IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/phsmap/v389y2010i9p1883-1890.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Power law and multiscaling properties of the Chinese stock market

Author

Listed:
  • Bai, Man-Ying
  • Zhu, Hai-Bo

Abstract

We investigate the cumulative probability density function (PDF) and the multiscaling properties of the returns in the Chinese stock market. By using returns data adjusted for thin trading, we find that the distribution has power-law tails at shorter microscopic timescales or lags. However, the distribution follows an exponential law for longer timescales. Furthermore, we investigate the long-range correlation and multifractality of the returns in the Chinese stock market by the DFA and MFDFA methods. We find that all the scaling exponents are between 0.5 and 1 by DFA method, which exhibits the long-range power-law correlations in the Chinese stock market. Moreover, we find, by MFDFA method, that the generalized Hurst exponents h(q) are not constants, which shows the multifractality in the Chinese stock market. We also find that the correlation of Shenzhen stock market is stronger than that of Shanghai stock market.

Suggested Citation

  • Bai, Man-Ying & Zhu, Hai-Bo, 2010. "Power law and multiscaling properties of the Chinese stock market," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 389(9), pages 1883-1890.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:phsmap:v:389:y:2010:i:9:p:1883-1890
    DOI: 10.1016/j.physa.2010.01.005
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0378437110000361
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only. Journal offers the option of making the article available online on Science direct for a fee of $3,000

