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Term limits and bounds on policy responsiveness in dynamic elections

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  • Duggan, John

Abstract

I analyze equilibria of a dynamic political agency model of elections with a two-period term limit in the presence of adverse selection and moral hazard. In equilibrium, office holders' policy choices are ordered by type; politicians exert positive effort in the first term of office; and as politicians become highly office motivated, the highest politician type mixes with positive probability between shirking and choosing arbitrarily high policies. Nevertheless, the commitment problem of voters imposes a bound on equilibrium expected effort exerted by politicians that holds uniformly across the level of office benefit and the rate of time discounting. In particular, when politicians are highly office motivated, voters are too demanding in equilibrium, and voter welfare would increase if it were possible to commit to a lower cutoff for re-election.

Suggested Citation

  • Duggan, John, 2017. "Term limits and bounds on policy responsiveness in dynamic elections," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 170(C), pages 426-463.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:jetheo:v:170:y:2017:i:c:p:426-463
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jet.2016.12.008
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    2. Gersbach, Hans & Jackson, Matthew O. & Tejada, Oriol, 2020. "The Optimal Length of Political Terms," CEPR Discussion Papers 14857, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Elections; Accountability; Policy responsiveness; Infinite horizon; Moral hazard; Adverse selection;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C72 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Game Theory and Bargaining Theory - - - Noncooperative Games
    • C73 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Game Theory and Bargaining Theory - - - Stochastic and Dynamic Games; Evolutionary Games
    • D72 - Microeconomics - - Analysis of Collective Decision-Making - - - Political Processes: Rent-seeking, Lobbying, Elections, Legislatures, and Voting Behavior
    • D78 - Microeconomics - - Analysis of Collective Decision-Making - - - Positive Analysis of Policy Formulation and Implementation

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