IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/energy/v263y2023ipcs0360544222027396.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Weighted aggregated ensemble model for energy demand management of buildings

Author

Listed:
  • Pachauri, Nikhil
  • Ahn, Chang Wook

Abstract

Accurate building energy consumption prediction is essential for achieving energy savings and boosting the HVAC system's efficiency of operations. Therefore, in this work, a novel ensemble predictive model, which combines the weighted linear aggregation of Gaussian process regression (GPR) and least squared boosted regression trees (LSB), leading to WGPRLSB, is proposed for the accurate estimation of energy usage in the cases of Heating Load (HL) and Cooling Load (CL). Marine predator optimization (MPO) is used to evaluate the optimal values of the design parameters of the proposed methodology. Further, predictive models based on linear regression (LR), support vector regression (SVR), multilayer perceptron neural network (MLPNN), decision tree (DT), and generalized additive model (GAM) are also designed for comparison purposes. The results reveal that the value of RMSE is reduced by 12.4%–70.7% (HL) and 39.7%–64.9% (CL) for WGPRLSB in comparison to the other predictive models. The results of the performance index (PI) also confirm the effectiveness of the proposed model energy consumption prediction for HL and CL. Furthermore, the performance investigation on the second dataset reveals that WGPRLSB achieves the highest value of VAF (97.20%) compared to other designed models. It may be concluded that the proposed WGPRLSB accurately forecasts building energy demands.

Suggested Citation

  • Pachauri, Nikhil & Ahn, Chang Wook, 2023. "Weighted aggregated ensemble model for energy demand management of buildings," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 263(PC).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:energy:v:263:y:2023:i:pc:s0360544222027396
    DOI: 10.1016/j.energy.2022.125853
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0360544222027396
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.energy.2022.125853?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Tran, Duc-Hoc & Luong, Duc-Long & Chou, Jui-Sheng, 2020. "Nature-inspired metaheuristic ensemble model for forecasting energy consumption in residential buildings," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 191(C).
    2. Sha, Huajing & Xu, Peng & Yang, Zhiwei & Chen, Yongbao & Tang, Jixu, 2019. "Overview of computational intelligence for building energy system design," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 108(C), pages 76-90.
    3. Sun, Jian & Liu, Gang & Sun, Boyang & Xiao, Gang, 2021. "Light-stacking strengthened fusion based building energy consumption prediction framework via variable weight feature selection," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 303(C).
    4. Khan, Waqas & Walker, Shalika & Zeiler, Wim, 2022. "Improved solar photovoltaic energy generation forecast using deep learning-based ensemble stacking approach," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 240(C).
    5. Kim, Eui-Jong & He, Xi & Roux, Jean-Jacques & Johannes, Kévyn & Kuznik, Frédéric, 2019. "Fast and accurate district heating and cooling energy demand and load calculations using reduced-order modelling," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 238(C), pages 963-971.
    6. Xu, Yuanjin & Li, Fei & Asgari, Armin, 2022. "Prediction and optimization of heating and cooling loads in a residential building based on multi-layer perceptron neural network and different optimization algorithms," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 240(C).
    7. Massaoudi, Mohamed & Refaat, Shady S. & Chihi, Ines & Trabelsi, Mohamed & Oueslati, Fakhreddine S. & Abu-Rub, Haitham, 2021. "A novel stacked generalization ensemble-based hybrid LGBM-XGB-MLP model for Short-Term Load Forecasting," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 214(C).
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Cao, Wenqiang & Yu, Junqi & Chao, Mengyao & Wang, Jingqi & Yang, Siyuan & Zhou, Meng & Wang, Meng, 2023. "Short-term energy consumption prediction method for educational buildings based on model integration," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 283(C).
    2. Zhu, Yuli & Jiang, Bo & Zhu, Jiangong & Wang, Xueyuan & Wang, Rong & Wei, Xuezhe & Dai, Haifeng, 2023. "Adaptive state of health estimation for lithium-ion batteries using impedance-based timescale information and ensemble learning," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 284(C).
    3. Yuan, Yue & Chen, Zhihua & Wang, Zhe & Sun, Yifu & Chen, Yixing, 2023. "Attention mechanism-based transfer learning model for day-ahead energy demand forecasting of shopping mall buildings," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 270(C).
    4. Hua, Pengmin & Wang, Haichao & Xie, Zichan & Lahdelma, Risto, 2024. "District heating load patterns and short-term forecasting for buildings and city level," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 289(C).