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.physa.2010.01.005?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Lee, Jae Woo & Eun Lee, Kyoung & Arne Rikvold, Per, 2006. "Multifractal behavior of the Korean stock-market index KOSPI," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 364(C), pages 355-361.
    2. Jiang, Zhi-Qiang & Zhou, Wei-Xing, 2008. "Multifractal analysis of Chinese stock volatilities based on the partition function approach," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 387(19), pages 4881-4888.
    3. Drăgulescu, Adrian & Yakovenko, Victor M., 2001. "Exponential and power-law probability distributions of wealth and income in the United Kingdom and the United States," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 299(1), pages 213-221.
    4. Gu, Gao-Feng & Zhou, Wei-Xing, 2007. "Statistical properties of daily ensemble variables in the Chinese stock markets," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 383(2), pages 497-506.
    5. Yanhui Liu & Parameswaran Gopikrishnan & Pierre Cizeau & Martin Meyer & Chung-Kang Peng & H. Eugene Stanley, 1999. "The statistical properties of the volatility of price fluctuations," Papers cond-mat/9903369, arXiv.org, revised Mar 1999.
    6. Ausloos, Marcel & Miśkiewicz, Janusz & Sanglier, Michèle, 2004. "The durations of recession and prosperity: does their distribution follow a power or an exponential law?," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 339(3), pages 548-558.
    7. Zhang, J.W. & Zhang, Y. & Kleinert, H., 2007. "Power tails of index distributions in chinese stock market," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 377(1), pages 166-172.
    8. Gopikrishnan, P & Plerou, V & Liu, Y & Amaral, L.A.N & Gabaix, X & Stanley, H.E, 2000. "Scaling and correlation in financial time series," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 287(3), pages 362-373.
    9. Lee, Kyoung Eun & Lee, Jae Woo, 2007. "Probability distribution function and multiscaling properties in the Korean stock market," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 383(1), pages 65-70.
    10. Parameswaran Gopikrishnan & Vasiliki Plerou & Luis A. Nunes Amaral & Martin Meyer & H. Eugene Stanley, 1999. "Scaling of the distribution of fluctuations of financial market indices," Papers cond-mat/9905305, arXiv.org.
    11. B. Podobnik & D. F. Fu & H. E. Stanley & P. Ch. Ivanov, 2007. "Power-law autocorrelated stochastic processes with long-range cross-correlations," The European Physical Journal B: Condensed Matter and Complex Systems, Springer;EDP Sciences, vol. 56(1), pages 47-52, March.
    12. Sun, Xia & Chen, Huiping & Yuan, Yongzhuang & Wu, Ziqin, 2001. "Predictability of multifractal analysis of Hang Seng stock index in Hong Kong," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 301(1), pages 473-482.
    13. Appiah-Kusi, Joe & Menyah, Kojo, 2003. "Return predictability in African stock markets," Review of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 12(3), pages 247-270.
    14. Kantelhardt, Jan W. & Zschiegner, Stephan A. & Koscielny-Bunde, Eva & Havlin, Shlomo & Bunde, Armin & Stanley, H.Eugene, 2002. "Multifractal detrended fluctuation analysis of nonstationary time series," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 316(1), pages 87-114.
    15. Miller, Merton H & Muthuswamy, Jayaram & Whaley, Robert E, 1994. "Mean Reversion of Standard & Poor's 500 Index Basis Changes: Arbitrage-Induced or Statistical Illusion?," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 49(2), pages 479-513, June.
    16. Sun, Xia & Chen, Huiping & Wu, Ziqin & Yuan, Yongzhuang, 2001. "Multifractal analysis of Hang Seng index in Hong Kong stock market," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 291(1), pages 553-562.
    17. Gu, Gao-Feng & Chen, Wei & Zhou, Wei-Xing, 2008. "Empirical distributions of Chinese stock returns at different microscopic timescales," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 387(2), pages 495-502.
    18. Wei, Yu & Huang, Dengshi, 2005. "Multifractal analysis of SSEC in Chinese stock market: A different empirical result from Heng Seng index," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 355(2), pages 497-508.
    19. Qiu, T. & Zhong, L.X. & Chen, G. & Wu, X.R., 2009. "Statistical properties of trading volume of Chinese stocks," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 388(12), pages 2427-2434.
    20. H. Jeong & B. Tombor & R. Albert & Z. N. Oltvai & A.-L. Barabási, 2000. "The large-scale organization of metabolic networks," Nature, Nature, vol. 407(6804), pages 651-654, October.
    21. Praetz, Peter D, 1972. "The Distribution of Share Price Changes," The Journal of Business, University of Chicago Press, vol. 45(1), pages 49-55, January.
    22. Charles Rayhorn & M. Kabir Hassan & Jung‐Suk Yu & Kenneth R. Janson, 2007. "Emerging Market Efficiencies: New Zealand's Maturation Experience in the Presence of Non‐Linearity, Thin Trading and Asymmetric Information," International Review of Finance, International Review of Finance Ltd., vol. 7(1‐2), pages 21-34, March.
