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Sampling, conditionalizing, counting, merging, searching regular vines

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  • Cooke, R.M.
  • Kurowicka, D.
  • Wilson, K.

Abstract

We present a sampling algorithm for a regular vine on n variables which starts at an arbitrary variable. A sampling order whose nested conditional probabilities can be written as products of (conditional) copulas in the vine and univariate margins is said to be implied by the regular vine. We show that there are 2n−1 implied sampling orders for any regular vine on n variables. We show that two regular vines on n and m distinct variables can be merged in 2n+m−2 ways. This greatly simplifies the proof of the number of regular vines on n variables. A notion of sampling proximity based on numbers of shared implied sampling orders is introduced, and we use this notion to define a heuristic for searching vine space that avoids proximate vines.

Suggested Citation

  • Cooke, R.M. & Kurowicka, D. & Wilson, K., 2015. "Sampling, conditionalizing, counting, merging, searching regular vines," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 138(C), pages 4-18.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:jmvana:v:138:y:2015:i:c:p:4-18
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jmva.2015.02.001
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Aas, Kjersti & Czado, Claudia & Frigessi, Arnoldo & Bakken, Henrik, 2009. "Pair-copula constructions of multiple dependence," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 44(2), pages 182-198, April.
    2. Hobæk Haff, Ingrid & Aas, Kjersti & Frigessi, Arnoldo, 2010. "On the simplified pair-copula construction -- Simply useful or too simplistic?," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 101(5), pages 1296-1310, May.
    3. Brechmann, Eike Christian & Schepsmeier, Ulf, 2013. "Modeling Dependence with C- and D-Vine Copulas: The R Package CDVine," Journal of Statistical Software, Foundation for Open Access Statistics, vol. 52(i03).
    4. Stöber, Jakob & Joe, Harry & Czado, Claudia, 2013. "Simplified pair copula constructions—Limitations and extensions," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 119(C), pages 101-118.
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Roger M. Cooke & Harry Joe & Bo Chang, 2020. "Vine copula regression for observational studies," AStA Advances in Statistical Analysis, Springer;German Statistical Society, vol. 104(2), pages 141-167, June.
    2. Zilko, Aurelius A. & Kurowicka, Dorota, 2016. "Copula in a multivariate mixed discrete–continuous model," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 103(C), pages 28-55.
    3. Pourkhanali, Armin & Kim, Jong-Min & Tafakori, Laleh & Fard, Farzad Alavi, 2016. "Measuring systemic risk using vine-copula," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 53(C), pages 63-74.
    4. Zhu, Kailun & Kurowicka, Dorota & Nane, Gabriela F., 2021. "Simplified R-vine based forward regression," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 155(C).
    5. Mikhail Semenov & Daulet Smagulov, 2017. "Portfolio Risk Assessment using Copula Models," Papers 1707.03516, arXiv.org.
    6. Al Rahahleh, Naseem & Bhatti, M. Ishaq, 2017. "Co-movement measure of information transmission on international equity markets," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 470(C), pages 119-131.
    7. Ozonder, Gozde & Miller, Eric J., 2021. "Longitudinal investigation of skeletal activity episode timing decisions – A copula approach," Journal of choice modelling, Elsevier, vol. 40(C).
    8. Aas Kjersti & Nagler Thomas & Jullum Martin & Løland Anders, 2021. "Explaining predictive models using Shapley values and non-parametric vine copulas," Dependence Modeling, De Gruyter, vol. 9(1), pages 62-81, January.
    9. Durante Fabrizio & Puccetti Giovanni & Scherer Matthias & Vanduffel Steven, 2017. "The Vine Philosopher: An interview with Roger Cooke," Dependence Modeling, De Gruyter, vol. 5(1), pages 256-267, December.
    10. Zhu, Kailun & Kurowicka, Dorota, 2022. "Regular vines with strongly chordal pattern of (conditional) independence," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 172(C).

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