IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/phsmap/v510y2018icp387-399.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

A path integral based model for stocks and order dynamics

Author

Listed:
  • Paolinelli, Giovanni
  • Arioli, Gianni

Abstract

We present a model for the short-term dynamics of financial assets based on an application to finance of quantum gauge theory, developing ideas of Ilinski. We present a numerical algorithm for the computation of the probability distribution of prices and compare the results with APPLE stocks prices and the S&P500 index.

Suggested Citation

  • Paolinelli, Giovanni & Arioli, Gianni, 2018. "A path integral based model for stocks and order dynamics," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 510(C), pages 387-399.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:phsmap:v:510:y:2018:i:c:p:387-399
    DOI: 10.1016/j.physa.2018.07.007
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0378437118308598
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only. Journal offers the option of making the article available online on Science direct for a fee of $3,000
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.physa.2018.07.007?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Devreese, J.P.A. & Lemmens, D. & Tempere, J., 2010. "Path integral approach to Asian options in the Black–Scholes model," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 389(4), pages 780-788.
    2. Dupoyet, B. & Fiebig, H.R. & Musgrove, D.P., 2010. "Gauge invariant lattice quantum field theory: Implications for statistical properties of high frequency financial markets," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 389(1), pages 107-116.
    3. G. Bormetti & G. Montagna & N. Moreni & O. Nicrosini, 2006. "Pricing exotic options in a path integral approach," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 6(1), pages 55-66.
    4. Bidarkota, Prasad V. & Dupoyet, Brice V., 2007. "The impact of fat tails on equilibrium rates of return and term premia," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 31(3), pages 887-905, March.
    5. Montagna, Guido & Nicrosini, Oreste & Moreni, Nicola, 2002. "A path integral way to option pricing," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 310(3), pages 450-466.
    6. Dupoyet, B. & Fiebig, H.R. & Musgrove, D.P., 2011. "Replicating financial market dynamics with a simple self-organized critical lattice model," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 390(18), pages 3120-3135.
    7. G. Montagna & O. Nicrosini & N. Moreni, 2002. "A Path Integral Way to Option Pricing," Papers cond-mat/0202143, arXiv.org.
    8. Eleonora Bennati & Marco Rosa-Clot & Stefano Taddei, 1999. "A Path Integral Approach To Derivative Security Pricing I: Formalism And Analytical Results," International Journal of Theoretical and Applied Finance (IJTAF), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 2(04), pages 381-407.
    9. Marco Rosa-Clot & Stefano Taddei, 1999. "A Path Integral Approach to Derivative Security Pricing: II. Numerical Methods," Papers cond-mat/9901279, arXiv.org.
    10. Montagna, Guido & Morelli, Marco & Nicrosini, Oreste & Amato, Paolo & Farina, Marco, 2003. "Pricing derivatives by path integral and neural networks," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 324(1), pages 189-195.
    11. Dupoyet, B. & Fiebig, H.R. & Musgrove, D.P., 2012. "Arbitrage-free self-organizing markets with GARCH properties: Generating them in the lab with a lattice model," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 391(18), pages 4350-4363.
    12. Marco Rosa-Clot & Stefano Taddei, 1999. "A Path Integral Approach to Derivative Security Pricing: I. Formalism and Analytical Results," Papers cond-mat/9901277, arXiv.org.
    13. G. Bormetti & G. Montagna & N. Moreni & O. Nicrosini, 2004. "Pricing Exotic Options in a Path Integral Approach," Papers cond-mat/0407321, arXiv.org, revised May 2006.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Paolinelli, Giovanni & Arioli, Gianni, 2019. "A model for stocks dynamics based on a non-Gaussian path integral," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 517(C), pages 499-514.
