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Hydropower revenues under the threat of climate change in Brazil

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  • de Queiroz, Anderson Rodrigo
  • Faria, Victor A.D.
  • Lima, Luana M.M.
  • Lima, José W.M.

Abstract

This work analyzes the impacts of climate change in the revenues of hydropower plants. One important input for designing and evaluating investment opportunities in hydropower is the water inflows historical data. Unfortunately, the use of such information alone may not project well the future power generation due to the influence of climate change in the water inflow patterns. This paper introduces spatio-temporal information of the future climate into the operational planning of the Brazilian hydropower system. Global climate models from IPCC are considered along with downscaled regional climate models. Our results at the individual hydro plant level show the importance of taking into account climate change information when performing hydro generation planning studies.

Suggested Citation

  • de Queiroz, Anderson Rodrigo & Faria, Victor A.D. & Lima, Luana M.M. & Lima, José W.M., 2019. "Hydropower revenues under the threat of climate change in Brazil," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 133(C), pages 873-882.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:renene:v:133:y:2019:i:c:p:873-882
    DOI: 10.1016/j.renene.2018.10.050
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    Cited by:

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    4. de Oliveira, Glauber Cardoso & Bertone, Edoardo & Stewart, Rodney A., 2022. "Optimisation modelling tools and solving techniques for integrated precinct-scale energy–water system planning," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 318(C).
    5. Emodi, Nnaemeka Vincent & Chaiechi, Taha & Alam Beg, A.B.M. Rabiul, 2019. "Are emission reduction policies effective under climate change conditions? A backcasting and exploratory scenario approach using the LEAP-OSeMOSYS Model," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 236(C), pages 1183-1217.
    6. do Amaral, J.V.S. & dos Santos, C.H. & Montevechi, J.A.B. & de Queiroz, A.R., 2023. "Energy Digital Twin applications: A review," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 188(C).
    7. Sagar Adhikari & Jirakiattikul Sopin & Kua-Anan Techato & Bibek Kumar Mudbhari, 2023. "A Systematic Review on Investment Risks in Hydropower to Developing Sustainable Renewable Energy Systems," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 13(2), pages 222-230, March.
    8. de Queiroz, A.R. & Mulcahy, D. & Sankarasubramanian, A. & Deane, J.P. & Mahinthakumar, G. & Lu, N. & DeCarolis, J.F., 2019. "Repurposing an energy system optimization model for seasonal power generation planning," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 181(C), pages 1321-1330.
    9. Esteban Gil & Yerel Morales & Tomás Ochoa, 2021. "Addressing the Effects of Climate Change on Modeling Future Hydroelectric Energy Production in Chile," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(1), pages 1-23, January.

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