IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/reensy/v189y2019icp157-164.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Reliability assessment of a continuous-state fuel cell stack system with multiple degrading components

Author

Listed:
  • Yuan, Tao
  • Wu, Xinying
  • Bae, Suk Joo
  • Zhu, Xiaoyan

Abstract

A polymer electrolyte membrane fuel cell (PEMFC) stack is a multi-component system composed of continuously degrading fuel cells. The voltage degradation of the fuel cells causes the degradation of the stack system, which has two system-level degradation measures; the overall stack output voltage and the minimum voltage of individual cells. This paper develops a hierarchical Bayesian modeling and data analysis method to predict the reliability of a PEMFC stack system using the voltage degradation data collected from its fuel cell components. We introduce a two-term exponential model to describe the nonlinear voltage degradation paths of the fuel cell components, then builds a hierarchical Bayesian degradation model to predict the stack system reliability by taking a k-out-of-m:F system into account. Possible alternative modeling approaches are discussed with an in-depth comparison. This paper will contribute to the modeling and data analysis methods for continuous-state systems composed of continuous-state components.

Suggested Citation

  • Yuan, Tao & Wu, Xinying & Bae, Suk Joo & Zhu, Xiaoyan, 2019. "Reliability assessment of a continuous-state fuel cell stack system with multiple degrading components," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 189(C), pages 157-164.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:reensy:v:189:y:2019:i:c:p:157-164
    DOI: 10.1016/j.ress.2019.04.021
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0951832018311992
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.ress.2019.04.021?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Zhao, Xiujie & He, Shuguang & Xie, Min, 2018. "Utilizing experimental degradation data for warranty cost optimization under imperfect repair," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 177(C), pages 108-119.
    2. Jouin, Marine & Gouriveau, Rafael & Hissel, Daniel & Péra, Marie-Cécile & Zerhouni, Noureddine, 2016. "Degradations analysis and aging modeling for health assessment and prognostics of PEMFC," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 148(C), pages 78-95.
    3. Sun, Bo & Fan, Xuejun & Ye, Huaiyu & Fan, Jiajie & Qian, Cheng & van Driel, Williem & Zhang, Guoqi, 2017. "A novel lifetime prediction for integrated LED lamps by electronic-thermal simulation," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 163(C), pages 14-21.
    4. Han, Changwoon & Lee, Hyeonseok, 2019. "A field-applicable health monitoring method for photovoltaic system," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 184(C), pages 219-227.
    5. Bradley P. Carlin & Alan E. Gelfand & Adrian F. M. Smith, 1992. "Hierarchical Bayesian Analysis of Changepoint Problems," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series C, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 41(2), pages 389-405, June.
    6. Guida, Maurizio & Postiglione, Fabio & Pulcini, Gianpaolo, 2015. "A random-effects model for long-term degradation analysis of solid oxide fuel cells," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 140(C), pages 88-98.
    7. Gao, Hongda & Cui, Lirong & Qiu, Qingan, 2019. "Reliability modeling for degradation-shock dependence systems with multiple species of shocks," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 185(C), pages 133-143.
    8. Bae, Suk Joo & Yuan, Tao & Ning, Shuluo & Kuo, Way, 2015. "A Bayesian approach to modeling two-phase degradation using change-point regression," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 134(C), pages 66-74.
    9. Bae, Suk Joo & Kim, Seong-Joon & Lee, Jin-Hwa & Song, Inseob & Kim, Nam-In & Seo, Yongho & Kim, Ki Buem & Lee, Naesung & Park, Jun-Young, 2014. "Degradation pattern prediction of a polymer electrolyte membrane fuel cell stack with series reliability structure via durability data of single cells," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 131(C), pages 48-55.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Zhang, Hanxiao & Li, Yan-Fu, 2022. "Robust optimization on redundancy allocation problems in multi-state and continuous-state series–parallel systems," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 218(PA).
    2. Chen, Yuan & Qiu, Qingan & Zhao, Xian, 2022. "Condition-based opportunistic maintenance policies with two-phase inspections for continuous-state systems," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 228(C).
    3. Rasaki, S.A. & Liu, C. & Lao, C. & Zhang, H. & Chen, Z., 2021. "The innovative contribution of additive manufacturing towards revolutionizing fuel cell fabrication for clean energy generation: A comprehensive review," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 148(C).
    4. Moradi, Ramin & Groth, Katrina M., 2020. "Modernizing risk assessment: A systematic integration of PRA and PHM techniques," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 204(C).
    5. Wu, Xin & Huang, Tingting & Liu, Jie, 2023. "Common stochastic effects induced multivariate degradation process with temporal dependency in degradation characteristic and unit dimensions," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 239(C).
    6. Liu, Bin & Pandey, Mahesh D. & Wang, Xiaolin & Zhao, Xiujie, 2021. "A finite-horizon condition-based maintenance policy for a two-unit system with dependent degradation processes," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 295(2), pages 705-717.
    7. Lorenzo, Charles & Bouquain, David & Hibon, Samuel & Hissel, Daniel, 2021. "Synthesis of degradation mechanisms and of their impacts on degradation rates on proton-exchange membrane fuel cells and lithium-ion nickel–manganese–cobalt batteries in hybrid transport applicati," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 212(C).
    8. Zhao, Xian & Guo, Bin & Chen, Yuan, 2024. "A condition-based inspection-maintenance policy for critical systems with an unreliable monitor system," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 242(C).

