IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/reensy/v209y2021ics0951832021000491.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Probability of loss of assured safety in systems with weak and strong links subject to dependent failures and random shocks

Author

Listed:
  • Pi, Shiqiang
  • Liu, Ying
  • Chen, Haiyan
  • Deng, Yan
  • Xiao, Longyuan

Abstract

Strong link (SL) and weak link (WL) systems are important safety design of high consequence system (HCS). In the accident that continuous time-dependent stress and random shocks occur concomitantly will change the failure mode of SL and WL systems, due to the presences of shock-dependent degradation and competing failure. In this paper, the probability of loss of assured safety (PLOAS) which is the likelihood that WL system will fail to deactivate the HCS before SL system fails, is investigated in the situation that HCS is subject to both continuous stress and random shocks. Four scenarios that the continuous stress is deterministic or stochastic, and continuous stress and random shocks are independent or dependent are analyzed, when SL and WL systems suffer independent random shocks or the same random shocks. It is found that 1) PLOAS is significantly influenced by the Poisson intensity of random shocks, the failure thresholddispersivities and the shock-dependent degradation, which lead to the transform of dominate failure mode; 2) system safety might be enhanced when SL and WL suffer the same random shocks.

Suggested Citation

  • Pi, Shiqiang & Liu, Ying & Chen, Haiyan & Deng, Yan & Xiao, Longyuan, 2021. "Probability of loss of assured safety in systems with weak and strong links subject to dependent failures and random shocks," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 209(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:reensy:v:209:y:2021:i:c:s0951832021000491
    DOI: 10.1016/j.ress.2021.107483
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0951832021000491
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.ress.2021.107483?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Khakzad, Nima & Khan, Faisal & Amyotte, Paul, 2011. "Safety analysis in process facilities: Comparison of fault tree and Bayesian network approaches," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 96(8), pages 925-932.
    2. Toshio Nakagawa, 2007. "Shock and Damage Models in Reliability Theory," Springer Series in Reliability Engineering, Springer, number 978-1-84628-442-7, February.
    3. Pi, Shiqiang & Xiao, Longyuan, 2020. "Investigation of temperature-dependent high consequence system with weak and strong links based on probability of loss of assured safety," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 195(C).
    4. Koosha Rafiee & Qianmei Feng & David Coit, 2014. "Reliability modeling for dependent competing failure processes with changing degradation rate," IISE Transactions, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 46(5), pages 483-496.
    5. Peeters, J.F.W. & Basten, R.J.I. & Tinga, T., 2018. "Improving failure analysis efficiency by combining FTA and FMEA in a recursive manner," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 172(C), pages 36-44.
    6. Fan, Mengfei & Zeng, Zhiguo & Zio, Enrico & Kang, Rui, 2017. "Modeling dependent competing failure processes with degradation-shock dependence," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 165(C), pages 422-430.
    7. Helton, J.C. & Johnson, J.D. & Oberkampf, W.L. & Sallaberry, C.J., 2006. "Sensitivity analysis in conjunction with evidence theory representations of epistemic uncertainty," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 91(10), pages 1414-1434.
    8. Helton, J.C. & Johnson, J.D. & Oberkampf, W.L., 2006. "Probability of loss of assured safety in temperature dependent systems with multiple weak and strong links," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 91(3), pages 320-348.
    9. Helton, Jon C. & Pilch, Martin & Sallaberry, Cédric J., 2014. "Probability of loss of assured safety in systems with multiple time-dependent failure modes: Representations with aleatory and epistemic uncertainty," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 124(C), pages 171-200.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Pi, Shiqiang & Xiao, Longyuan, 2020. "Investigation of temperature-dependent high consequence system with weak and strong links based on probability of loss of assured safety," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 195(C).
    2. Zhengxin Zhang & Xiaosheng Si & Changhua Hu & Xiangyu Kong, 2015. "Degradation modeling–based remaining useful life estimation: A review on approaches for systems with heterogeneity," Journal of Risk and Reliability, , vol. 229(4), pages 343-355, August.
