IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/energy/v282y2023ics0360544223023757.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Dynamic liquid level prediction in oil wells during oil extraction based on WOA-AM-LSTM-ANN model using dynamic and static information

Author

Listed:
  • Leng, Chunyang
  • Jia, Mingxing
  • Zheng, Haijin
  • Deng, Jibin
  • Niu, Dapeng

Abstract

Accurately predicting the dynamic liquid level is the key to energy efficient operation of oil wells, however, the dynamic liquid level of oil wells in the same area varies widely, and the existing methods cannot achieve uniform modeling of the dynamic liquid level of multiple wells with high accuracy. To this end, based on the parameters of the multi-wells production process, this paper proposes method for predicting the dynamic liquid level of oil wells based on a Long short-term memory (LSTM) with attention mechanism (AM) and artificial neural network (ANN) optimized by the whale optimization algorithm (WOA). First, the factors significantly related to the change in the dynamic liquid level are identified and divided into dynamic and static information. Dynamic features are extracted using AM-LSTM. AM can enhance the impact of important information when extracting dynamic features using LSTM; Static features are extracted through ANN; Finally, both dynamic and static features are used as inputs to ANN to predict the dynamic liquid level. Solve the prediction model parameter selection problem with WOA. Using historical oilfield data collected in the field for validation, the experiment proves that the proposed method in this paper is effective for predicting the dynamic liquid level of multi-wells. Therefore, this prediction model can be used as a tool to detect the dynamic liquid level, which can achieve the purpose of reducing energy consumption and improving efficiency during oil extraction.

