IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/phsmap/v602y2022ics037843712200437x.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Lyapunov stability analysis and optimization measures for a dengue disease transmission model

Author

Listed:
  • Abidemi, Afeez
  • Ackora-Prah, Joseph
  • Fatoyinbo, Hammed Olawale
  • Asamoah, Joshua Kiddy K.

Abstract

In this paper, we study a dengue model governed by an eight-dimensional autonomous system of ordinary differential equations using dynamical system theory. Appropriate Lyapunov functions are used to carry out an extensive investigation of the global asymptotic dynamics of the model around the dengue-free and dengue-present equilibria. The model is shown to exhibit a forward bifurcation phenomenon using Center Manifold Theory. Sensitivity analysis is carried out to determine the relative importance of the model parameters to the spread of the disease. Using optimal control theory, the model is further extended to a nonlinear optimal control model to explore the impact of four time-dependent control variables, namely, personal protection, treatment drug therapy for latently infected individuals, treatment control for symptomatic individuals and insecticide control for mosquito reduction, on dengue disease dynamics in a population. Cost-effectiveness analysis is conducted on various strategies with combinations of at least three optimal controls to determine the least costly and most effective strategy that can be implemented to contain the spread of dengue in a population.

Suggested Citation

  • Abidemi, Afeez & Ackora-Prah, Joseph & Fatoyinbo, Hammed Olawale & Asamoah, Joshua Kiddy K., 2022. "Lyapunov stability analysis and optimization measures for a dengue disease transmission model," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 602(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:phsmap:v:602:y:2022:i:c:s037843712200437x
    DOI: 10.1016/j.physa.2022.127646
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S037843712200437X
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only. Journal offers the option of making the article available online on Science direct for a fee of $3,000
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.physa.2022.127646?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Auliya Abdurrohim Suwantika & Woro Supadmi & Mohammad Ali & Rizky Abdulah, 2021. "Cost-effectiveness and budget impact analyses of dengue vaccination in Indonesia," PLOS Neglected Tropical Diseases, Public Library of Science, vol. 15(8), pages 1-16, August.
    2. Asamoah, Joshua Kiddy K. & Jin, Zhen & Sun, Gui-Quan & Seidu, Baba & Yankson, Ernest & Abidemi, Afeez & Oduro, F.T. & Moore, Stephen E. & Okyere, Eric, 2021. "Sensitivity assessment and optimal economic evaluation of a new COVID-19 compartmental epidemic model with control interventions," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 146(C).
    3. Brito da Cruz, Artur M.C. & Rodrigues, Helena Sofia, 2021. "Personal protective strategies for dengue disease: Simulations in two coexisting virus serotypes scenarios," Mathematics and Computers in Simulation (MATCOM), Elsevier, vol. 188(C), pages 254-267.
    4. Asamoah, Joshua Kiddy K. & Owusu, Mark A. & Jin, Zhen & Oduro, F. T. & Abidemi, Afeez & Gyasi, Esther Opoku, 2020. "Global stability and cost-effectiveness analysis of COVID-19 considering the impact of the environment: using data from Ghana," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 140(C).
    5. Sharma, Naveen & Singh, Ram & Cattani, Carlo & Pathak, Rachana, 2021. "Modeling and complexity in dynamics of T-cells and cytokines in dengue fever based on antiviral treatment," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 153(P2).
    6. Abidemi, A. & Abd Aziz, M.I. & Ahmad, R., 2020. "Vaccination and vector control effect on dengue virus transmission dynamics: Modelling and simulation," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 133(C).
    7. Asamoah, Joshua Kiddy K. & Nyabadza, Farai & Jin, Zhen & Bonyah, Ebenezer & Khan, Muhammad Altaf & Li, Michael Y. & Hayat, Tasawar, 2020. "Backward bifurcation and sensitivity analysis for bacterial meningitis transmission dynamics with a nonlinear recovery rate," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 140(C).
    8. Xue, Ling & Zhang, Hongyu & Sun, Wei & Scoglio, Caterina, 2021. "Transmission dynamics of multi-strain dengue virus with cross-immunity," Applied Mathematics and Computation, Elsevier, vol. 392(C).
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Omame, Andrew & Abbas, Mujahid, 2023. "Modeling SARS-CoV-2 and HBV co-dynamics with optimal control," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 615(C).

