yu & Zhang, Yuwen, 2016. "A novel integrated simulation approach couples MCRT and Gebhart methods to simulate solar radiation transfer in a solar power tower system with a cavity receiver," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 89(C), pages 93-107.
    13. Islam, Md Tasbirul & Huda, Nazmul & Saidur, R., 2019. "Current energy mix and techno-economic analysis of concentrating solar power (CSP) technologies in Malaysia," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 140(C), pages 789-806.
    14. Catalina Hernández & Rodrigo Barraza & Alejandro Saez & Mercedes Ibarra & Danilo Estay, 2020. "Potential Map for the Installation of Concentrated Solar Power Towers in Chile," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(9), pages 1-15, April.
    15. Li, Qing & Bai, Fengwu & Yang, Bei & Wang, Zhifeng & El Hefni, Baligh & Liu, Sijie & Kubo, Syuichi & Kiriki, Hiroaki & Han, Mingxu, 2016. "Dynamic simulation and experimental validation of an open air receiver and a thermal energy storage system for solar thermal power plant," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 178(C), pages 281-293.
    16. Starke, Allan R. & Cardemil, José M. & Bonini, Vinicius R.B. & Escobar, Rodrigo & Castro-Quijada, Matías & Videla, Álvaro, 2024. "Assessing the performance of novel molten salt mixtures on CSP applications," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 359(C).
    17. Abdelhady, Suzan, 2021. "Performance and cost evaluation of solar dish power plant: sensitivity analysis of levelized cost of electricity (LCOE) and net present value (NPV)," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 168(C), pages 332-342.
    18. González-Roubaud, Edouard & Pérez-Osorio, David & Prieto, Cristina, 2017. "Review of commercial thermal energy storage in concentrated solar power plants: Steam vs. molten salts," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 133-148.
    19. Sultan, Ali J. & Hughes, Kevin J. & Ingham, Derek B. & Ma, Lin & Pourkashanian, Mohamed, 2020. "Techno-economic competitiveness of 50 MW concentrating solar power plants for electricity generation under Kuwait climatic conditions," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 134(C).
    20. Ambreen, Tehmina & Kim, Man-Hoe, 2020. "Influence of particle size on the effective thermal conductivity of nanofluids: A critical review," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 264(C).

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:renene:v:169:y:2021:i:c:p:1013-1025. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.journals.elsevier.com/renewable-energy .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.