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Valuing hypothetical wildfire impacts with a Kuhn–Tucker model of recreation demand

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  • Sánchez, José J.
  • Baerenklau, Ken
  • González-Cabán, Armando

Abstract

This study uses a nonmarket valuation method to investigate the recreation values of the San Jacinto Wilderness in southern California. The analysis utilizes survey data from a stated-choice experiment involving backcountry visitors who responded to questions about hypothetical wildfire burn scenarios. Benefits of landscape preservation are derived using a Kuhn–Tucker (KT) demand system. Model results suggest that recreationists are attracted to sites with recent wildfires that can be viewed up-close. For example, recreational welfare estimates increased for sites that were partially affected by different types of wildfires, with the greatest gains being observed for the most recent wildfires. Per person mean seasonal willingness-to-pay varied from a low of $10 to a high of $48, for total gains ranging from $62,223 to $635,286. However, wildfires that cause trail closures create welfare losses. Seasonal losses per person for complete closure of particular sites range from $3 to $221, for total losses ranging from $29,600 to $2.9 million.

Suggested Citation

  • Sánchez, José J. & Baerenklau, Ken & González-Cabán, Armando, 2016. "Valuing hypothetical wildfire impacts with a Kuhn–Tucker model of recreation demand," Forest Policy and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 71(C), pages 63-70.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:forpol:v:71:y:2016:i:c:p:63-70
    DOI: 10.1016/j.forpol.2015.08.001
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    Cited by:

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    2. Gellman, Jacob & Walls, Margaret & Wibbenmeyer, Matthew, 2022. "Wildfire, smoke, and outdoor recreation in the western United States," Forest Policy and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 134(C).
    3. Valentina Bacciu & Maria Hatzaki & Anna Karali & Adeline Cauchy & Christos Giannakopoulos & Donatella Spano & Elodie Briche, 2021. "Investigating the Climate-Related Risk of Forest Fires for Mediterranean Islands’ Blue Economy," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(18), pages 1-22, September.
    4. Garnache, Cloe & Lupi, Frank, 2018. "The Thomas Fire and the Effect of Wildfires on the Value of Recreation Services in Southern California," 2018 Annual Meeting, August 5-7, Washington, D.C. 274028, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    5. Landry, Craig & Smith, Travis A., 2024. "IDS and AIDS Models for Recreation Demand: Application to Aggregate Beach Visitation," 2024 Annual Meeting, July 28-30, New Orleans, LA 343945, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.

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