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On the development of failure models for hydrocarbon leaks during maintenance work in process plants on offshore petroleum installations

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  • Vinnem, Jan Erik

Abstract

There have been several major offshore accidents in different worldwide regions since 2005. In Norway there have been several very serious near-misses during the last ten years, several of which involved serious hydrocarbon leaks with catastrophic fire and explosion potential. One of the main findings of previous studies is that manual intervention is the main cause of the majority of leaks. Several recent papers have focused on modeling of such works. This paper is based on analysis of 70 major accident precursors (hydrocarbon leaks) in the period 2006–2010. The purpose has been to improve the models that have been published previously, in order to update models with the most recent data. This study has shown that two operational barriers are not as often available as previously assumed. Verification of the performance of work is often the only available barrier, which implies that this is an extremely crucial barrier.

Suggested Citation

  • Vinnem, Jan Erik, 2013. "On the development of failure models for hydrocarbon leaks during maintenance work in process plants on offshore petroleum installations," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 113(C), pages 112-121.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:reensy:v:113:y:2013:i:c:p:112-121
    DOI: 10.1016/j.ress.2012.12.016
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Martins, Marcelo Ramos & Maturana, Marcos Coelho, 2013. "Application of Bayesian Belief networks to the human reliability analysis of an oil tanker operation focusing on collision accidents," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 110(C), pages 89-109.
    2. Vinnem, Jan Erik & Aven, Terje & Husebø, Torleif & Seljelid, Jorunn & Tveit, Odd J., 2006. "Major hazard risk indicators for monitoring of trends in the Norwegian offshore petroleum sector," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 91(7), pages 778-791.
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    Cited by:

    1. Khorsandi, Jahon & Aven, Terje, 2017. "Incorporating assumption deviation risk in quantitative risk assessments: A semi-quantitative approach," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 163(C), pages 22-32.
    2. Bhardwaj, U. & Teixeira, A.P. & Guedes Soares, C. & Ariffin, A.K. & Singh, S.S., 2021. "Evidence based risk analysis of fire and explosion accident scenarios in FPSOs," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 215(C).
    3. Jan Erik Vinnem, 2015. "Analysis of hydrocarbon leaks and verification as an operational barrier," Journal of Risk Research, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 18(9), pages 1130-1144, October.

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