IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/reensy/v241y2024ics0951832023005173.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Predictive health assessment for lithium-ion batteries with probabilistic degradation prediction and accelerating aging detection

Author

Listed:
  • Che, Yunhong
  • Zheng, Yusheng
  • Forest, Florent Evariste
  • Sui, Xin
  • Hu, Xiaosong
  • Teodorescu, Remus

Abstract

Predictive health assessment is of vital importance for smarter battery management to ensure optimal and safe operations and thus make the most use of battery life. This paper proposes a general framework for battery aging prognostics in order to provide the predictions of battery knee, lifetime, state of health degradation, and aging rate variations, as well as the assessment of battery health. Early information is used to predict knee slope and other life-related information via deep multi-task learning, where the convolutional-long-short-term memory-bayesian neural network is proposed. The structure is also used for online state of health and degradation rate predictions for the detection of accelerating aging. The two probabilistic predicted boundaries identify the accelerating aging regions for battery health assessment. To avoid wrong and premature alarms, the empirical model is used for data preprocessing and the slope is predicted together with the state of health via multi-task learning. A cloud-edge framework is considered where fine-tuning is adopted for performance improvement during cycling. The proposed general framework is flexible for adjustment to different practical requirements and can be extrapolated to other batteries aged under different conditions. The results indicate that the early predictions are improved using the proposed method compared to multiple single feature-based benchmarks, and the algorithm integration is improved. The sequence prediction is reliable for different predicted lengths with root mean square errors of less than 1.41%, and the detection of accelerating aging can guide reliable predictive health management.

