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Optimal replacement policies for an uncertain rejuvenated asset

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  • Stutzman, Sarah
  • Weiland, Brandon
  • Preckel, Paul
  • Wetzstein, Michael

Abstract

A theory of asset replacement is developed to determine the optimal timing and feasible conditions to first rejuvenate and then to replace an asset. The theoretical underpinnings mate two strands of research: asset rejuvenation and real options. With the aid of comparative statistics and numerical analysis, results are linked across deterministic and stochastic costs and matched with conventional asset replacement (no rejuvenation). The theoretical model is operationalized by applying numerical analysis to the decisions of whether to rejuvenate an aging coal-fired electricity plant and then decommission, or to simply decommission. In addition, the optimal timing of potential rejuvenation and decommission are addressed. Co-firing coal with wood pellets is considered as the rejuvenating process. In this context, it is the relative difference in virgin (coal) versus rejuvenation (co-firing) initial costs and cost growth rates that determines timing and length of time the rejuvenated plant is operated.

Suggested Citation

  • Stutzman, Sarah & Weiland, Brandon & Preckel, Paul & Wetzstein, Michael, 2017. "Optimal replacement policies for an uncertain rejuvenated asset," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 185(C), pages 21-33.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:proeco:v:185:y:2017:i:c:p:21-33
    DOI: 10.1016/j.ijpe.2016.12.018
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Yatsenko, Yuri & Hritonenko, Natali, 2020. "Optimal asset replacement: Profit maximization under varying technology," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 228(C).
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    3. Nadarajah, Selvaprabu & Secomandi, Nicola, 2023. "A review of the operations literature on real options in energy," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 309(2), pages 469-487.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Asset replacement; Coal; Real options; Wood pellets;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G11 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Portfolio Choice; Investment Decisions
    • Q42 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Energy - - - Alternative Energy Sources
    • Q54 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Environmental Economics - - - Climate; Natural Disasters and their Management; Global Warming

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