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Profitability and risk profile of reverse mortgages: A cross-system and cross-plan comparison

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  • Lee, Yung-Tsung
  • Kung, Ko-Lun
  • Liu, I-Chien

Abstract

This study conducts a cross-system and cross-plan comparison of reverse mortgages. We compare the systematic distinctions and analyze the risk and profitability of reverse mortgages in two prominent types of market arrangements: (1) A market where a public external insurer exists (i.e., the Home Equity Conversion Mortgage program in the U.S. market). (2) A market where an external insurer is absent (i.e., the Australian market). Two typical payment plans, the lump-sum and annuity payment, are examined and compared using stochastic dominance criteria.

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  • Lee, Yung-Tsung & Kung, Ko-Lun & Liu, I-Chien, 2018. "Profitability and risk profile of reverse mortgages: A cross-system and cross-plan comparison," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 78(C), pages 255-266.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:insuma:v:78:y:2018:i:c:p:255-266
    DOI: 10.1016/j.insmatheco.2017.09.019
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    Cited by:

    1. Blake, David & Cairns, Andrew J.G., 2021. "Longevity risk and capital markets: The 2019-20 update," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 99(C), pages 395-439.
    2. Carole Bernard & Adam Kolkiewicz & Junsen Tang, 2023. "Valuation of Reverse Mortgages with Default Risk Models," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 66(4), pages 806-839, May.
    3. Tripti Sharma & Declan French & Donal McKillop, 2022. "Risk and Equity Release Mortgages in the UK," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 64(2), pages 274-297, February.
    4. Yung-Tsung Lee & Tianxiang Shi, 2022. "Valuation of Reverse Mortgages with Surrender: A Utility Approach," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 65(4), pages 593-621, November.
    5. Shi, Tianxiang & Lee, Yung-Tsung, 2021. "Prepayment risk in reverse mortgages: An intensity-governed surrender model," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 98(C), pages 68-82.
    6. Badescu, Alexandru & Quaye, Enoch & Tunaru, Radu, 2022. "On non-negative equity guarantee calculations with macroeconomic variables related to house prices," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 103(C), pages 119-138.
    7. Dowd, Kevin & Buckner, Dean & Blake, David & Fry, John, 2019. "The valuation of no-negative equity guarantees and equity release mortgages," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 184(C).
    8. de la Fuente, Iván & Navarro, Eliseo & Serna, Gregorio, 2023. "Proposal for calculating regulatory capital requirements for reverse mortgages," Socio-Economic Planning Sciences, Elsevier, vol. 88(C).
    9. E. Lorenzo & G. Piscopo & M. Sibillo, 2024. "Addressing the economic and demographic complexity via a neural network approach: risk measures for reverse mortgages," Computational Management Science, Springer, vol. 21(1), pages 1-22, June.

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