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Anti-corruption effects on the credit risk of local financing vehicles and the pricing of Chengtou bonds: Evidence from a quasi-natural experiment in China

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  • Qian, Ningyu

Abstract

We investigate the causal effects of anti-corruption on the credit risk of local financing vehicles (LFVs) and the pricing of Chengtou bonds (CBs) in China. Difference-in-differences estimates show that anti-corruption decreases LFVs’ earnings, thereby increasing LFVs’ credit risk. This corresponds to a reduction in LFVs’ nonoperating incomes, and the greatest reduction of earnings occurs among LFVs investing in public infrastructure. Finally, we find that credit risk mispricing occurs in the primary market.

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  • Qian, Ningyu, 2018. "Anti-corruption effects on the credit risk of local financing vehicles and the pricing of Chengtou bonds: Evidence from a quasi-natural experiment in China," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 26(C), pages 162-168.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:finlet:v:26:y:2018:i:c:p:162-168
    DOI: 10.1016/j.frl.2018.01.001
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    Cited by:

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    2. Boubaker, Sabri & Liu, Pei-Zhi & Ren, Yi-Shuai & Ma, Chao-Qun, 2024. "Do anti-corruption campaigns affect corporate environmental responsibility? Evidence from China," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 91(C).
    3. Choi, Jaehyuk & Lu, Lei & Park, Heungju & Sohn, Sungbin, 2022. "The financial value of the within-government political network: Evidence from Chinese municipal corporate bonds," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 47(PA).
    4. Haoyu Gao & Fukang Chen & Yiling Ouyang, 2024. "The impacts of political uncertainty on public financing costs: evidence from anti-corruption investigations in China," Public Choice, Springer, vol. 198(1), pages 69-91, January.
    5. Zhao, Meiyu & Zhang, Bo, 2023. "Credit corruption, financial constraint and corporate innovation: Evidence on China," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 53(C).
    6. Bao, Helen X.H. & Wang, Ziyou & Wu, Robert Liangqi, 2024. "Understanding local government debt financing of infrastructure projects in China: Evidence based on accounting data from local government financing vehicles," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 136(C).
    7. Mengkai Chen & Ting Chen & Debao Ruan & Xiaowei Wang, 2023. "Land Finance, Real Estate Market, and Local Government Debt Risk: Evidence from China," Land, MDPI, vol. 12(8), pages 1-18, August.
    8. Ruan, Qingsong & Lv, Dayong & Wei, Xiaokun, 2024. "High-speed rail and local government financing cost: Evidence from China," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 131(C).
    9. Shenghui Tong, 2022. "Corruption and anti‐corruption in China: a review and future research agenda," Asian-Pacific Economic Literature, The Crawford School, The Australian National University, vol. 36(1), pages 3-16, May.
    10. Lenka Veselovská & Ján Závadský & Zuzana Závadská, 2020. "Mitigating bribery risks to strengthen the corporate social responsibility in accordance with the ISO 37001," Corporate Social Responsibility and Environmental Management, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 27(4), pages 1972-1988, July.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Corruption; Local financing vehicles; Credit risk; Chengtou bond; Pricing;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • D7 - Microeconomics - - Analysis of Collective Decision-Making
    • H7 - Public Economics - - State and Local Government; Intergovernmental Relations
    • G3 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance
    • G1 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets

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