    2. Giovanni Paolinelli & Gianni Arioli, 2018. "A model for stocks dynamics based on a non-Gaussian path integral," Papers 1809.01342, arXiv.org, revised Oct 2018.
    3. Zhao, Jun, 2019. "Nonstationary response of a nonlinear economic cycle model under random disturbance," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 517(C), pages 409-421.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Giovanni Paolinelli & Gianni Arioli, 2018. "A model for stocks dynamics based on a non-Gaussian path integral," Papers 1809.01342, arXiv.org, revised Oct 2018.
    2. Paolinelli, Giovanni & Arioli, Gianni, 2019. "A model for stocks dynamics based on a non-Gaussian path integral," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 517(C), pages 499-514.
    3. Giovanni Paolinelli & Gianni Arioli, 2018. "A path integral based model for stocks and order dynamics," Papers 1803.07904, arXiv.org.
    4. Zura Kakushadze, 2014. "Path Integral and Asset Pricing," Papers 1410.1611, arXiv.org, revised Aug 2016.
    5. Zura Kakushadze, 2015. "Path integral and asset pricing," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 15(11), pages 1759-1771, November.
    6. Decamps, Marc & De Schepper, Ann & Goovaerts, Marc, 2006. "A path integral approach to asset-liability management," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 363(2), pages 404-416.
    7. Axel A. Araneda & Marcelo J. Villena, 2018. "Computing the CEV option pricing formula using the semiclassical approximation of path integral," Papers 1803.10376, arXiv.org.
    8. Cassagnes, Aurelien & Chen, Yu & Ohashi, Hirotada, 2014. "Path integral pricing of outside barrier Asian options," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 394(C), pages 266-276.
    9. Devreese, J.P.A. & Lemmens, D. & Tempere, J., 2010. "Path integral approach to Asian options in the Black–Scholes model," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 389(4), pages 780-788.
    10. Giacomo Bormetti & Sofia Cazzaniga, 2014. "Multiplicative noise, fast convolution and pricing," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 14(3), pages 481-494, March.
    11. Giacomo Bormetti & Sofia Cazzaniga, 2011. "Multiplicative noise, fast convolution, and pricing," Papers 1107.1451, arXiv.org.
    12. Yu. A. Kuperin & P. A. Poloskov, 2010. "American Options Pricing under Stochastic Volatility: Approximation of the Early Exercise Surface and Monte Carlo Simulations," Papers 1009.5495, arXiv.org.
    13. Yu. A. Kuperin & P. A. Poloskov, 2010. "Analytical and Numerical Approaches to Pricing the Path-Dependent Options with Stochastic Volatility," Papers 1009.4587, arXiv.org.
    14. Moore, Ryleigh A. & Narayan, Akil, 2022. "Adaptive density tracking by quadrature for stochastic differential equations," Applied Mathematics and Computation, Elsevier, vol. 431(C).
    15. Capuozzo, Pietro & Panella, Emanuele & Schettini Gherardini, Tancredi & Vvedensky, Dimitri D., 2021. "Path integral Monte Carlo method for option pricing," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 581(C).
    16. Igor Halperin, 2021. "Distributional Offline Continuous-Time Reinforcement Learning with Neural Physics-Informed PDEs (SciPhy RL for DOCTR-L)," Papers 2104.01040, arXiv.org.
    17. Decamps, Marc & De Schepper, Ann & Goovaerts, Marc, 2004. "Applications of δ-function perturbation to the pricing of derivative securities," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 342(3), pages 677-692.
    18. Ma, Chao & Ma, Qinghua & Yao, Haixiang & Hou, Tiancheng, 2018. "An accurate European option pricing model under Fractional Stable Process based on Feynman Path Integral," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 494(C), pages 87-117.
    19. G., Mauricio Contreras & Peña, Juan Pablo, 2019. "The quantum dark side of the optimal control theory," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 515(C), pages 450-473.
    20. Andrew Matacz, 2000. "Path Dependent Option Pricing: the path integral partial averaging method," Papers cond-mat/0005319, arXiv.org.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:phsmap:v:510:y:2018:i:c:p:387-399. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.journals.elsevier.com/physica-a-statistical-mechpplications/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.