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Leng, Chunyang & Jia, Mingxing & Zheng, Haijin & Deng, Jibin & Niu, Dapeng, 2023. "Dynamic liquid level prediction in oil wells during oil extraction based on WOA-AM-LSTM-ANN model using dynamic and static information," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 282(C).
    2. Shi, Jiaqi & Li, Chenxi & Yan, Xiaohe, 2023. "Artificial intelligence for load forecasting: A stacking learning approach based on ensemble diversity regularization," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 262(PB).
    3. Xin Ma & Yubin Cai & Hong Yuan & Yanqiao Deng, 2023. "Partially Linear Component Support Vector Machine for Primary Energy Consumption Forecasting of the Electric Power Sector in the United States," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(9), pages 1-26, April.
    4. Zhang, Chu & Hu, Haowen & Ji, Jie & Liu, Kang & Xia, Xin & Nazir, Muhammad Shahzad & Peng, Tian, 2023. "An evolutionary stacked generalization model based on deep learning and improved grasshopper optimization algorithm for predicting the remaining useful life of PEMFC," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 330(PA).
    5. Amal A. Al-Shargabi & Abdulbasit Almhafdy & Dina M. Ibrahim & Manal Alghieth & Francisco Chiclana, 2021. "Tuning Deep Neural Networks for Predicting Energy Consumption in Arid Climate Based on Buildings Characteristics," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(22), pages 1-20, November.
    6. Li, Guanzheng & Li, Bin & Li, Chao & Wang, Shuai, 2023. "State-of-health rapid estimation for lithium-ion battery based on an interpretable stacking ensemble model with short-term voltage profiles," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 263(PE).
    7. Khan, Waqas & Somers, Ward & Walker, Shalika & de Bont, Kevin & Van der Velden, Joep & Zeiler, Wim, 2023. "Comparison of electric vehicle load forecasting across different spatial levels with incorporated uncertainty estimation," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 283(C).
    8. Cen, Xiao & Chen, Zengliang & Chen, Haifeng & Ding, Chen & Ding, Bo & Li, Fei & Lou, Fangwei & Zhu, Zhenyu & Zhang, Hongyu & Hong, Bingyuan, 2024. "User repurchase behavior prediction for integrated energy supply stations based on the user profiling method," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 286(C).
    9. Zheng, Lingwei & Su, Ran & Sun, Xinyu & Guo, Siqi, 2023. "Historical PV-output characteristic extraction based weather-type classification strategy and its forecasting method for the day-ahead prediction of PV output," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 271(C).
    10. Qinghe Zhao & Xinyi Liu & Junlong Fang, 2023. "Extreme Gradient Boosting Model for Day-Ahead STLF in National Level Power System: Estonia Case Study," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(24), pages 1-29, December.
    11. Wuyue An & Lin Wang & Dongfeng Zhang, 2023. "Comprehensive commodity price forecasting framework using text mining methods," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 42(7), pages 1865-1888, November.
    12. Raeesi, Ramin & Sahebjamnia, Navid & Mansouri, S. Afshin, 2023. "The synergistic effect of operational research and big data analytics in greening container terminal operations: A review and future directions," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 310(3), pages 943-973.
    13. Xiao, Yulong & Zou, Chongzhe & Chi, Hetian & Fang, Rengcun, 2023. "Boosted GRU model for short-term forecasting of wind power with feature-weighted principal component analysis," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 267(C).
    14. Vladimir Franki & Darin Majnarić & Alfredo Višković, 2023. "A Comprehensive Review of Artificial Intelligence (AI) Companies in the Power Sector," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(3), pages 1-35, January.
    15. Hung Viet Nguyen & Haewon Byeon, 2023. "Prediction of Out-of-Hospital Cardiac Arrest Survival Outcomes Using a Hybrid Agnostic Explanation TabNet Model," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 11(9), pages 1-17, April.
    16. Davoodi, Shayan & Fereydooni, Ali & Rastegar, Mohammad Ali, 2024. "Can portfolio construction considering ESG still gain high profits?," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 67(PA).
    17. Zhaosheng Zhang & Shuo Wang & Ni Lin & Zhenpo Wang & Peng Liu, 2023. "State of Health Estimation of Lithium-Ion Batteries in Electric Vehicles Based on Regional Capacity and LGBM," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(3), pages 1-20, January.
    18. Dongsu Kim & Jongman Lee & Sunglok Do & Pedro J. Mago & Kwang Ho Lee & Heejin Cho, 2022. "Energy Modeling and Model Predictive Control for HVAC in Buildings: A Review of Current Research Trends," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(19), pages 1-30, October.
    19. Leijiao Ge & Tianshuo Du & Changlu Li & Yuanliang Li & Jun Yan & Muhammad Umer Rafiq, 2022. "Virtual Collection for Distributed Photovoltaic Data: Challenges, Methodologies, and Applications," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(23), pages 1-24, November.
    20. Li, Yanfei & O'Neill, Zheng & Zhang, Liang & Chen, Jianli & Im, Piljae & DeGraw, Jason, 2021. "Grey-box modeling and application for building energy simulations - A critical review," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 146(C).

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:energy:v:263:y:2023:i:pc:s0360544222027396. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.journals.elsevier.com/energy .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.