Suggested Citation

  • Che, Yunhong & Zheng, Yusheng & Forest, Florent Evariste & Sui, Xin & Hu, Xiaosong & Teodorescu, Remus, 2024. "Predictive health assessment for lithium-ion batteries with probabilistic degradation prediction and accelerating aging detection," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 241(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:reensy:v:241:y:2024:i:c:s0951832023005173
    DOI: 10.1016/j.ress.2023.109603
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0951832023005173
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.ress.2023.109603?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Hong, Joonki & Lee, Dongheon & Jeong, Eui-Rim & Yi, Yung, 2020. "Towards the swift prediction of the remaining useful life of lithium-ion batteries with end-to-end deep learning," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 278(C).
    2. Kristen A. Severson & Peter M. Attia & Norman Jin & Nicholas Perkins & Benben Jiang & Zi Yang & Michael H. Chen & Muratahan Aykol & Patrick K. Herring & Dimitrios Fraggedakis & Martin Z. Bazant & Step, 2019. "Data-driven prediction of battery cycle life before capacity degradation," Nature Energy, Nature, vol. 4(5), pages 383-391, May.
    3. Maosong Fan & Mengmeng Geng & Kai Yang & Mingjie Zhang & Hao Liu, 2023. "State of Health Estimation of Lithium-Ion Battery Based on Electrochemical Impedance Spectroscopy," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(8), pages 1-14, April.
    4. Yang, Yixin, 2021. "A machine-learning prediction method of lithium-ion battery life based on charge process for different applications," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 292(C).
    5. Li, Xiaoyu & Yuan, Changgui & Wang, Zhenpo & Xie, Jiale, 2022. "A data-fusion framework for lithium battery health condition Estimation Based on differential thermal voltammetry," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 239(PC).
    6. Shu, Xing & Shen, Jiangwei & Chen, Zheng & Zhang, Yuanjian & Liu, Yonggang & Lin, Yan, 2022. "Remaining capacity estimation for lithium-ion batteries via co-operation of multi-machine learning algorithms," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 228(C).
    7. Zhao, Hongqian & Chen, Zheng & Shu, Xing & Shen, Jiangwei & Lei, Zhenzhen & Zhang, Yuanjian, 2023. "State of health estimation for lithium-ion batteries based on hybrid attention and deep learning," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 232(C).
    8. Peter M. Attia & Aditya Grover & Norman Jin & Kristen A. Severson & Todor M. Markov & Yang-Hung Liao & Michael H. Chen & Bryan Cheong & Nicholas Perkins & Zi Yang & Patrick K. Herring & Muratahan Ayko, 2020. "Closed-loop optimization of fast-charging protocols for batteries with machine learning," Nature, Nature, vol. 578(7795), pages 397-402, February.
    9. Sohn, Suyeon & Byun, Ha-Eun & Lee, Jay H., 2022. "Two-stage deep learning for online prediction of knee-point in Li-ion battery capacity degradation," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 328(C).
    10. Hsu, Chia-Wei & Xiong, Rui & Chen, Nan-Yow & Li, Ju & Tsou, Nien-Ti, 2022. "Deep neural network battery life and voltage prediction by using data of one cycle only," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 306(PB).
    11. Chenqiang Luo & Zhendong Zhang & Shunliang Zhu & Yongying Li, 2023. "State-of-Health Prediction of Lithium-Ion Batteries Based on Diffusion Model with Transfer Learning," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(9), pages 1-14, April.
    12. Lin, Mingqiang & You, Yuqiang & Wang, Wei & Wu, Ji, 2023. "Battery health prognosis with gated recurrent unit neural networks and hidden Markov model considering uncertainty quantification," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 230(C).
    13. Xu, Xiaodong & Tang, Shengjin & Han, Xuebing & Lu, Languang & Wu, Yu & Yu, Chuanqiang & Sun, Xiaoyan & Xie, Jian & Feng, Xuning & Ouyang, Minggao, 2023. "Fast capacity prediction of lithium-ion batteries using aging mechanism-informed bidirectional long short-term memory network," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 234(C).
    14. Meng, Huixing & Geng, Mengyao & Han, Te, 2023. "Long short-term memory network with Bayesian optimization for health prognostics of lithium-ion batteries based on partial incremental capacity analysis," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 236(C).
    15. Che, Yunhong & Zheng, Yusheng & Wu, Yue & Sui, Xin & Bharadwaj, Pallavi & Stroe, Daniel-Ioan & Yang, Yalian & Hu, Xiaosong & Teodorescu, Remus, 2022. "Data efficient health prognostic for batteries based on sequential information-driven probabilistic neural network," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 323(C).
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Ma, Yan & Li, Jiaqi & Gao, Jinwu & Chen, Hong, 2024. "State of health prediction of lithium-ion batteries under early partial data based on IWOA-BiLSTM with single feature," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 295(C).
    2. Li, Fang & Min, Yongjun & Zhang, Ying & Zhang, Yong & Zuo, Hongfu & Bai, Fang, 2024. "State-of-health estimation method for fast-charging lithium-ion batteries based on stacking ensemble sparse Gaussian process regression," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 242(C).
    3. Guo, Yongfang & Yu, Xiangyuan & Wang, Yashuang & Huang, Kai, 2024. "Health prognostics of lithium-ion batteries based on universal voltage range features mining and adaptive multi-Gaussian process regression with Harris Hawks optimization algorithm," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 244(C).

