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Will Political Connections Be Accounted for in the Interest Rates of Chinese Urban Development Investment Bonds?

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  • Shiyi Chen
  • Li Wang

Abstract

A special political connection, i.e., the implicit guarantee of the government on the debts of borrowers, is considered in this article to explore the mechanism through which the implicit guarantee of government will affect the interest rate of bonds issued by borrowers. Theoretical analysis shows that if the implicit guarantee from the government is less convincing, only investment income will play an important role in the determination of interest rate while explicit credence will not affect interest rate. If the implicit guarantee is persuasive, both explicit credence and investment income will affect the interest rate of bonds. Empirical analysis of Chinese urban investment bonds and U.S. municipal bonds during 2006–11 supports our theoretical predictions.

Suggested Citation

  • Shiyi Chen & Li Wang, 2015. "Will Political Connections Be Accounted for in the Interest Rates of Chinese Urban Development Investment Bonds?," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 51(1), pages 108-129, January.
    • Handle: RePEc:mes:emfitr:v:51:y:2015:i:1:p:108-129
    DOI: 10.1080/1540496X.2014.998532
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    Cited by:

    1. Walker, Thomas & Zhang, Xueying & Zhang, Aoran & Wang, Yulin, 2021. "Fact or fiction: Implicit government guarantees in China’s corporate bond market," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 116(C).
    2. Ruan, Qingsong & Lv, Dayong & Wei, Xiaokun, 2024. "High-speed rail and local government financing cost: Evidence from China," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 131(C).
    3. Yu, Mingzhe & Jia, Junyi & Wang, Siyu, 2022. "Local officials’ promotion incentives and issuance of urban investment bonds," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 63(C).
    4. Liansheng Zheng & Juncheng Li & Zhihua Zhao, 2022. "High‐Speed Rail Service and the Issuance of Municipal Corporate Bonds," China & World Economy, Institute of World Economics and Politics, Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, vol. 30(4), pages 230-254, July.
    5. Qian, Ningyu, 2018. "Anti-corruption effects on the credit risk of local financing vehicles and the pricing of Chengtou bonds: Evidence from a quasi-natural experiment in China," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 26(C), pages 162-168.

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