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An interest rates cluster analysis

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  • Di Matteo, T.
  • Aste, T.
  • Mantegna, R.N.

Abstract

An empirical analysis of interest rates in money and capital markets is performed. We investigate a set of 34 different weekly interest rate time series during a time period of 16 years between 1982 and 1997. Our study is focused on the collective behavior of the stochastic fluctuations of these time series which is investigated by using a clustering linkage procedure. Without any a priori assumption, we individuate a meaningful separation in 6 main clusters organized in a hierarchical structure.

Suggested Citation

  • Di Matteo, T. & Aste, T. & Mantegna, R.N., 2004. "An interest rates cluster analysis," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 339(1), pages 181-188.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:phsmap:v:339:y:2004:i:1:p:181-188
    DOI: 10.1016/j.physa.2004.03.041
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    1. Pagan, A.R. & Hall, A.D. & Martin, V., 1995. "Modelling the Term Structure," Papers 284, Australian National University - Department of Economics.
    2. Gençay, Ramazan & Dacorogna, Michel & Muller, Ulrich A. & Pictet, Olivier & Olsen, Richard, 2001. "An Introduction to High-Frequency Finance," Elsevier Monographs, Elsevier, edition 1, number 9780122796715.
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    1. Ali Hosseiny & Mohammad Bahrami & Antonio Palestrini & Mauro Gallegati, 2016. "Metastable Features of Economic Networks and Responses to Exogenous Shocks," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 11(10), pages 1-22, October.
    2. Gautier Marti & Frank Nielsen & Miko{l}aj Bi'nkowski & Philippe Donnat, 2017. "A review of two decades of correlations, hierarchies, networks and clustering in financial markets," Papers 1703.00485, arXiv.org, revised Nov 2020.
    3. Sebastiano Michele Zema & Giorgio Fagiolo & Tiziano Squartini & Diego Garlaschelli, 2021. "Mesoscopic Structure of the Stock Market and Portfolio Optimization," Papers 2112.06544, arXiv.org.
    4. Nicolo Musmeci & Tomaso Aste & Tiziana Di Matteo, 2014. "Relation between Financial Market Structure and the Real Economy: Comparison between Clustering Methods," Papers 1406.0496, arXiv.org, revised Jan 2015.
    5. Aoki, Masanao & Hawkins, Raymond, 2009. "Macroeconomic Relaxation: Adjustment Processes of Hierarchical Economic Structures," Economics - The Open-Access, Open-Assessment E-Journal (2007-2020), Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel), vol. 3, pages 1-21.
    6. Tabak, Benjamin M. & Luduvice, André Victor D. & Cajueiro, Daniel O., 2011. "Modeling default probabilities: The case of Brazil," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 21(4), pages 513-534, October.
    7. Musmeci, Nicoló & Aste, Tomaso & Di Matteo, T., 2015. "Relation between financial market structure and the real economy: comparison between clustering methods," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 61644, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    8. Aste, T. & Di Matteo, T., 2006. "Dynamical networks from correlations," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 370(1), pages 156-161.
    9. Tanya Araujo & Francisco Louca, 2007. "The geometry of crashes. A measure of the dynamics of stock market crises," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 7(1), pages 63-74.
    10. Sensoy, Ahmet & Tabak, Benjamin M., 2014. "Dynamic spanning trees in stock market networks: The case of Asia-Pacific," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 414(C), pages 387-402.
    11. Lee, Junghoon & Youn, Janghyuk & Chang, Woojin, 2012. "Intraday volatility and network topological properties in the Korean stock market," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 391(4), pages 1354-1360.
    12. Tabak, Benjamin M. & Serra, Thiago R. & Cajueiro, Daniel O., 2009. "The expectation hypothesis of interest rates and network theory: The case of Brazil," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 388(7), pages 1137-1149.
    13. Hosseiny, Ali & Gallegati, Mauro, 2017. "Role of intensive and extensive variables in a soup of firms in economy to address long run prices and aggregate data," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 470(C), pages 51-59.
    14. Janusz Mi'skiewicz, 2012. "Network analysis of correlation strength between the most developed countries," Papers 1211.3599, arXiv.org.
    15. Ueda, Renan Mitsuo & Souza, Adriano Mendonça & Menezes, Rui Manuel Campilho Pereira, 2020. "How macroeconomic variables affect admission and dismissal in the Brazilian electro-electronic sector: A VAR-based model and cluster analysis," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 557(C).
    16. Nicoló Musmeci & Tomaso Aste & T Di Matteo, 2015. "Relation between Financial Market Structure and the Real Economy: Comparison between Clustering Methods," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 10(3), pages 1-24, March.
    17. Tanya Ara'ujo & Francisco Louc{c}~a, 2005. "The Geometry of Crashes - A Measure of the Dynamics of Stock Market Crises," Papers physics/0506137, arXiv.org, revised Jul 2005.
    18. Ioannis Anagnostou & Tiziano Squartini & Drona Kandhai & Diego Garlaschelli, 2020. "Uncovering the mesoscale structure of the credit default swap market to improve portfolio risk modelling," Papers 2006.03014, arXiv.org, revised Apr 2021.

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