IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/phsmap/v545y2020ics0378437119321247.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Prediction of complex oscillations in the dynamics of coupled chaotic systems using transients

Author

Listed:
  • Pavlova, O.N.
  • Pavlov, A.N.

Abstract

Forecasting complex oscillations based on transients is limited for stochastic and chaotic systems. Unlike restoring further samples, forecasting the emerging oscillatory mode is another important problem, especially near bifurcation points or in the case of multistability. Using the model of two diffusively coupled Rössler oscillators, we recognize various types of chaotic and hyperchaotic attractors, considering a relatively small amount of data, including transients. We show that different methods give similar estimates for a data set required, which is based on the behavior of several quantitative measures depending on the number of samples. The exclusion of the initial part of the data does not allow to reduce the total signal duration necessary for the forecast.

Suggested Citation

  • Pavlova, O.N. & Pavlov, A.N., 2020. "Prediction of complex oscillations in the dynamics of coupled chaotic systems using transients," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 545(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:phsmap:v:545:y:2020:i:c:s0378437119321247
    DOI: 10.1016/j.physa.2019.123818
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0378437119321247
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only. Journal offers the option of making the article available online on Science direct for a fee of $3,000
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.physa.2019.123818?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Defever, Fabrice & Imbruno, Michele & Kneller, Richard, 2020. "Trade liberalization, input intermediaries and firm productivity: Evidence from China," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 126(C).
    2. Spyros Galanis, 2021. "Speculative trade and the value of public information," Journal of Public Economic Theory, Association for Public Economic Theory, vol. 23(1), pages 53-68, February.
    3. Galanis, S. & Ioannou, C. & Kotronis, S., 2019. "Information Aggregation Under Ambiguity: Theory and Experimental Evidence," Working Papers 20/05, Department of Economics, City University London.
    4. Paul Levine & Joseph Pearlman & Stephen Wright & Bo Yang, 2019. "Information, VARs and DSGE Models," School of Economics Discussion Papers 1619, School of Economics, University of Surrey.
    5. Mamageishvili, A. & Schlegel, J. C., 2019. "Optimal Smart Contracts with Costly Verification," Working Papers 19/13, Department of Economics, City University London.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Cui, Li & Luo, Wenhui & Ou, Qingli, 2021. "Analysis of basins of attraction of new coupled hidden attractor system," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 146(C).
    2. Junrong Guo & Xiaolin Liu & Ping Yan, 2023. "Dynamic Analysis of Impulsive Differential Chaotic System and Its Application in Image Encryption," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 11(23), pages 1-18, November.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Liu, Changqing & He, Yigang & Peng, Guanghan, 2019. "The stabilization effect of self-delayed flux integral for two-lane lattice hydrodynamic model," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 535(C).
    2. Torres-Vargas, G. & Fossion, R. & Méndez-Bermúdez, J.A., 2020. "Normal mode analysis of spectra of random networks," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 545(C).
    3. Aldakheel, F. & Ismail, M.S. & Hughes, K.J. & Ingham, D.B. & Ma, L. & Pourkashanian, M. & Cumming, D. & Smith, R., 2020. "Gas permeability, wettability and morphology of gas diffusion layers before and after performing a realistic ex-situ compression test," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 151(C), pages 1082-1091.
    4. Zhu, Wen-Xing & Zhang, Jing-Yu & Song, Ze-Rui, 2019. "Study on braking process of vehicles at the signalized intersection based on car-following theory," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 523(C), pages 1306-1314.
    5. Borjas, George J. & Cassidy, Hugh, 2019. "The wage penalty to undocumented immigration," Labour Economics, Elsevier, vol. 61(C).
    6. Birol, Fatih & Okogu, Bright E., 1997. "Purchasing-Power-Parity (PPP) approach to energy-efficiency measurement: Implications for energy and environmental policy," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 22(1), pages 7-16.
    7. Sen, Parongama, 2020. "Scaling and crossover behaviour in a truncated long range quantum walk," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 545(C).
    8. Gargiulo, Nicola & Peluso, Antonio & Aprea, Paolo & Marino, Ottavio & Cioffi, Raffaele & Jannelli, Elio & Cimino, Stefano & Lisi, Luciana & Caputo, Domenico, 2019. "Chromium-based MIL-101 metal organic framework as a fully regenerable D4 adsorbent for biogas purification," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 138(C), pages 230-235.
    9. Vilela, André L.M. & Wang, Chao & Nelson, Kenric P. & Stanley, H. Eugene, 2019. "Majority-vote model for financial markets," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 515(C), pages 762-770.
    10. Dutton, Hilary & Deane, Kelsey L. & Bullen, Pat, 2020. "Opening up: An exploration of youth mentor self-disclosure using laboratory-based direct observation," Children and Youth Services Review, Elsevier, vol. 108(C).
    11. Charness, Gary & List, John A. & Rustichini, Aldo & Samek, Anya & Van De Ven, Jeroen, 2019. "Theory of mind among disadvantaged children: Evidence from a field experiment," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 166(C), pages 174-194.
    12. Wu, Jing Cynthia & Zhang, Ji, 2019. "A shadow rate New Keynesian model," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 107(C), pages 1-1.
    13. Murray, Jean P. & Steinfeld, Aldo & Fletcher, Edward A., 1995. "Metals, nitrides, and carbides via solar carbothermal reduction of metal oxides," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 20(7), pages 695-704.
    14. Li, Zhiyu & Xu, Xiwei & Jiang, Enchen & Han, Ping & Sun, Yan & Zhou, Ling & Zhong, Peidong & Fan, Xudong, 2020. "Alkane from hydrodeoxygenation (HDO) combined with in-situ multistage condensation of biomass continuous pyrolysis bio-oil via mixed supports catalyst Ni/HZSM-5-γ-Al2O3," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 149(C), pages 535-548.
    15. Bistline, John & Santen, Nidhi & Young, David, 2019. "The economic geography of variable renewable energy and impacts of trade formulations for renewable mandates," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 106(C), pages 79-96.
    16. Mershon, Carol, 2020. "What effect do local political elites have on infant and child death? Elected and chiefly authority in South Africa," Social Science & Medicine, Elsevier, vol. 251(C).
    17. Salo, Sonja & Jokisalo, Juha & Syri, Sanna & Kosonen, Risto, 2019. "Individual temperature control on demand response in a district heated office building in Finland," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 180(C), pages 946-954.
    18. Chen, Jun & Dong, Wang & Tong, Yixing & Zhang, Feida, 2020. "Corporate philanthropy and corporate misconduct: Evidence from China," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 65(C), pages 17-31.
    19. Kadum, Hawwa & Cal, Raúl Bayoán & Quigley, Mike & Cortina, Gerard & Calaf, Marc, 2020. "Compounded energy gains in collocated wind plants: Energy balance quantification and wake morphology description," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 150(C), pages 868-877.
    20. Makarov, Igor & Schoar, Antoinette, 2020. "Trading and arbitrage in cryptocurrency markets," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 135(2), pages 293-319.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:phsmap:v:545:y:2020:i:c:s0378437119321247. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.journals.elsevier.com/physica-a-statistical-mechpplications/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.