    3. Helton, Jon C. & Brooks, Dusty M. & Sallaberry, Cédric J., 2020. "Property values associated with the failure of individual links in a system with multiple weak and strong links," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 195(C).
    4. Rassoul Noorossana & Kamyar Sabri-Laghaie, 2015. "Reliability and maintenance models for a dependent competing-risk system with multiple time-scales," Journal of Risk and Reliability, , vol. 229(2), pages 131-142, April.
    5. Hai-Kun Wang & Yan-Feng Li & Yu Liu & Yuan-Jian Yang & Hong-Zhong Huang, 2015. "Remaining useful life estimation under degradation and shock damage," Journal of Risk and Reliability, , vol. 229(3), pages 200-208, June.
    6. Liu, Yao & Wang, Yashun & Fan, Zhengwei & Bai, Guanghan & Chen, Xun, 2021. "Reliability modeling and a statistical inference method of accelerated degradation testing with multiple stresses and dependent competing failure processes," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 213(C).
    7. Zeng, Zhiguo & Barros, Anne & Coit, David, 2023. "Dependent failure behavior modeling for risk and reliability: A systematic and critical literature review," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 239(C).
    8. Lyu, Hao & Qu, Hongchen & Yang, Zaiyou & Ma, Li & Lu, Bing & Pecht, Michael, 2023. "Reliability analysis of dependent competing failure processes with time-varying δ shock model," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 229(C).
    9. Cao, Shihao & Wang, Zhihua & Liu, Chengrui & Wu, Qiong & Li, Junxing & Ouyang, Xiangmin, 2023. "A novel solution for comprehensive competing failure process considering two-phase degradation and non-Poisson shock," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 239(C).
    10. Kai Pan & Hui Liu & Xiaoqing Gou & Rui Huang & Dong Ye & Haining Wang & Adam Glowacz & Jie Kong, 2022. "Towards a Systematic Description of Fault Tree Analysis Studies Using Informetric Mapping," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(18), pages 1-28, September.
    11. Helton, J.C. & Johnson, J.D. & Oberkampf, W.L., 2007. "Verification of the calculation of probability of loss of assured safety in temperature-dependent systems with multiple weak and strong links," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 92(10), pages 1363-1373.
    12. Chen, Ying & Wang, Yanfang & Li, Shumin & Kang, Rui, 2023. "Hybrid uncertainty quantification of dependent competing failure process with chance theory," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 230(C).
    13. Zhao, Xian & Wang, Siqi & Wang, Xiaoyue & Cai, Kui, 2018. "A multi-state shock model with mutative failure patterns," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 178(C), pages 1-11.
    14. Jingyi Liu & Yugang Zhang & Bifeng Song, 2019. "Reliability and maintenance modeling for competing failures with intermission considered," Journal of Risk and Reliability, , vol. 233(5), pages 898-907, October.
    15. Ding, Rui & Liu, Zehua & Xu, Jintao & Meng, Fanpeng & Sui, Yang & Men, Xinhong, 2021. "A novel approach for reliability assessment of residual heat removal system for HPR1000 based on failure mode and effect analysis, fault tree analysis, and fuzzy Bayesian network methods," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 216(C).
    16. Wang, Jia & Han, Xu & Zhang, Yun-an & Bai, Guanghan, 2021. "Modeling the varying effects of shocks for a multi-stage degradation process," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 215(C).
    17. Gao, Hongda & Cui, Lirong & Qiu, Qingan, 2019. "Reliability modeling for degradation-shock dependence systems with multiple species of shocks," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 185(C), pages 133-143.
    18. Chang, Miaoxin & Huang, Xianzhen & Coolen, Frank P.A. & Coolen-Maturi, Tahani, 2021. "Reliability analysis for systems based on degradation rates and hard failure thresholds changing with degradation levels," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 216(C).
    19. Chen, Yunxia & Zhang, Wenbo & Xu, Dan, 2019. "Reliability assessment with varying safety threshold for shock resistant systems," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 185(C), pages 49-60.
    20. Helton, Jon C. & Brooks, Dusty M. & Sallaberry, Cédric J., 2022. "Probability of Loss of Assured Safety in Systems with Multiple Time-Dependent Failure Modes: Incorporation of Delayed Link Failure in the Presence of Aleatory Uncertainty," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 223(C).

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:reensy:v:209:y:2021:i:c:s0951832021000491. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.journals.elsevier.com/reliability-engineering-and-system-safety .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.