IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/jaitra/v14y2008i4p213-220.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

A review of research on risk and safety modelling in civil aviation

Author

Listed:
  • Netjasov, Fedja
  • Janic, Milan

Abstract

Safety is considered as some of the most important operational characteristics of contemporary civil aviation. An extensive regulatory structure has been established to supplement the private airline, airport and air navigation systems, incentives to limit the risks of flying. This paper reviews the research on risk and safety modelling in civil aviation. In such a context, the basic concepts and definitions of risk, safety and their evaluation are described. The review focuses on four categories of models for safety assessment: causal for aircraft and air traffic control/management operations, collision risk, human factor error and third-party risk.

Suggested Citation

  • Netjasov, Fedja & Janic, Milan, 2008. "A review of research on risk and safety modelling in civil aviation," Journal of Air Transport Management, Elsevier, vol. 14(4), pages 213-220.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:jaitra:v:14:y:2008:i:4:p:213-220
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jairtraman.2008.04.008
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0969699708000537
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.jairtraman.2008.04.008?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Waheed Siddiqee, 1973. "A Mathematical Model for Predicting the Number of Potential Conflict Situations at Intersecting Air Routes," Transportation Science, INFORMS, vol. 7(2), pages 158-167, May.
    2. מחקר - ביטוח לאומי, 2006. "Summary for 2005," Working Papers 29, National Insurance Institute of Israel.
    3. Robert E. Machol, 1975. "An Aircraft Collision Model," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 21(10), pages 1089-1101, June.
    4. Janic, Milan, 2000. "An assessment of risk and safety in civil aviation," Journal of Air Transport Management, Elsevier, vol. 6(1), pages 43-50.
    5. Kenneth E. Geisinger, 1985. "Airspace Conflict Equations," Transportation Science, INFORMS, vol. 19(2), pages 139-153, May.
    6. Arnold Barnett, 2000. "Free-Flight and en Route Air Safety: A First-Order Analysis," Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 48(6), pages 833-845, December.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Sun, Jun-ya & Liao, Yang & Lu, Fei & Sun, Rui-shan & Jia, Hong-bo, 2023. "Assessment of pilot fatigue risk on international flights under the prevention and control policy of the Chinese civil aviation industry during the COVID-19," Journal of Air Transport Management, Elsevier, vol. 112(C).
    2. Bani-Mustafa, Tasneem & Flage, Roger & Vasseur, Dominique & Zeng, Zhiguo & Zio, Enrico, 2020. "An extended method for evaluating assumptions deviations in quantitative risk assessment and its application to external flooding risk assessment of a nuclear power plant," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 200(C).
    3. Ghoneim, Ayman & Abbass, Hussein A., 2016. "A multiobjective distance separation methodology to determine sector-level minimum separation for safe air traffic scenarios," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 253(1), pages 226-240.
    4. Jahangoshai Rezaee, Mustafa & Yousefi, Samuel, 2018. "An intelligent decision making approach for identifying and analyzing airport risks," Journal of Air Transport Management, Elsevier, vol. 68(C), pages 14-27.
    5. M Baldauf & K Benedict & S Fischer & F Motz & J-U Schröder-Hinrichs, 2011. "Collision avoidance systems in air and maritime traffic," Journal of Risk and Reliability, , vol. 225(3), pages 333-343, September.
    6. Oster, Clinton V. & Strong, John S. & Zorn, C. Kurt, 2013. "Analyzing aviation safety: Problems, challenges, opportunities," Research in Transportation Economics, Elsevier, vol. 43(1), pages 148-164.
    7. Ivano Bongiovanni & Cameron Newton, 2019. "Toward an Epidemiology of Safety and Security Risks: An Organizational Vulnerability Assessment in International Airports," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 39(6), pages 1281-1297, June.
    8. Fox, Sarah, 2014. "Safety and security: The influence of 9/11 to the EU framework for air carriers and aircraft operators," Research in Transportation Economics, Elsevier, vol. 45(C), pages 24-33.
    9. Bauranov, Aleksandar & Rakas, Jasenka, 2024. "Bayesian network model of aviation safety: Impact of new communication technologies on mid-air collisions," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 243(C).
    10. Rahim A. Ganiyu, 2016. "Perceived Service Quality and Customer Loyalty: The Mediating Effect of Passenger Satisfaction in the Nigerian Airline Industry," International Journal of Management and Economics, Warsaw School of Economics, Collegium of World Economy, vol. 52(1), pages 94-117, December.
    11. Anders la Cour‐Harbo & Henrik Schiøler, 2019. "Probability of Low‐Altitude Midair Collision Between General Aviation and Unmanned Aircraft," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 39(11), pages 2499-2513, November.
    12. Naybour, Matthew & Remenyte-Prescott, Rasa & Boyd, Matthew J., 2019. "Reliability and efficiency evaluation of a community pharmacy dispensing process using a coloured Petri-net approach," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 182(C), pages 258-268.
    13. Wang, Lijing & Wang, Yanlong & Chen, Yingchun & Pan, Xing & Zhang, Wenjin & Zhu, Yanzhi, 2020. "Methodology for assessing dependencies between factors influencing airline pilot performance reliability: A case of taxiing tasks," Journal of Air Transport Management, Elsevier, vol. 89(C).
    14. Monika Blišťanová & Michaela Tirpáková & Jozef Galanda, 2022. "Proposal of Risk Identification Methodology Using the Prompt List on the Example of an Air Carrier," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(15), pages 1-20, July.
