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Optimised asset replacement strategy in the presence of lead time uncertainty

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  • Richardson, Steven
  • Kefford, Adrian
  • Hodkiewicz, Melinda

Abstract

This paper develops an optimal replacement strategy for capital intensive equipment with long delivery lead time. The strategy is based on an extended version of the real options approach to repeated replacement decisions, in which the goal is to determine the operating cost and delivery lead-time conditions upon which a replacement should be ordered.

Suggested Citation

  • Richardson, Steven & Kefford, Adrian & Hodkiewicz, Melinda, 2013. "Optimised asset replacement strategy in the presence of lead time uncertainty," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 141(2), pages 659-667.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:proeco:v:141:y:2013:i:2:p:659-667
    DOI: 10.1016/j.ijpe.2012.10.006
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Yatsenko, Yuri & Hritonenko, Natali, 2011. "Economic life replacement under improving technology," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 133(2), pages 596-602, October.
    2. James C. Bean & Jack R. Lohmann & Robert L. Smith, 1994. "Equipment replacement under technological change," Naval Research Logistics (NRL), John Wiley & Sons, vol. 41(1), pages 117-128, February.
    3. de Sousa, Jorge Freire & Guimaraes, Rui Campos, 1997. "Setting the length of the planning horizon in the vehicle replacement problem," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 101(3), pages 550-559, September.
    4. Ye, Meng-Hua, 1990. "Optimal replacement policy with stochastic maintenance and operation costs," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 44(1), pages 84-94, January.
    5. Avinash K. Dixit & Robert S. Pindyck, 1994. "Investment under Uncertainty," Economics Books, Princeton University Press, edition 1, number 5474.
    6. Nair, Suresh K. & Hopp, Wallace J., 1992. "A model for equipment replacement due to technological obsolescence," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 63(2), pages 207-221, December.
    7. Chien, Yu-Hung, 2010. "Optimal age for preventive replacement under a combined fully renewable free replacement with a pro-rata warranty," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 124(1), pages 198-205, March.
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Ben Abdallah, Skander & Lasserre, Pierre, 2016. "Asset retirement with infinitely repeated alternative replacements: Harvest age and species choice in forestry," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 70(C), pages 144-164.
    2. Alejandro Mac Cawley & Maximiliano Cubillos & Rodrigo Pascual, 2020. "A real options approach for joint overhaul and replacement strategies with mean reverting prices," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 286(1), pages 303-324, March.
    3. Stutzman, Sarah & Weiland, Brandon & Preckel, Paul & Wetzstein, Michael, 2017. "Optimal replacement policies for an uncertain rejuvenated asset," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 185(C), pages 21-33.
    4. Yatsenko, Yuri & Hritonenko, Natali, 2015. "Algorithms for asset replacement under limited technological forecast," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 160(C), pages 26-33.
    5. Adkins, Roger & Paxson, Dean, 2017. "Replacement decisions with multiple stochastic values and depreciation," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 257(1), pages 174-184.
    6. Yatsenko, Yuri & Hritonenko, Natali, 2017. "Machine replacement under evolving deterministic and stochastic costs," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 193(C), pages 491-501.
    7. Yuri Yatsenko & Natali Hritonenko, 2016. "Asset replacement under improving operating and capital costs: a practical approach," International Journal of Production Research, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 54(10), pages 2922-2933, May.
    8. Pinciroli, Luca & Baraldi, Piero & Zio, Enrico, 2023. "Maintenance optimization in industry 4.0," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 234(C).
    9. Trigeorgis, Lenos & Tsekrekos, Andrianos E., 2018. "Real Options in Operations Research: A Review," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 270(1), pages 1-24.

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