IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/jbrese/v69y2016i5p1909-1913.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Secular stagnation, faltering innovation, and high uncertainty: New-era entrepreneurship appraisal using knowledge-based thinking

Author

Listed:
  • Petrakis, Panagiotis E.
  • Kostis, Pantelis C.
  • Kafka, Kyriaki I.

Abstract

In the new era—mainly after the recent global financial crisis—conditions skyrocket uncertainty episodes, while innovation falters and low average nominal returns on entrepreneurial investments occur. Under those circumstances, the traditional instruments of entrepreneurial appraisal and entrepreneurial decisions, limit the utility and endanger the development of entrepreneurship. A need exists for new approaches—such as the creative strategic scenario thinking analysis—that take into account the personal characteristics of the managers and the entrepreneurs, and the new-era conditions, through a combination of strategic thinking and scenario planning, and taking into account the essential role of creativity. This analytical approach can serve as an entrepreneurship appraisal and as a tool to manage future challenges and develop a future competitive advantage. This framework could serve as a mainstream guideline for managers and entrepreneurs who scope to gain and sustain a competitive advantage under the conditions prevailing in the future.

Suggested Citation

  • Petrakis, Panagiotis E. & Kostis, Pantelis C. & Kafka, Kyriaki I., 2016. "Secular stagnation, faltering innovation, and high uncertainty: New-era entrepreneurship appraisal using knowledge-based thinking," Journal of Business Research, Elsevier, vol. 69(5), pages 1909-1913.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:jbrese:v:69:y:2016:i:5:p:1909-1913
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jbusres.2015.10.078
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0148296315005019
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.jbusres.2015.10.078?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Margherita Pagani & Peter Otto, 2013. "Integrating strategic thinking and simulation in marketing strategy : Seeing the whole system," Post-Print hal-02313088, HAL.
    2. Benjamin F. Jones, 2009. "The Burden of Knowledge and the "Death of the Renaissance Man": Is Innovation Getting Harder?," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 76(1), pages 283-317.
    3. Kaish, Stanley & Gilad, Benjamin, 1991. "Characteristics of opportunities search of entrepreneurs versus executives: Sources, interests, general alertness," Journal of Business Venturing, Elsevier, vol. 6(1), pages 45-61, January.
    4. Phelps, R. & Chan, C. & Kapsalis, S. C., 2001. "Does scenario planning affect performance? Two exploratory studies," Journal of Business Research, Elsevier, vol. 51(3), pages 223-232, March.
    5. Lucas, Robert Jr., 1972. "Expectations and the neutrality of money," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 4(2), pages 103-124, April.
    6. Sucheta Nadkarni & V. K. Narayanan, 2007. "Strategic schemas, strategic flexibility, and firm performance: the moderating role of industry clockspeed," Strategic Management Journal, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 28(3), pages 243-270, March.
    7. Robert J. Gordon, 2012. "Is U.S. Economic Growth Over? Faltering Innovation Confronts the Six Headwinds," NBER Working Papers 18315, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    8. Lex Borghans & Angela Lee Duckworth & James J. Heckman & Bas ter Weel, 2008. "The Economics and Psychology of Personality Traits," Journal of Human Resources, University of Wisconsin Press, vol. 43(4).
    9. Pagani, Margherita & Otto, Peter, 2013. "Integrating strategic thinking and simulation in marketing strategy: Seeing the whole system," Journal of Business Research, Elsevier, vol. 66(9), pages 1568-1575.
    10. Gaglio, Connie Marie & Katz, Jerome A, 2001. "The Psychological Basis of Opportunity Identification: Entrepreneurial Alertness," Small Business Economics, Springer, vol. 16(2), pages 95-111, March.
