IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/reensy/v254y2025ipas0951832024006719.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Reliability-constrained configuration optimization for integrated power and natural gas energy systems: A stochastic approach

Author

Listed:
  • Shabanian-Poodeh, Mostafa
  • Hooshmand, Rahmat-Allah
  • Shafie-khah, Miadreza

Abstract

With the escalating dependence on electricity and natural gas infrastructure, ensuring both reliability and economic efficiency becomes paramount. It necessitates reliability centric measures to mitigate disruptions that could cascade between these interconnected systems. To address this challenges, this paper introduces a reliability-constrained two-stage stochastic model to optimize power-to-gas (P2 G) and gas-to-power (G2P) unit placement and sizing, aiming to enhance the reliability of both systems under stochastic scenarios. The proposed model, employing Sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) within its optimization framework, seeks to minimize investment, operation, and reliability costs. By addressing temporal uncertainties in component outages for both systems and considering uncertainties in power and gas system loads with a high temporal resolution and annual load growth, the model provides a comprehensive reliability perspective. Furthermore, sensitivity analysis is conducted to explore the impact of varying Values of Lost Load (VOLL) on the planning results. Numerical evaluation, using two integrated energy systems including IEEE 14-bus-10-gas node, and large-scale energy systems including IEEE 118-bus-85-gas node integrated power-gas system (IPGS), demonstrates a significant 12.53 % improvement in overall system reliability. Furthermore, a 2.81 % reduction in operation costs and a substantial 26.3 % reduction in reliability costs, validating the effectiveness of the proposed model.