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Addai, Emmanuel & Zhang, Lingling & Ackora-Prah, Joseph & Gordon, Joseph Frank & Asamoah, Joshua Kiddy K. & Essel, John Fiifi, 2022. "Fractal-fractional order dynamics and numerical simulations of a Zika epidemic model with insecticide-treated nets," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 603(C).
    2. Abidemi, Afeez & Owolabi, Kolade M. & Pindza, Edson, 2022. "Modelling the transmission dynamics of Lassa fever with nonlinear incidence rate and vertical transmission," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 597(C).
    3. Asamoah, Joshua Kiddy K. & Okyere, Eric & Yankson, Ernest & Opoku, Alex Akwasi & Adom-Konadu, Agnes & Acheampong, Edward & Arthur, Yarhands Dissou, 2022. "Non-fractional and fractional mathematical analysis and simulations for Q fever," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 156(C).
    4. Asamoah, Joshua Kiddy K. & Fatmawati,, 2023. "A fractional mathematical model of heartwater transmission dynamics considering nymph and adult amblyomma ticks," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 174(C).
    5. Wen-Jing Zhu & Shou-Feng Shen & Wen-Xiu Ma, 2022. "A (2+1)-Dimensional Fractional-Order Epidemic Model with Pulse Jumps for Omicron COVID-19 Transmission and Its Numerical Simulation," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 10(14), pages 1-14, July.
    6. Asamoah, Joshua Kiddy K. & Jin, Zhen & Sun, Gui-Quan & Seidu, Baba & Yankson, Ernest & Abidemi, Afeez & Oduro, F.T. & Moore, Stephen E. & Okyere, Eric, 2021. "Sensitivity assessment and optimal economic evaluation of a new COVID-19 compartmental epidemic model with control interventions," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 146(C).
    7. Tay, Chai Jian & Fakhruddin, Muhammad & Fauzi, Ilham Saiful & Teh, Su Yean & Syamsuddin, Muhammad & Nuraini, Nuning & Soewono, Edy, 2022. "Dengue epidemiological characteristic in Kuala Lumpur and Selangor, Malaysia," Mathematics and Computers in Simulation (MATCOM), Elsevier, vol. 194(C), pages 489-504.
    8. Li, Tingting & Guo, Youming, 2022. "Optimal control and cost-effectiveness analysis of a new COVID-19 model for Omicron strain," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 606(C).
    9. Li, Tingting & Guo, Youming, 2022. "Modeling and optimal control of mutated COVID-19 (Delta strain) with imperfect vaccination," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 156(C).
    10. Yuan, Yiran & Li, Ning, 2022. "Optimal control and cost-effectiveness analysis for a COVID-19 model with individual protection awareness," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 603(C).
    11. Fehaid Salem Alshammari & Ezgi Akyildiz Tezcan, 2022. "Exploring Radial Kernel on the Novel Forced SEYNHRV-S Model to Capture the Second Wave of COVID-19 Spread and the Variable Transmission Rate," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 10(9), pages 1-17, May.
    12. Malik, Hafiz Abid Mahmood & Abid, Faiza & Wahiddin, Mohamed Ridza & Waqas, Ahmad, 2021. "Modeling of internal and external factors affecting a complex dengue network," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 144(C).
    13. Sheng Bin, 2022. "Construction and Simulation Analysis of Epidemic Propagation Model Based on COVID-19 Characteristics," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 20(1), pages 1-16, December.
    14. Lv, Wei & Zhuang, Shi-Jia & Yu, Changjun, 2022. "Robust bi-objective optimal control of tungiasis diseases," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 156(C).
    15. Srivastav, Akhil Kumar & Steindorf, Vanessa & Stollenwerk, Nico & Aguiar, Maíra, 2023. "The effects of public health measures on severe dengue cases: An optimal control approach," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 172(C).
    16. Boudaoui, Ahmed & El hadj Moussa, Yacine & Hammouch, Zakia & Ullah, Saif, 2021. "A fractional-order model describing the dynamics of the novel coronavirus (COVID-19) with nonsingular kernel," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 146(C).
    17. Saha, Sangeeta & Samanta, Guruprasad, 2022. "Analysis of a host–vector dynamics of a dengue disease model with optimal vector control strategy," Mathematics and Computers in Simulation (MATCOM), Elsevier, vol. 195(C), pages 31-55.
    18. Li, Tianyu & Wu, Yong & Ding, Qianming & Xie, Ying & Yu, Dong & Yang, Lijian & Jia, Ya, 2024. "Social contagion in high-order network with mutation," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 180(C).
    19. Bassey, Bassey Echeng & Atsu, Jeremiah U., 2021. "Global stability analysis of the role of multi-therapies and non-pharmaceutical treatment protocols for COVID-19 pandemic," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 143(C).
    20. Matouk, A.E., 2020. "Complex dynamics in susceptible-infected models for COVID-19 with multi-drug resistance," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 140(C).

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:phsmap:v:602:y:2022:i:c:s037843712200437x. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.journals.elsevier.com/physica-a-statistical-mechpplications/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.