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Simulation-based seismic loss estimation of seaport transportation system

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  • Na, Ung Jin
  • Shinozuka, Masanobu

Abstract

Seaport transportation system is one of the major lifeline systems in modern society and its reliable operation is crucial for the well-being of the public. However, past experiences showed that earthquake damage to port components can severely disrupt terminal operation, and thus negatively impact on the regional economy. The main purpose of this study is to provide a methodology for estimating the effects of the earthquake on the performance of the operation system of a container terminal in seaports. To evaluate the economic loss of damaged system, an analytical framework is developed by integrating simulation models for terminal operation and fragility curves of port components in the context of seismic risk analysis. For this purpose, computerized simulation model is developed and verified with actual terminal operation records. Based on the analytical procedure to assess the seismic performance of the terminal, system fragility curves are also developed. This simulation-based loss estimation methodology can be used not only for estimating the seismically induced revenue loss but also serve as a decision-making tool to select specific seismic retrofit technique on the basis of benefit–cost analysis.

Suggested Citation

  • Na, Ung Jin & Shinozuka, Masanobu, 2009. "Simulation-based seismic loss estimation of seaport transportation system," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 94(3), pages 722-731.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:reensy:v:94:y:2009:i:3:p:722-731
    DOI: 10.1016/j.ress.2008.07.005
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

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    2. Branislav Dragović & Ernestos Tzannatos & Nam Kuy Park, 2017. "Simulation modelling in ports and container terminals: literature overview and analysis by research field, application area and tool," Flexible Services and Manufacturing Journal, Springer, vol. 29(1), pages 4-34, March.
    3. Pitilakis, Kyriazis & Argyroudis, Sotiris & Fotopoulou, Stavroula & Karafagka, Stella & Kakderi, Kalliopi & Selva, Jacopo, 2019. "Application of stress test concepts for port infrastructures against natural hazards. The case of Thessaloniki port in Greece," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 184(C), pages 240-257.
    4. Taflanidis, Alexandros A. & Loukogeorgaki, Eva & Angelides, Demos C., 2013. "Offshore wind turbine risk quantification/evaluation under extreme environmental conditions," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 115(C), pages 19-32.
    5. Cao, Xinhu & Lam, Jasmine Siu Lee, 2018. "Simulation-based catastrophe-induced port loss estimation," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 175(C), pages 1-12.
    6. Yi‐Ping Fang & Giovanni Sansavini & Enrico Zio, 2019. "An Optimization‐Based Framework for the Identification of Vulnerabilities in Electric Power Grids Exposed to Natural Hazards," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 39(9), pages 1949-1969, September.

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