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Bayes analysis of some important lifetime models using MCMC based approaches when the observations are left truncated and right censored

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  • Ranjan, Rakesh
  • Sen, Rijji
  • Upadhyay, Satyanshu K.

Abstract

The paper considers the Bayes analysis of important lifetime models such as the Weibull, the gamma, and the lognormal distributions when the available data are left truncated and right-censored. Weakly informative prior distributions are employed for the purpose. Two well-known Markov chain Monte Carlo based approaches, namely, the Metropolis algorithm and the Hamiltonian Monte Carlo technique are used to draw samples from analytically intractable posterior distributions. Besides, the paper does a comparative study of the three entertained models using Bayes factor. The paper has considered calculating the marginal likelihood using bridge sampler algorithm for evaluating the necessary Bayes factor. Finally, a numerical illustration based on a real dataset compares the two algorithms and draws relevant conclusions appropriately.

Suggested Citation

  • Ranjan, Rakesh & Sen, Rijji & Upadhyay, Satyanshu K., 2021. "Bayes analysis of some important lifetime models using MCMC based approaches when the observations are left truncated and right censored," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 214(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:reensy:v:214:y:2021:i:c:s0951832021002751
    DOI: 10.1016/j.ress.2021.107747
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    6. Peng, Yizhen & Wang, Yu & Zi, YanYang & Tsui, Kwok-Leung & Zhang, Chuhua, 2017. "Dynamic reliability assessment and prediction for repairable systems with interval-censored data," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 159(C), pages 301-309.
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    Cited by:

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    5. Shuto, Susumu & Amemiya, Takashi, 2022. "Sequential Bayesian inference for Weibull distribution parameters with initial hyperparameter optimization for system reliability estimation," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 224(C).
    6. Lee, Amy H.I. & Wu, Chien-Wei & Wang, To-Cheng & Kuo, Ming-Han, 2024. "Construction of acceptance sampling schemes for exponential lifetime products with progressive type II right censoring," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 243(C).
    7. Nanami Taketomi & Kazuki Yamamoto & Christophe Chesneau & Takeshi Emura, 2022. "Parametric Distributions for Survival and Reliability Analyses, a Review and Historical Sketch," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 10(20), pages 1-23, October.
    8. Zhiyuan Zuo & Liang Wang & Yuhlong Lio, 2022. "Reliability Estimation for Dependent Left-Truncated and Right-Censored Competing Risks Data with Illustrations," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(1), pages 1-25, December.
    9. Zhang, Chunfang & Wang, Liang & Bai, Xuchao & Huang, Jianan, 2022. "Bayesian reliability analysis for copula based step-stress partially accelerated dependent competing risks model," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 227(C).

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