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The Real Price of Housing and Money Supply Shocks: Time Series Evidence and Theoretical Simulations

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  • Lastrapes, W.D.

Abstract

I estimate the dynamic responses of owner-occupied housing prices to money supply shocks, and compare these responses to those predicted by a dynamic equilibrium model of the housing market. The empirical responses are identified from general sets of restrictions that are consistent with a wide class of theoretical models. Using monthly data, I find that money shocks have real effects on the housing market: both relative housing prices and real sales rise in the short-run in response to positive shocks to the money supply. The estimated price responses closely match the predictions of the theoretical model for reasonable values of the theoretical parameters.

Suggested Citation

  • Lastrapes, W.D., 2000. "The Real Price of Housing and Money Supply Shocks: Time Series Evidence and Theoretical Simulations," Papers 00-479, Georgia - College of Business Administration, Department of Economics.
    • Handle: RePEc:fth:georec:00-479
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    HOUSING ; PRICES ; EVALUATION;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • R31 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - Real Estate Markets, Spatial Production Analysis, and Firm Location - - - Housing Supply and Markets
    • R32 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - Real Estate Markets, Spatial Production Analysis, and Firm Location - - - Other Spatial Production and Pricing Analysis
    • C52 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Model Evaluation, Validation, and Selection

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