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Real effects of common currencies in East Asia

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  • Shirono, Kazuko

Abstract

Since the 1997 Asian currency crisis, new interest has emerged in the formation of a common currency area in East Asia. This paper provides estimates of trade and welfare effects of East Asian currency unions, using a micro-founded gravity model. Counter-factual experiments to assess the effects of various hypothetical currency arrangements for East Asia suggest that an East Asian currency union will double bilateral trade in the region, but the resulting welfare effects will be moderate. However, if Japan, a major trade partner for East Asia, is included in the union, welfare effects increase substantially. The evidence thus suggests that certain regional currency arrangements in East Asia will stimulate regional trade rigorously and can generate economically significant welfare gains.

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  • Shirono, Kazuko, 2008. "Real effects of common currencies in East Asia," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 19(3), pages 199-212, June.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:asieco:v:19:y:2008:i:3:p:199-212
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    Cited by:

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    2. Tomáš Havránek, 2009. "Rose Effect and the Euro: The Magic is Gone," Working Papers IES 2009/20, Charles University Prague, Faculty of Social Sciences, Institute of Economic Studies, revised Aug 2009.
    3. Patnaik, Ila & Sengupta, Rajeshwari, 2022. "Analyzing India's Exchange Rate Regime," India Policy Forum, National Council of Applied Economic Research, vol. 18(1), pages 53-85.
    4. Fegheh Majidi , Ali, 2014. "Currency Union and Bilateral Trade: Evidence from OIC Countries," Journal of Money and Economy, Monetary and Banking Research Institute, Central Bank of the Islamic Republic of Iran, vol. 9(2), pages 140-166, October.
    5. Aggarwal, Raj & Muckley, Cal B., 2010. "Assessing co-ordinated Asian exchange rate regimes: Proposal for a possible move towards a common currency," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 20(2), pages 149-165, April.
    6. Chee‐Heong Quah & Patrick M. Crowley, 2010. "Monetary Integration in East Asia: A Hierarchical Clustering Approach," International Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 13(2), pages 283-309, August.
    7. Jamshaid ur Rehman & Tasneem Zafar & Shabbir Ahmad & Aftab Anwar, 2022. "In Search of Common Currency Anchor for ASEAN+3+3 Countries," Journal of Policy Research (JPR), Research Foundation for Humanity (RFH), vol. 8(3), pages 237-264, September.

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