    11. Moon, Byeong-Joon, 2013. "Antecedents and outcomes of strategic thinking," Journal of Business Research, Elsevier, vol. 66(10), pages 1698-1708.
    12. Golden, William & Powell, Philip, 2000. "Towards a definition of flexibility: in search of the Holy Grail?," Omega, Elsevier, vol. 28(4), pages 373-384, August.
    13. Douglas, Evan J. & Shepherd, Dean A., 2000. "Entrepreneurship as a utility maximizing response," Journal of Business Venturing, Elsevier, vol. 15(3), pages 231-251, May.
    14. Petrakis, Panagiotis E. & Kostis, Pantelis C. & Valsamis, Dionysis G., 2015. "Innovation and competitiveness: Culture as a long-term strategic instrument during the European Great Recession," Journal of Business Research, Elsevier, vol. 68(7), pages 1436-1438.
    15. Dreyer, Bent & Gronhaug, Kjell, 2004. "Uncertainty, flexibility, and sustained competitive advantage," Journal of Business Research, Elsevier, vol. 57(5), pages 484-494, May.
    16. Petrakis, Panagiotis & Kostis, Pantelis, 2013. "Economic growth and cultural change," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Economics (formerly The Journal of Socio-Economics), Elsevier, vol. 47(C), pages 147-157.
    17. Chen, Ming-Huei & Chang, Yu-Yu & Lo, Ya-Hsun, 2015. "Creativity cognitive style, conflict, and career success for creative entrepreneurs," Journal of Business Research, Elsevier, vol. 68(4), pages 906-910.
    18. Stickel, Eberhard, 2001. "Uncertainty reduction in a competitive environment," Journal of Business Research, Elsevier, vol. 51(3), pages 169-177, March.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Kafka, Kyriaki I. & Kostis, Pantelis C., 2024. "Unravelling the innovation puzzle: The interplay between uncertainty, economic institutions, and innovation performance in advanced and developing economies," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 198(C).
    2. Mario Rosique-Blasco & Antonia Madrid-Guijarro & Domingo García-Pérez-de-Lema, 2018. "The effects of personal abilities and self-efficacy on entrepreneurial intentions," International Entrepreneurship and Management Journal, Springer, vol. 14(4), pages 1025-1052, December.
    3. Kostis, Pantelis C. & Kafka, Kyriaki I. & Petrakis, Panagiotis E., 2018. "Cultural change and innovation performance," Journal of Business Research, Elsevier, vol. 88(C), pages 306-313.
    4. Usen Essien Inyang & Godswill Efiom Etim & Hannah Etim Archibong, 2024. "Predictors of Entrepreneurial Resilience in Post-Covid 19 Era Among Small-Scale Entrepreneurs in Uyo Metropolis," International Journal of Research and Innovation in Social Science, International Journal of Research and Innovation in Social Science (IJRISS), vol. 8(5), pages 2138-2146, May.
    5. Irwin, Kris & Gilstrap, Collin & McDowell, William & Drnevich, Paul & Gorbett, Abigail, 2022. "How knowledge and uncertainty affect strategic international business investment decisions: Implications for cross-border mergers and acquisitions," Journal of Business Research, Elsevier, vol. 139(C), pages 831-842.
    6. Bouhalleb, Arafet & Tapinos, Efstathios, 2023. "The impact of scenario planning on entrepreneurial orientation," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 187(C).
    7. Pantelis C. Kostis, 2021. "Culture, innovation, and economic development," Journal of Innovation and Entrepreneurship, Springer, vol. 10(1), pages 1-16, December.
    8. Merendino, Alessandro & Dibb, Sally & Meadows, Maureen & Quinn, Lee & Wilson, David & Simkin, Lyndon & Canhoto, Ana, 2018. "Big data, big decisions: The impact of big data on board level decision-making," Journal of Business Research, Elsevier, vol. 93(C), pages 67-78.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Kostis, Pantelis C. & Kafka, Kyriaki I. & Petrakis, Panagiotis E., 2018. "Cultural change and innovation performance," Journal of Business Research, Elsevier, vol. 88(C), pages 306-313.
    2. Dean A. Shepherd & Dawn R. DeTienne, 2005. "Prior Knowledge, Potential Financial Reward, and Opportunity Identification," Entrepreneurship Theory and Practice, , vol. 29(1), pages 91-112, January.
    3. Pankaj C. Patel & James O. Fiet, 2009. "Systematic Search and Its Relationship to Firm Founding," Entrepreneurship Theory and Practice, , vol. 33(2), pages 501-526, March.