    23. Jiang, J. & Li, W. & Cai, X. & Wang, Qiuping A., 2009. "Empirical study of recent Chinese stock market," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 388(9), pages 1893-1907.
    24. G.-H. Mu & W. Chen & J. Kertész & W.-X. Zhou, 2009. "Preferred numbers and the distributions of trade sizes and trading volumes in the Chinese stock market," The European Physical Journal B: Condensed Matter and Complex Systems, Springer;EDP Sciences, vol. 68(1), pages 145-152, March.
    25. Xavier Gabaix & Parameswaran Gopikrishnan & Vasiliki Plerou & H. Eugene Stanley, 2003. "A theory of power-law distributions in financial market fluctuations," Nature, Nature, vol. 423(6937), pages 267-270, May.
    26. Silva, A. Christian & Prange, Richard E. & Yakovenko, Victor M., 2004. "Exponential distribution of financial returns at mesoscopic time lags: a new stylized fact," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 344(1), pages 227-235.
    27. Jiang, Zhi-Qiang & Zhou, Wei-Xing, 2007. "Scale invariant distribution and multifractality of volatility multipliers in stock markets," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 381(C), pages 343-350.
    28. Du, Guoxiong & Ning, Xuanxi, 2008. "Multifractal properties of Chinese stock market in Shanghai," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 387(1), pages 261-269.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Maciel, Leandro, 2021. "A new approach to portfolio management in the Brazilian equity market: Does assets efficiency level improve performance?," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 81(C), pages 38-56.
    2. da Silva Filho, Antônio Carlos & Maganini, Natália Diniz & de Almeida, Eduardo Fonseca, 2018. "Multifractal analysis of Bitcoin market," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 512(C), pages 954-967.
    3. Shahzad, Syed Jawad Hussain & Nor, Safwan Mohd & Mensi, Walid & Kumar, Ronald Ravinesh, 2017. "Examining the efficiency and interdependence of US credit and stock markets through MF-DFA and MF-DXA approaches," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 471(C), pages 351-363.
    4. Ruan, Qingsong & Meng, Lu & Lv, Dayong, 2021. "Effect of introducing Bitcoin futures on the underlying Bitcoin market efficiency: A multifractal analysis," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 153(P1).
    5. Cao, Guangxi & Cao, Jie & Xu, Longbing, 2013. "Asymmetric multifractal scaling behavior in the Chinese stock market: Based on asymmetric MF-DFA," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 392(4), pages 797-807.
    6. Peng Liu & Yanyan Zheng, 2022. "Precision measurement of the return distribution property of the Chinese stock market index," Papers 2209.08521, arXiv.org, revised Nov 2023.
    7. Arshad, Shaista & Rizvi, Syed Aun R. & Haroon, Omair & Mehmood, Fahad & Gong, Qiang, 2021. "Are oil prices efficient?," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 96(C), pages 362-370.
    8. Memon, Bilal Ahmed & Yao, Hongxing & Naveed, Hafiz Muhammad, 2022. "Examining the efficiency and herding behavior of commodity markets using multifractal detrended fluctuation analysis. Empirical evidence from energy, agriculture, and metal markets," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
    9. Tomson Ogwang, 2011. "Power laws in top wealth distributions: evidence from Canada," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 41(2), pages 473-486, October.
    10. Ogwang, Tomson, 2013. "Is the wealth of the world’s billionaires Paretian?," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 392(4), pages 757-762.
    11. Ali, Sajid & Shahzad, Syed Jawad Hussain & Raza, Naveed & Al-Yahyaee, Khamis Hamed, 2018. "Stock market efficiency: A comparative analysis of Islamic and conventional stock markets," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 503(C), pages 139-153.
    12. Arshad, Shaista & Rizvi, Syed Aun R., 2015. "The troika of business cycle, efficiency and volatility. An East Asian perspective," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 419(C), pages 158-170.
    13. Jiang, Chenguang & Shang, Pengjian & Shi, Wenbin, 2016. "Multiscale multifractal time irreversibility analysis of stock markets," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 462(C), pages 492-507.
    14. Rizvi, Syed Aun R. & Arshad, Shaista, 2017. "Analysis of the efficiency–integration nexus of Japanese stock market," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 470(C), pages 296-308.
    15. Mensi, Walid & Hamdi, Atef & Shahzad, Syed Jawad Hussain & Shafiullah, Muhammad & Al-Yahyaee, Khamis Hamed, 2018. "Modeling cross-correlations and efficiency of Islamic and conventional banks from Saudi Arabia: Evidence from MF-DFA and MF-DXA approaches," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 502(C), pages 576-589.
    16. Arshad, Shaista & Rizvi, Syed Aun R. & Ghani, Gairuzazmi Mat & Duasa, Jarita, 2016. "Investigating stock market efficiency: A look at OIC member countries," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 36(C), pages 402-413.
