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By the light of day: The effect of the switch to winter time on stock markets

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  • Mugerman, Yevgeny
  • Yidov, Orr
  • Wiener, Zvi

Abstract

We studied the effect of the shift from Daylight Saving Time (summer time) to Standard Time (winter time) on stock markets around the globe. Using a detailed cross-country data set of daily returns, we documented that (a) market returns on the day following the time shift were significantly lower than those on the corresponding day of the week unaffected by the change; (b) the economic magnitude of the effect was substantial, on average 5–6 times greater than the unconditional mean of market returns; and (c) the outcome was more prominent in local, relatively small markets. Furthermore, we attempted to identify the mechanism underlying the gloomy market returns accompanying the switch to winter time. Our results suggest that the mechanism underlying the effect may be based on the temporary loss of investor internal clock harmony.

Suggested Citation

  • Mugerman, Yevgeny & Yidov, Orr & Wiener, Zvi, 2020. "By the light of day: The effect of the switch to winter time on stock markets," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 65(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:intfin:v:65:y:2020:i:c:s1042443120300810
    DOI: 10.1016/j.intfin.2020.101197
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    Cited by:

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Investor psychology; Capital markets; Policy; Behavioral finance; Market efficiency; Winter time;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates
    • G14 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Information and Market Efficiency; Event Studies; Insider Trading
    • G18 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Government Policy and Regulation
    • G28 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Government Policy and Regulation
    • G38 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance - - - Government Policy and Regulation

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