    15. Fox, Sarah Jane, 2020. "The ‘risk’ of disruptive technology today (A case study of aviation – Enter the drone)," Technology in Society, Elsevier, vol. 62(C).
    16. Pacheco, Ricardo Rodrigues & Fernandes, Elton & Domingos, Eduardo Marques, 2014. "Airport airside safety index," Journal of Air Transport Management, Elsevier, vol. 34(C), pages 86-92.
    17. Chikha, Paulina & Skorupski, Jacek, 2022. "The risk of an airport traffic accident in the context of the ground handling personnel performance," Journal of Air Transport Management, Elsevier, vol. 105(C).
    18. Rios Insua, D. & Alfaro, C. & Gomez, J. & Hernandez-Coronado, P. & Bernal, F., 2018. "A framework for risk management decisions in aviation safety at state level," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 179(C), pages 74-82.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Salter, Mark B., 2007. "SeMS and sensibility: Security management systems and the management of risk in the Canadian Air Transport Security Authority," Journal of Air Transport Management, Elsevier, vol. 13(6), pages 389-398.
    2. Productivity Commission, 2006. "Review of Price Regulation of Airports Services," Inquiry Reports, Productivity Commission, Government of Australia, number 40.
    3. MacCarty, Nordica A. & Bryden, Kenneth Mark, 2016. "An integrated systems model for energy services in rural developing communities," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 113(C), pages 536-557.
    4. Bhalotra, Sonia & Clarke, Damian & Mühlrad, Hanna & Palme, Mårten, 2021. "Health and Labor Market Impacts of Twin Birth : Evidence from a Swedish IVF Policy Mandate," The Warwick Economics Research Paper Series (TWERPS) 1391, University of Warwick, Department of Economics.
    5. N. N., 2005. "60th Euroconstruct Conference: The Prospects for the European Construction Market 2006-2008. Summary Report," WIFO Studies, WIFO, number 25838, April.
    6. Lei Jin & Nicholas Chrisatakis, 2009. "Investigating the mechanism of marital mortality reduction: The transition to widowhood and quality of health care," Demography, Springer;Population Association of America (PAA), vol. 46(3), pages 605-625, August.
    7. Ankit Gupta & Hemant Bherwani & Sneha Gautam & Saima Anjum & Kavya Musugu & Narendra Kumar & Avneesh Anshul & Rakesh Kumar, 2021. "Air pollution aggravating COVID-19 lethality? Exploration in Asian cities using statistical models," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 23(4), pages 6408-6417, April.
    8. Bureau for Food and Agricultural Policy, 2015. "The South African Sunflower Complex," BFAP Reports 279776, Bureau for Food and Agricultural Policy (BFAP), BFAP Reports.
    9. Ellen Bouchery & Rebecca Morris & Jasmine Little, "undated". "Examining Substance Use Disorder Treatment Demand and Provider Capacity in a Changing Health Care System: Initial Findings Report," Mathematica Policy Research Reports b0d83ca544284ee7a053b2788, Mathematica Policy Research.
    10. Sun-Jin Yun, 2012. "Nuclear power for climate mitigation? Contesting frames in Korean newspapers," Asia Europe Journal, Springer, vol. 10(1), pages 57-73, May.
    11. Hristovska, Tatjana & Watkins, K. Bradley & Anders, Merle M., 2012. "An Economic Risk Analysis of No-till Management for the Rice-Soybean Rotation System used in Arkansas," 2012 Annual Meeting, February 4-7, 2012, Birmingham, Alabama 119676, Southern Agricultural Economics Association.
    12. International Monetary Fund, 2008. "The Gambia: Selected Issues and Statistical Appendix," IMF Staff Country Reports 2008/325, International Monetary Fund.
    13. Nicholas W Calderone, 2012. "Insect Pollinated Crops, Insect Pollinators and US Agriculture: Trend Analysis of Aggregate Data for the Period 1992–2009," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 7(5), pages 1-27, May.
    14. Alexa Spence & Wouter Poortinga & Nick Pidgeon, 2012. "The Psychological Distance of Climate Change," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 32(6), pages 957-972, June.
    15. Kwabena Asomanin Anaman & Ruth Quaye & Bernice Owusu-Brown, 2017. "Benefits of Aviation Weather Services: A Review of International Literature," Research in World Economy, Research in World Economy, Sciedu Press, vol. 8(1), pages 45-58, June.
    16. Crouse, Dan L. & Ross, Nancy A. & Goldberg, Mark S., 2009. "Double burden of deprivation and high concentrations of ambient air pollution at the neighbourhood scale in Montreal, Canada," Social Science & Medicine, Elsevier, vol. 69(6), pages 971-981, September.
    17. Watkins, K. Bradley & Hignight, Jeffrey A. & Anders, Merle M., 2011. "The Impacts of Farm Size and Economic Risk on No-Till Rice Whole-Farm Profitability," 2011 Annual Meeting, February 5-8, 2011, Corpus Christi, Texas 98733, Southern Agricultural Economics Association.
    18. Schepelmann, Philipp & Goossens, Yanne & Makipaa, Arttu (ed.), 2009. "Towards sustainable development: Alternatives to GDP for measuring progress," Wuppertal Spezial, Wuppertal Institute for Climate, Environment and Energy, volume 42, number 42.
    19. Caplan, Arthur J. & Acharya, Ramjee, 2019. "Optimal vehicle use in the presence of episodic mobile-source air pollution," Resource and Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 57(C), pages 185-204.
    20. Vahid Amini Parsa & Esmail Salehi & Ahmad Reza Yavari & Peter M van Bodegom, 2019. "An improved method for assessing mismatches between supply and demand in urban regulating ecosystem services: A case study in Tabriz, Iran," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 14(8), pages 1-22, August.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:jaitra:v:14:y:2008:i:4:p:213-220. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.journals.elsevier.com/journal-of-air-transport-management/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.