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Zuo, Jian & Lv, Hong & Zhou, Daming & Xue, Qiong & Jin, Liming & Zhou, Wei & Yang, Daijun & Zhang, Cunman, 2021. "Deep learning based prognostic framework towards proton exchange membrane fuel cell for automotive application," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 281(C).
    2. Liu, Ze & Xu, Sichuan & Zhao, Honghui & Wang, Yupeng, 2022. "Durability estimation and short-term voltage degradation forecasting of vehicle PEMFC system: Development and evaluation of machine learning models," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 326(C).
    3. Lorenzo, Charles & Bouquain, David & Hibon, Samuel & Hissel, Daniel, 2021. "Synthesis of degradation mechanisms and of their impacts on degradation rates on proton-exchange membrane fuel cells and lithium-ion nickel–manganese–cobalt batteries in hybrid transport applicati," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 212(C).
    4. Pei, Pucheng & Chen, Dongfang & Wu, Ziyao & Ren, Peng, 2019. "Nonlinear methods for evaluating and online predicting the lifetime of fuel cells," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 254(C).
    5. Gao, Hongda & Cui, Lirong & Dong, Qinglai, 2020. "Reliability modeling for a two-phase degradation system with a change point based on a Wiener process," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 193(C).
    6. Fitzpatrick, Matthew, 2014. "Geometric ergodicity of the Gibbs sampler for the Poisson change-point model," Statistics & Probability Letters, Elsevier, vol. 91(C), pages 55-61.
    7. Deng, Zhihua & Chan, Siew Hwa & Chen, Qihong & Liu, Hao & Zhang, Liyan & Zhou, Keliang & Tong, Sirui & Fu, Zhichao, 2023. "Efficient degradation prediction of PEMFCs using ELM-AE based on fuzzy extension broad learning system," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 331(C).
    8. Luo, Ming & Wu, Shaomin, 2019. "A comprehensive analysis of warranty claims and optimal policies," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 276(1), pages 144-159.
    9. Wang, Xiaolin & Liu, Bin & Zhao, Xiujie, 2021. "A performance-based warranty for products subject to competing hard and soft failures," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 233(C).
    10. Li, Xiang & Ding, Qian & Sun, Jian-Qiao, 2018. "Remaining useful life estimation in prognostics using deep convolution neural networks," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 172(C), pages 1-11.
    11. Owyang, Michael T. & Piger, Jeremy & Wall, Howard J., 2008. "A state-level analysis of the Great Moderation," Regional Science and Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 38(6), pages 578-589, November.
    12. Ruggieri, Eric & Antonellis, Marcus, 2016. "An exact approach to Bayesian sequential change point detection," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 97(C), pages 71-86.
    13. Víctor Sanz i López & Ramon Costa-Castelló & Carles Batlle, 2022. "Literature Review of Energy Management in Combined Heat and Power Systems Based on High-Temperature Proton Exchange Membrane Fuel Cells for Residential Comfort Applications," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(17), pages 1-22, September.
    14. Michael W. Robbins & Colin M. Gallagher & Robert B. Lund, 2016. "A General Regression Changepoint Test for Time Series Data," Journal of the American Statistical Association, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 111(514), pages 670-683, April.
    15. Liu, Di & Wang, Shaoping, 2021. "An artificial neural network supported stochastic process for degradation modeling and prediction," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 214(C).
    16. DAVID E. ALLEN & MICHAEL McALEER & ROBERT J. POWELL & ABHAY K. SINGH, 2018. "Non-Parametric Multiple Change Point Analysis Of The Global Financial Crisis," Annals of Financial Economics (AFE), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 13(02), pages 1-23, June.
    17. Wang, Xiaolin & Li, Lishuai & Xie, Min, 2020. "An unpunctual preventive maintenance policy under two-dimensional warranty," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 282(1), pages 304-318.
    18. Costa, Nahuel & Sánchez, Luciano, 2022. "Variational encoding approach for interpretable assessment of remaining useful life estimation," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 222(C).
    19. Ma, Rui & Yang, Tao & Breaz, Elena & Li, Zhongliang & Briois, Pascal & Gao, Fei, 2018. "Data-driven proton exchange membrane fuel cell degradation predication through deep learning method," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 231(C), pages 102-115.
    20. Chen, Kui & Badji, Abderrezak & Laghrouche, Salah & Djerdir, Abdesslem, 2022. "Polymer electrolyte membrane fuel cells degradation prediction using multi-kernel relevance vector regression and whale optimization algorithm," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 318(C).

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:reensy:v:189:y:2019:i:c:p:157-164. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.journals.elsevier.com/reliability-engineering-and-system-safety .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.