    17. Wang, Lei & Liu, Lutao, 2020. "Long-range correlation and predictability of Chinese stock prices," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 549(C).
    18. dos Santos Maciel, Leandro, 2023. "Brazilian stock-market efficiency before and after COVID-19: The roles of fractality and predictability," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 58(C).
    19. Yin, Yi & Shang, Pengjian, 2016. "Forecasting traffic time series with multivariate predicting method," Applied Mathematics and Computation, Elsevier, vol. 291(C), pages 266-278.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Jiang, Zhi-Qiang & Zhou, Wei-Xing, 2008. "Multifractal analysis of Chinese stock volatilities based on the partition function approach," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 387(19), pages 4881-4888.
    2. Zhou, Wei-Xing, 2012. "Finite-size effect and the components of multifractality in financial volatility," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 45(2), pages 147-155.
    3. Sun, Xiao-Qian & Cheng, Xue-Qi & Shen, Hua-Wei & Wang, Zhao-Yang, 2011. "Distinguishing manipulated stocks via trading network analysis," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 390(20), pages 3427-3434.
    4. Chen, Wang & Wei, Yu & Lang, Qiaoqi & Lin, Yu & Liu, Maojuan, 2014. "Financial market volatility and contagion effect: A copula–multifractal volatility approach," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 398(C), pages 289-300.
    5. Hasan, Rashid & Mohammad, Salim M., 2015. "Multifractal analysis of Asian markets during 2007–2008 financial crisis," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 419(C), pages 746-761.
    6. Wang, Lei & Liu, Lutao, 2020. "Long-range correlation and predictability of Chinese stock prices," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 549(C).
    7. Chen, Hongtao & Wu, Chongfeng, 2011. "Forecasting volatility in Shanghai and Shenzhen markets based on multifractal analysis," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 390(16), pages 2926-2935.
    8. Xiao-Qian Sun & Xue-Qi Cheng & Hua-Wei Shen & Zhao-Yang Wang, 2011. "Distinguishing manipulated stocks via trading network analysis," Papers 1110.2260, arXiv.org.
    9. Gu, Gao-Feng & Xiong, Xiong & Zhang, Yong-Jie & Chen, Wei & Zhang, Wei & Zhou, Wei-Xing, 2016. "Stylized facts of price gaps in limit order books," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 88(C), pages 48-58.
    10. Wei-Xing Zhou, 2012. "Universal price impact functions of individual trades in an order-driven market," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 12(8), pages 1253-1263, June.
    11. Ni, Xiao-Hui & Jiang, Zhi-Qiang & Gu, Gao-Feng & Ren, Fei & Chen, Wei & Zhou, Wei-Xing, 2010. "Scaling and memory in the non-Poisson process of limit order cancelation," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 389(14), pages 2751-2761.
    12. Jiang, Zhi-Qiang & Zhou, Wei-Xing, 2008. "Multifractality in stock indexes: Fact or Fiction?," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 387(14), pages 3605-3614.
    13. Jiang, Zhi-Qiang & Zhou, Wei-Xing, 2007. "Scale invariant distribution and multifractality of volatility multipliers in stock markets," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 381(C), pages 343-350.
    14. Zhou, Weijie & Dang, Yaoguo & Gu, Rongbao, 2013. "Efficiency and multifractality analysis of CSI 300 based on multifractal detrending moving average algorithm," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 392(6), pages 1429-1438.
    15. Wei, Yu & Chen, Wang & Lin, Yu, 2013. "Measuring daily Value-at-Risk of SSEC index: A new approach based on multifractal analysis and extreme value theory," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 392(9), pages 2163-2174.
    16. Wang, Yudong & Wu, Chongfeng & Pan, Zhiyuan, 2011. "Multifractal detrending moving average analysis on the US Dollar exchange rates," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 390(20), pages 3512-3523.
    17. Arshad, Shaista & Rizvi, Syed Aun R. & Ghani, Gairuzazmi Mat & Duasa, Jarita, 2016. "Investigating stock market efficiency: A look at OIC member countries," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 36(C), pages 402-413.
    18. Yang, Yujun & Li, Jianping & Yang, Yimei, 2017. "The cross-correlation analysis of multi property of stock markets based on MM-DFA," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 481(C), pages 23-33.
    19. Yang, Honglin & Wan, Hong & Zha, Yong, 2013. "Autocorrelation type, timescale and statistical property in financial time series," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 392(7), pages 1681-1693.
    20. Ruan, Qingsong & Yang, Bingchan, 2017. "The effects of common risk factors on stock returns: A detrended cross-correlation analysis," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 483(C), pages 362-374.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:phsmap:v:389:y:2010:i:9:p:1883-1890. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.journals.elsevier.com/physica-a-statistical-mechpplications/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.