Suggested Citation

  • Shabanian-Poodeh, Mostafa & Hooshmand, Rahmat-Allah & Shafie-khah, Miadreza, 2025. "Reliability-constrained configuration optimization for integrated power and natural gas energy systems: A stochastic approach," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 254(PA).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:reensy:v:254:y:2025:i:pa:s0951832024006719
    DOI: 10.1016/j.ress.2024.110600
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0951832024006719
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.ress.2024.110600?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Hasanzad, Fardin & Rastegar, Hasan, 2022. "Application of optimal hardening for improving resilience of integrated power and natural gas system in case of earthquake," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 223(C).
    2. Su, Wenjing & Blumsack, Seth & Webster, Mort, 2024. "A stochastic optimization framework to planing for geographically correlated failures in coupled natural gas and electric power systems," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 246(C).
    3. Shivaie, Mojtaba & Ameli, Mohammad T. & Sepasian, Mohammad S. & Weinsier, Philip D. & Vahidinasab, Vahid, 2015. "A multistage framework for reliability-based distribution expansion planning considering distributed generations by a self-adaptive global-based harmony search algorithm," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 139(C), pages 68-81.
    4. Bornapour, Mosayeb & Hooshmand, Rahmat-Allah & Parastegari, Moein, 2019. "An efficient scenario-based stochastic programming method for optimal scheduling of CHP-PEMFC, WT, PV and hydrogen storage units in micro grids," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 130(C), pages 1049-1066.
    5. He, Xinran & Ding, Tao & Zhang, Xiaosheng & Huang, Yuhan & Li, Li & Zhang, Qinglei & Li, Fangxing, 2023. "A robust reliability evaluation model with sequential acceleration method for power systems considering renewable energy temporal-spatial correlation," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 340(C).
    6. Zhang, Chen & Li, Yan-Fu & Zhang, Hanxiao & Wang, Yujin & Huang, Yuelong & Xu, Jianyu, 2024. "Distributionally robust resilience optimization of post-disaster power system considering multiple uncertainties," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 251(C).
    7. Wang, Zekai & Ding, Tao & Jia, Wenhao & Huang, Can & Mu, Chenggang & Qu, Ming & Shahidehpour, Mohammad & Yang, Yongheng & Blaabjerg, Frede & Li, Li & Wang, Kang & Chi, Fangde, 2022. "Multi-stage stochastic programming for resilient integrated electricity and natural gas distribution systems against typhoon natural disaster attacks," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 159(C).
    8. Zhang, Houwang & Wu, Qiuwei & Chen, Jian & Lu, Lina & Zhang, Jiangfeng & Zhang, Shuyi, 2023. "Multiple stage stochastic planning of integrated electricity and gas system based on distributed approximate dynamic programming," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 270(C).
    9. Ma, Ye & Chi, Yuanying & Wu, Di & Peng, Rui & Wu, Shaomin, 2021. "Reliability of integrated electricity and gas supply system with performance substitution and sharing mechanisms," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 212(C).
    10. Wang, Can & Xie, Haipeng & Bie, Zhaohong & Li, Gengfeng & Yan, Chao, 2021. "Fast supply reliability evaluation of integrated power-gas system based on stochastic capacity network model and importance sampling," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 208(C).
    11. Zou, Yanhua & ÄŒepin, Marko, 2024. "Loss of load probability for power systems based on renewable sources," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 247(C).
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Hu, Yishuang & Ding, Yi & Bao, Minglei, 2024. "An efficient reliability evaluation method for large-scale multi-performance multi-state series-parallel systems considering multi-dimensional approximation," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 252(C).
    2. Chen, Biyun & Chen, Yanni & Zhou, Hengwang & Bai, Xiaoqing & Li, Bin & Guo, Xiaoxuan, 2023. "A Bi-level gaming programming for regional integrated energy system considering the users’ reliability incentive," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 229(C).
    3. Xie, Haipeng & Sun, Xiaotian & Fu, Wei & Chen, Chen & Bie, Zhaohong, 2023. "Risk management for integrated power and natural gas systems against extreme weather: A coalitional insurance contract approach," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 263(PB).
    4. Hughes, William & Zhang, Wei & Cerrai, Diego & Bagtzoglou, Amvrossios & Wanik, David & Anagnostou, Emmanouil, 2022. "A Hybrid Physics-Based and Data-Driven Model for Power Distribution System Infrastructure Hardening and Outage Simulation," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 225(C).
    5. Zhang, Tianhao & Dong, Zhe & Huang, Xiaojin, 2024. "Multi-objective optimization of thermal power and outlet steam temperature for a nuclear steam supply system with deep reinforcement learning," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 286(C).
    6. Zhou, Jun & Zhu, Jiaxing & Liang, Guangchuan & Ma, Junjie & He, Jiayi & Du, Penghua & Ye, Zhanpeng, 2024. "Three-layer and robust planning models to evaluate the strategies of defense layer, attack layer, and operation layer for optimal protection in natural gas pipeline network," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 249(C).
    7. Wang, WuChang & Zhang, Yi & Li, YuXing & Hu, Qihui & Liu, Chengsong & Liu, Cuiwei, 2022. "Vulnerability analysis method based on risk assessment for gas transmission capabilities of natural gas pipeline networks," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 218(PB).
    8. Zhou, Xinxin & Huang, Yun & Bai, Guanghan & Xu, Bei & Tao, Junyong, 2024. "The resilience evaluation of unmanned autonomous swarm with informed agents under partial failure," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 244(C).
    9. Senderov, Sergey M. & Vorobev, Sergey V. & Smirnova, Elena M., 2022. "Peak underground gas storage efficiency in reducing the vulnerability of gas supply to consumers in an extensive gas transmission system," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 221(C).
    10. Xie, Haipeng & Tang, Lingfeng & Zhu, Hao & Cheng, Xiaofeng & Bie, Zhaohong, 2023. "Robustness assessment and enhancement of deep reinforcement learning-enabled load restoration for distribution systems," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 237(C).
    11. Wang, Wei & He, Yufei & Wang, Hongbin & Chen, Hongzhou & Xiong, Xiaofu, 2024. "Improving interdependent urban power and gas distribution systems resilience through optimal scheduling of mobile emergency supply and repair resources," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 250(C).
    12. Wang, Yanzhong & Xie, Bin & E, Shiyuan, 2022. "Adaptive relevance vector machine combined with Markov-chain-based importance sampling for reliability analysis," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 220(C).
    13. Gu, Liudong & Wang, Guanjun & Zhou, Yifan, 2024. "Optimal allocation of multi-state performance sharing systems with multiple common buses," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 247(C).
    14. Kaiwen Li & Yuanming Song & Rui Wang, 2022. "Multi-Objective Optimal Sizing of HRES under Multiple Scenarios with Undetermined Probability," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 10(9), pages 1-19, May.
    15. Chi, Lixun & Qadrdan, Meysam & Chaudry, Modassar & Su, Huai & Zhang, Jinjun, 2024. "Reliability of net-zero energy systems for South Wales," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 369(C).
    16. Zhang, Chen & Li, Yan-Fu & Zhang, Hanxiao & Wang, Yujin & Huang, Yuelong & Xu, Jianyu, 2024. "Distributionally robust resilience optimization of post-disaster power system considering multiple uncertainties," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 251(C).
    17. Yuan, Yi & Ding, Tao & Chang, Xinyue & Jia, Wenhao & Xue, Yixun, 2024. "A distributed multi-objective optimization method for scheduling of integrated electricity and hydrogen systems," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 355(C).
    18. Luis Hernández-Callejo, 2019. "A Comprehensive Review of Operation and Control, Maintenance and Lifespan Management, Grid Planning and Design, and Metering in Smart Grids," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(9), pages 1-50, April.
    19. Arriet, Andrea & Matis, Timothy I. & Feijoo, Felipe, 2024. "Electricity sector impacts of water taxation for natural gas supply under high renewable generation," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 294(C).
    20. Mandhir Kumar Verma & Vivekananda Mukherjee & Vinod Kumar Yadav & Santosh Ghosh, 2020. "Constraints for effective distribution network expansion planning: an ample review," International Journal of System Assurance Engineering and Management, Springer;The Society for Reliability, Engineering Quality and Operations Management (SREQOM),India, and Division of Operation and Maintenance, Lulea University of Technology, Sweden, vol. 11(3), pages 531-546, June.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:reensy:v:254:y:2025:i:pa:s0951832024006719. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.journals.elsevier.com/reliability-engineering-and-system-safety .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.