Good finance, bad finance, and resource misallocation: Evidence from China

Using city-level data from China, we find that the overall size of finance does not affect the extent of resource misallocation. However, when finance is decomposed into different parts, we find that local government-driven finance backed by the revenues from land sales exacerbates the misallocation problem, while the remaining part of finance, which is more likely market-driven, significantly improves allocative efficiency. We use the instrumental variable approach to establish causality. Further evidence shows that local government-driven finance lowers allocative efficiency by facilitating the allocation of resources to the low-productivity state sector, but non-local government-driven finance reduces the extent of such distortions. Our analyses suggest that identifying the sources of financial assets and, more broadly, distinguishing between good finance and bad finance are critical to develop a socially desirable financial system.