    4. Darcy W E Allen, 2020. "When Entrepreneurs Meet:The Collective Governance of New Ideas," World Scientific Books, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., number q0269, September.
    5. Srivastava, Smita & Sahaym, Arvin & Allison, Thomas H., 2021. "Alert and Awake: Role of alertness and attention on rate of new product introductions," Journal of Business Venturing, Elsevier, vol. 36(4).
    6. Maw–Der Foo & Marilyn A. Uy & Charles Murnieks, 2015. "Beyond Affective Valence: Untangling Valence and Activation Influences on Opportunity Identification," Entrepreneurship Theory and Practice, , vol. 39(2), pages 407-431, March.
    7. Singh, Anuraag & Triulzi, Giorgio & Magee, Christopher L., 2021. "Technological improvement rate predictions for all technologies: Use of patent data and an extended domain description," Research Policy, Elsevier, vol. 50(9).
    8. Ronald K. Mitchell & Lowell W. Busenitz & Barbara Bird & Connie Marie Gaglio & Jeffery S. McMullen & Eric A. Morse & J. Brock Smith, 2007. "The Central Question in Entrepreneurial Cognition Research 2007," Entrepreneurship Theory and Practice, , vol. 31(1), pages 1-27, January.
    9. Valliere, Dave, 2013. "Towards a schematic theory of entrepreneurial alertness," Journal of Business Venturing, Elsevier, vol. 28(3), pages 430-442.
    10. Dimo Dimov, 2007. "Beyond the Single-Person, Single-Insight Attribution in Understanding Entrepreneurial Opportunities," Entrepreneurship Theory and Practice, , vol. 31(5), pages 713-731, September.
    11. Jintong Tang, 2010. "How entrepreneurs discover opportunities in China: An institutional view," Asia Pacific Journal of Management, Springer, vol. 27(3), pages 461-479, September.
    12. Torres, Juan Pablo & Barrera, Jose Ignacio & Kunc, Martin & Charters, Steve, 2021. "The dynamics of wine tourism adoption in Chile," Journal of Business Research, Elsevier, vol. 127(C), pages 474-485.
    13. Jörg Claussen & Christian Essling & Christian Peukert, 2018. "Demand variation, strategic flexibility and market entry: Evidence from the U.S. airline industry," Strategic Management Journal, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 39(11), pages 2877-2898, November.
    14. Chitra Singla & Ludvig Levasseur, 2023. "The role of family in unfolding the process of external corporate venturing in small family businesses," Small Business Economics, Springer, vol. 61(1), pages 105-126, June.
    15. Lanivich, Stephen E. & Smith, Adam & Levasseur, Ludvig & Pidduck, Robert J. & Busenitz, Lowell & Tang, Jintong, 2022. "Advancing entrepreneurial alertness: Review, synthesis, and future research directions," Journal of Business Research, Elsevier, vol. 139(C), pages 1165-1176.
    16. Peter Klein & Per Bylund, 2014. "The place of Austrian economics in contemporary entrepreneurship research," The Review of Austrian Economics, Springer;Society for the Development of Austrian Economics, vol. 27(3), pages 259-279, September.
    17. Parida, Vinit & George, Nerine Mary & Wincent, Joakim, 2018. "Strategic diagnosis of information processing structures and commercialization in new ventures," Journal of Business Research, Elsevier, vol. 85(C), pages 83-90.
    18. Ana Dias Daniel & Shahzada Adeel & Anabela Botelho, 2021. "Entrepreneurial Alertness Research: Past and Future," SAGE Open, , vol. 11(3), pages 21582440211, September.
    19. Xuemei Xie & Jiuchang Lv, 2016. "Social networks of female tech-entrepreneurs and new venture performance: the moderating effects of entrepreneurial alertness and gender discrimination," International Entrepreneurship and Management Journal, Springer, vol. 12(4), pages 963-983, December.
    20. Philippe Aghion & Benjamin F. Jones & Charles I. Jones, 2018. "Artificial Intelligence and Economic Growth," NBER Chapters, in: The Economics of Artificial Intelligence: An Agenda, pages 237-282, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:jbrese:v:69:y:2016:i:5:p:1909-1913. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/jbusres .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.