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Distinguishing manipulated stocks via trading network analysis

Author

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  • Xiao-Qian Sun
  • Xue-Qi Cheng
  • Hua-Wei Shen
  • Zhao-Yang Wang

Abstract

Manipulation is an important issue for both developed and emerging stock markets. For the study of manipulation, it is critical to analyze investor behavior in the stock market. In this paper, an analysis of the full transaction records of over a hundred stocks in a one-year period is conducted. For each stock, a trading network is constructed to characterize the relations among its investors. In trading networks, nodes represent investors and a directed link connects a stock seller to a buyer with the total trade size as the weight of the link, and the node strength is the sum of all edge weights of a node. For all these trading networks, we find that the node degree and node strength both have tails following a power-law distribution. Compared with non-manipulated stocks, manipulated stocks have a high lower bound of the power-law tail, a high average degree of the trading network and a low correlation between the price return and the seller-buyer ratio. These findings may help us to detect manipulated stocks.

Suggested Citation

  • Xiao-Qian Sun & Xue-Qi Cheng & Hua-Wei Shen & Zhao-Yang Wang, 2011. "Distinguishing manipulated stocks via trading network analysis," Papers 1110.2260, arXiv.org.
  • Handle: RePEc:arx:papers:1110.2260
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    3. Han, Rui-Qi & Li, Ming-Xia & Chen, Wei & Zhou, Wei-Xing & Stanley, H. Eugene, 2019. "Structural properties of statistically validated empirical information networks," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 523(C), pages 747-756.
    4. Nurullah Celal Uslu & Fuat Akal, 2022. "A Machine Learning Approach to Detection of Trade-Based Manipulations in Borsa Istanbul," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 60(1), pages 25-45, June.
    5. Zhi-Qiang Jiang & Wen-Jie Xie & Xiong Xiong & Wei Zhang & Yong-Jie Zhang & W. -X. Zhou, 2012. "Trading networks, abnormal motifs and stock manipulation," Papers 1301.0007, arXiv.org.
    6. Xiao-Qian Sun & Hua-Wei Shen & Xue-Qi Cheng & Zhao-Yang Wang, 2012. "Degree-Strength Correlation Reveals Anomalous Trading Behavior," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 7(10), pages 1-9, October.
    7. Li, Ming-Xia & Jiang, Zhi-Qiang & Xie, Wen-Jie & Xiong, Xiong & Zhang, Wei & Zhou, Wei-Xing, 2015. "Unveiling correlations between financial variables and topological metrics of trading networks: Evidence from a stock and its warrant," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 419(C), pages 575-584.
    8. Sun, Xiao-Qian & Shen, Hua-Wei & Cheng, Xue-Qi & Zhang, Yuqing, 2017. "Detecting anomalous traders using multi-slice network analysis," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 473(C), pages 1-9.
    9. Shi, Fa-Bin & Sun, Xiao-Qian & Shen, Hua-Wei & Cheng, Xue-Qi, 2019. "Detect colluded stock manipulation via clique in trading network," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 513(C), pages 565-571.
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