Suggested Citation

  • Leng, Chunyang & Jia, Mingxing & Zheng, Haijin & Deng, Jibin & Niu, Dapeng, 2023. "Dynamic liquid level prediction in oil wells during oil extraction based on WOA-AM-LSTM-ANN model using dynamic and static information," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 282(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:energy:v:282:y:2023:i:c:s0360544223023757
    DOI: 10.1016/j.energy.2023.128981
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0360544223023757
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.energy.2023.128981?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Niu, Zhewen & Yu, Zeyuan & Tang, Wenhu & Wu, Qinghua & Reformat, Marek, 2020. "Wind power forecasting using attention-based gated recurrent unit network," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 196(C).
    2. Massaoudi, Mohamed & Refaat, Shady S. & Chihi, Ines & Trabelsi, Mohamed & Oueslati, Fakhreddine S. & Abu-Rub, Haitham, 2021. "A novel stacked generalization ensemble-based hybrid LGBM-XGB-MLP model for Short-Term Load Forecasting," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 214(C).
    3. Xu, Yuanjin & Li, Fei & Asgari, Armin, 2022. "Prediction and optimization of heating and cooling loads in a residential building based on multi-layer perceptron neural network and different optimization algorithms," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 240(C).
    4. Zeng, Chunlei & Wu, Changchun & Zuo, Lili & Zhang, Bin & Hu, Xingqiao, 2014. "Predicting energy consumption of multiproduct pipeline using artificial neural networks," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 66(C), pages 791-798.
    5. Biao Xiong & Ruiping Li & Dong Ren & Huigang Liu & Tao Xu & Yingping Huang, 2021. "Prediction of flooding in the downstream of the Three Gorges Reservoir based on a back propagation neural network optimized using the AdaBoost algorithm," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 107(2), pages 1559-1575, June.
    6. Edwin van den Heuvel & Zhuozhao Zhan, 2022. "Myths About Linear and Monotonic Associations: Pearson’s r, Spearman’s ρ, and Kendall’s τ," The American Statistician, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 76(1), pages 44-52, January.
    7. Yu, Min & Niu, Dongxiao & Gao, Tian & Wang, Keke & Sun, Lijie & Li, Mingyu & Xu, Xiaomin, 2023. "A novel framework for ultra-short-term interval wind power prediction based on RF-WOA-VMD and BiGRU optimized by the attention mechanism," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 269(C).
    8. Borgonovo, Emanuele & Plischke, Elmar, 2016. "Sensitivity analysis: A review of recent advances," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 248(3), pages 869-887.
    9. Hu, Gang & Xu, Zhaoqiang & Wang, Guorong & Zeng, Bin & Liu, Yubing & Lei, Ye, 2021. "Forecasting energy consumption of long-distance oil products pipeline based on improved fruit fly optimization algorithm and support vector regression," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 224(C).
    10. Huang, Ruike & Peng, Yiqiang & Yang, Jibin & Xu, Xiaohui & Deng, Pengyi, 2022. "Correlation analysis and prediction of PEM fuel cell voltage during start-stop operation based on real-world driving data," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 260(C).
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Shengxiang Lv & Lin Wang & Sirui Wang, 2023. "A Hybrid Neural Network Model for Short-Term Wind Speed Forecasting," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(4), pages 1-18, February.
    2. Zhang, Xinru & Hou, Lei & Liu, Jiaquan & Yang, Kai & Chai, Chong & Li, Yanhao & He, Sichen, 2022. "Energy consumption prediction for crude oil pipelines based on integrating mechanism analysis and data mining," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 254(PB).
    3. Pachauri, Nikhil & Ahn, Chang Wook, 2023. "Weighted aggregated ensemble model for energy demand management of buildings," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 263(PC).
    4. Wang, Jianguo & Han, Lincheng & Zhang, Xiuyu & Wang, Yingzhou & Zhang, Shude, 2023. "Electrical load forecasting based on variable T-distribution and dual attention mechanism," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 283(C).
    5. Vincenzo Varriale & Antonello Cammarano & Francesca Michelino & Mauro Caputo, 2021. "Sustainable Supply Chains with Blockchain, IoT and RFID: A Simulation on Order Management," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(11), pages 1-23, June.
    6. Linghui Guo & Yuanyuan Luo & Yao Li & Tianping Wang & Jiangbo Gao & Hebing Zhang & Youfeng Zou & Shaohong Wu, 2023. "Spatiotemporal Changes and the Prediction of Drought Characteristics in a Major Grain-Producing Area of China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(22), pages 1-19, November.
    7. Makam, Vaishno Devi & Millossovich, Pietro & Tsanakas, Andreas, 2021. "Sensitivity analysis with χ2-divergences," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 100(C), pages 372-383.
    8. Plischke, Elmar & Borgonovo, Emanuele, 2019. "Copula theory and probabilistic sensitivity analysis: Is there a connection?," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 277(3), pages 1046-1059.
    9. Li, Guanzheng & Li, Bin & Li, Chao & Wang, Shuai, 2023. "State-of-health rapid estimation for lithium-ion battery based on an interpretable stacking ensemble model with short-term voltage profiles," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 263(PE).
    10. Tang, Yugui & Yang, Kuo & Zhang, Shujing & Zhang, Zhen, 2024. "Wind power forecasting: A temporal domain generalization approach incorporating hybrid model and adversarial relationship-based training," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 355(C).
    11. Wen Shi & Xi Chen & Jennifer Shang, 2019. "An Efficient Morris Method-Based Framework for Simulation Factor Screening," INFORMS Journal on Computing, INFORMS, vol. 31(4), pages 745-770, October.
    12. Zhang, Ziyuan & Wang, Jianzhou & Wei, Danxiang & Luo, Tianrui & Xia, Yurui, 2023. "A novel ensemble system for short-term wind speed forecasting based on Two-stage Attention-Based Recurrent Neural Network," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 204(C), pages 11-23.
    13. F. Wang & G. H. Huang & Y. Fan & Y. P. Li, 2020. "Robust Subsampling ANOVA Methods for Sensitivity Analysis of Water Resource and Environmental Models," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 34(10), pages 3199-3217, August.
    14. Daniel Harenberg & Stefano Marelli & Bruno Sudret & Viktor Winschel, 2019. "Uncertainty quantification and global sensitivity analysis for economic models," Quantitative Economics, Econometric Society, vol. 10(1), pages 1-41, January.
    15. Saima Akhtar & Sulman Shahzad & Asad Zaheer & Hafiz Sami Ullah & Heybet Kilic & Radomir Gono & Michał Jasiński & Zbigniew Leonowicz, 2023. "Short-Term Load Forecasting Models: A Review of Challenges, Progress, and the Road Ahead," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(10), pages 1-29, May.
    16. Tobias Fissler & Silvana M. Pesenti, 2022. "Sensitivity Measures Based on Scoring Functions," Papers 2203.00460, arXiv.org, revised Jul 2022.
    17. Shang, Xiaobing & Su, Li & Fang, Hai & Zeng, Bowen & Zhang, Zhi, 2023. "An efficient multi-fidelity Kriging surrogate model-based method for global sensitivity analysis," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 229(C).
    18. Magni, Carlo Alberto, 2016. "Capital depreciation and the underdetermination of rate of return: A unifying perspective," Journal of Mathematical Economics, Elsevier, vol. 67(C), pages 54-79.
    19. Lu, Xuefei & Borgonovo, Emanuele, 2023. "Global sensitivity analysis in epidemiological modeling," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 304(1), pages 9-24.
    20. Matteo Fontana & Massimo Tavoni & Simone Vantini, 2020. "Global Sensitivity and Domain-Selective Testing for Functional-Valued Responses: An Application to Climate Economy Models," Papers 2006.13850, arXiv.org, revised Apr 2024.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:energy:v:282:y:2023:i:c:s0360544223023757. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.journals.elsevier.com/energy .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.