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Zhao, Hongqian & Chen, Zheng & Shu, Xing & Xiao, Renxin & Shen, Jiangwei & Liu, Yu & Liu, Yonggang, 2024. "Online surface temperature prediction and abnormal diagnosis of lithium-ion batteries based on hybrid neural network and fault threshold optimization," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 243(C).
    2. Zhou, Danhua & Wang, Bin & Zhu, Chao & Zhou, Fang & Wu, Hong, 2023. "A light-weight feature extractor for lithium-ion battery health prognosis," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 237(C).
    3. Wang, Fengfei & Tang, Shengjin & Han, Xuebing & Yu, Chuanqiang & Sun, Xiaoyan & Lu, Languang & Ouyang, Minggao, 2024. "Capacity prediction of lithium-ion batteries with fusing aging information," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 293(C).
    4. Kurucan, Mehmet & Özbaltan, Mete & Yetgin, Zeki & Alkaya, Alkan, 2024. "Applications of artificial neural network based battery management systems: A literature review," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 192(C).
    5. Xu, Xiaodong & Tang, Shengjin & Han, Xuebing & Lu, Languang & Wu, Yu & Yu, Chuanqiang & Sun, Xiaoyan & Xie, Jian & Feng, Xuning & Ouyang, Minggao, 2023. "Fast capacity prediction of lithium-ion batteries using aging mechanism-informed bidirectional long short-term memory network," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 234(C).
    6. Che, Yunhong & Zheng, Yusheng & Wu, Yue & Sui, Xin & Bharadwaj, Pallavi & Stroe, Daniel-Ioan & Yang, Yalian & Hu, Xiaosong & Teodorescu, Remus, 2022. "Data efficient health prognostic for batteries based on sequential information-driven probabilistic neural network," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 323(C).
    7. Chen, Junxiong & Hu, Yuanjiang & Zhu, Qiao & Rashid, Haroon & Li, Hongkun, 2023. "A novel battery health indicator and PSO-LSSVR for LiFePO4 battery SOH estimation during constant current charging," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 282(C).
    8. Chen, Zhang & Chen, Liqun & Ma, Zhengwei & Xu, Kangkang & Zhou, Yu & Shen, Wenjing, 2023. "Joint modeling for early predictions of Li-ion battery cycle life and degradation trajectory," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 277(C).
    9. Li, Fang & Min, Yongjun & Zhang, Ying & Zhang, Yong & Zuo, Hongfu & Bai, Fang, 2024. "State-of-health estimation method for fast-charging lithium-ion batteries based on stacking ensemble sparse Gaussian process regression," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 242(C).
    10. Gu, Xubo & Bai, Hanyu & Cui, Xiaofan & Zhu, Juner & Zhuang, Weichao & Li, Zhaojian & Hu, Xiaosong & Song, Ziyou, 2024. "Challenges and opportunities for second-life batteries: Key technologies and economy," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 192(C).
    11. Hsu, Chia-Wei & Xiong, Rui & Chen, Nan-Yow & Li, Ju & Tsou, Nien-Ti, 2022. "Deep neural network battery life and voltage prediction by using data of one cycle only," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 306(PB).
    12. Du, Jingcai & Zhang, Caiping & Li, Shuowei & Zhang, Linjing & Zhang, Weige, 2024. "Two-stage prediction method for capacity aging trajectories of lithium-ion batteries based on Siamese-convolutional neural network," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 295(C).
    13. Liu, Yunpeng & Hou, Bo & Ahmed, Moin & Mao, Zhiyu & Feng, Jiangtao & Chen, Zhongwei, 2024. "A hybrid deep learning approach for remaining useful life prediction of lithium-ion batteries based on discharging fragments," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 358(C).
    14. He, Ning & Wang, Qiqi & Lu, Zhenfeng & Chai, Yike & Yang, Fangfang, 2024. "Early prediction of battery lifetime based on graphical features and convolutional neural networks," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 353(PA).
    15. Wang, Zhe & Yang, Fangfang & Xu, Qiang & Wang, Yongjian & Yan, Hong & Xie, Min, 2023. "Capacity estimation of lithium-ion batteries based on data aggregation and feature fusion via graph neural network," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 336(C).
    16. Guo, Yongfang & Yu, Xiangyuan & Wang, Yashuang & Huang, Kai, 2024. "Health prognostics of lithium-ion batteries based on universal voltage range features mining and adaptive multi-Gaussian process regression with Harris Hawks optimization algorithm," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 244(C).
    17. Tang, Aihua & Jiang, Yihan & Nie, Yuwei & Yu, Quanqing & Shen, Weixiang & Pecht, Michael G., 2023. "Health and lifespan prediction considering degradation patterns of lithium-ion batteries based on transferable attention neural network," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 279(C).
    18. Pepe, Simona & Ciucci, Francesco, 2023. "Long-range battery state-of-health and end-of-life prediction with neural networks and feature engineering," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 350(C).
    19. Wang, Qiao & Ye, Min & Wei, Meng & Lian, Gaoqi & Li, Yan, 2023. "Random health indicator and shallow neural network based robust capacity estimation for lithium-ion batteries with different fast charging protocols," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 271(C).
    20. Xiong, Xin & Wang, Yujie & Jiang, Cong & Zhang, Xingchen & Xiang, Haoxiang & Chen, Zonghai, 2024. "End-to-end deep learning powered battery state of health estimation considering multi-neighboring incomplete charging data," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 292(C).

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:reensy:v:241:y:2024:i:c:s0951832023005173. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.journals.elsevier.com/reliability-engineering-and-system-safety .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.