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Research on quantitative risk assessment of fuel leak of LNG-fuelled ship during lock transition process

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  • Xie, Cheng
  • Huang, Liwen
  • Wang, Rui
  • Deng, Jian
  • Shu, Yaqing
  • Jiang, Dan

Abstract

As a clean and efficient new maritime fuel, the strict emission standards worldwide recently have been stimulating the use of Liquefied nature gas (LNG), leading a great increase in the number of LNG-fuelled ship. Due to the hazard characteristics of freezing and flammability after release inside a ship lock, it may cause fire and explosion consequence which may threaten the safety of people and lock structure, the research on quantitative risk assessment (QRA) of fuel leakage during lockage is urgently needed in the safety management of LNG-powered ship and ship lock. This paper proposes an integrated QRA model for analysing the fuel leakage risk during lockage of LNG-fuelled ship, and the QRA process based on the world's largest lock Three Gorges lock is performed including the risk identification, probability calculation and consequence modelling. The results show that the individual risks (IRs) of LNG-fuelled ship during lockage is within the negligible area, and the main threat of LNG leakage is heat radiation rather than overpressure. The research results of the study can provide theoretical support in policy-making process of LNG-fuelled ship and ship lock.

Suggested Citation

  • Xie, Cheng & Huang, Liwen & Wang, Rui & Deng, Jian & Shu, Yaqing & Jiang, Dan, 2022. "Research on quantitative risk assessment of fuel leak of LNG-fuelled ship during lock transition process," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 221(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:reensy:v:221:y:2022:i:c:s0951832022000461
    DOI: 10.1016/j.ress.2022.108368
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Wenjie Li & Dawei Wang & Shengfa Yang & Wei Yang, 2021. "Three Gorges Project: benefits and challenges for shipping development in the upper Yangtze River," International Journal of Water Resources Development, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 37(5), pages 758-771, September.
    2. Sharafian, Amir & Blomerus, Paul & Mérida, Walter, 2019. "Natural gas as a ship fuel: Assessment of greenhouse gas and air pollutant reduction potential," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 131(C), pages 332-346.
    3. Xie, Shuyi & Dong, Shaohua & Chen, Yinuo & Peng, Yujie & Li, Xincai, 2021. "A novel risk evaluation method for fire and explosion accidents in oil depots using bow-tie analysis and risk matrix analysis method based on cloud model theory," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 215(C).
    4. Balcombe, Paul & Staffell, Iain & Kerdan, Ivan Garcia & Speirs, Jamie F. & Brandon, Nigel P. & Hawkes, Adam D., 2021. "How can LNG-fuelled ships meet decarbonisation targets? An environmental and economic analysis," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 227(C).
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    Cited by:

    1. Agnieszka A. Tubis & Emilia T. Skupień & Stefan Jankowski & Jacek Ryczyński, 2022. "Risk Assessment of Human Factors of Logistic Handling of Deliveries at an LNG Terminal," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(8), pages 1-24, April.
    2. Deng, Wanyi & Ma, Xiaoxue & Qiao, Weiliang, 2024. "A novel methodology to quantify the impact of safety barriers on maritime operational risk based on a probabilistic network," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 243(C).
    3. Fan, Ailong & Xiong, Yuqi & Yang, Liu & Zhang, Haiying & He, Yapeng, 2023. "Carbon footprint model and low–carbon pathway of inland shipping based on micro–macro analysis," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 263(PE).
    4. Lilli, Giordano & Sanavia, Matteo & Oboe, Roberto & Vianello, Chiara & Manzolaro, Mattia & De Ruvo, Pasquale Luca & Andrighetto, Alberto, 2024. "A semi-quantitative risk assessment of remote handling operations on the SPES Front-End based on HAZOP-LOPA," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 241(C).

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