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Market uncertainties and too-big-to-fail perception: Evidence from Chinese P2P registration requirements

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  • Li, Zongyuan
  • Li, Jingya
  • Chang, Xiao

Abstract

The enforcement of peer-to-peer (P2P) registration requirements in mid-2018 triggered a P2P market meltdown, highlighting the inherent challenge faced by Chinese market participants in distinguishing between genuine and fraudulent fintech firms. The difference-in-difference results suggest that the too-big-to-fail (TBTF) perception can effectively halve investor outflows and borrower outflows during periods of uncertainty. Dynamic analysis further validates the parallel-trend assumption and underscores the persistent influence of TBTF perception. Moreover, the empirical findings suggest that, in the face of a market downturn, fintech market participants become unresponsive to all other certification mechanisms, including venture capital participation, custodian banks, and third-party guarantees.

Suggested Citation

  • Li, Zongyuan & Li, Jingya & Chang, Xiao, 2024. "Market uncertainties and too-big-to-fail perception: Evidence from Chinese P2P registration requirements," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 95(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:intfin:v:95:y:2024:i:c:s1042443124000982
    DOI: 10.1016/j.intfin.2024.102032
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Peer-to-peer; Fintech regulations; Too-big-to-fail perception; Market behavior; Market uncertainties; Certification mechanisms;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • D81 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty - - - Criteria for Decision-Making under Risk and Uncertainty
    • G23 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Non-bank Financial Institutions; Financial Instruments; Institutional Investors
    • G28 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Government Policy and Regulation

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