IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/energy/v275y2023ics0360544223008472.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Analysis of strategies to maximize the cycle life of lithium-ion batteries based on aging trajectory prediction

Author

Listed:
  • Lv, Haichao
  • Kang, Lixia
  • Liu, Yongzhong

Abstract

The capacity fade is commonly observed during the charging and discharging processes of lithium-ion batteries (LIBs). This aging process can be chronologically divided into the linear aging stage and the accelerated aging one by the turning point that is an essential factor affecting the performances and cycle life of LIBs. In this work, to develop a quick and accurate method to quantitatively identify the turning point of LIBs for distinguishing eligible application scenarios, two-stage surrogate models that couple the artificial neural network and nonlinear autoregressive exogenous models were established to predict the turning point, end of life (EOL) and aging trajectory of LIBs based on the two-stage electrochemical model. The operational parameters affecting the knee point and the relationship between the knee point and the EOL of LIBs were analyzed for three application scenarios, which are batteries only used as power batteries, batteries only used for energy storage and batteries sequentially used for power batteries and energy storage systems. The genetic algorithm (GA) was adopted to optimize the combination of operational parameters to maximize the cycle life of LIBs under the three application scenarios. The results show that the proposed model and method can effectively predict the cycle number at the knee point and two-stage aging trajectory of the LIBs. The optimal operating parameters of the LIBs can be determined on the basis of the specific application scenario, optimization objective, and cycle life. The proposed method provides a guidance and tool for optimal utilization of LIBs in multiple stages and optimal design of battery management systems.

Suggested Citation

  • Lv, Haichao & Kang, Lixia & Liu, Yongzhong, 2023. "Analysis of strategies to maximize the cycle life of lithium-ion batteries based on aging trajectory prediction," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 275(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:energy:v:275:y:2023:i:c:s0360544223008472
    DOI: 10.1016/j.energy.2023.127453
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0360544223008472
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.energy.2023.127453?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Lingling Li & Pengchong Wang & Kuei-Hsiang Chao & Yatong Zhou & Yang Xie, 2016. "Remaining Useful Life Prediction for Lithium-Ion Batteries Based on Gaussian Processes Mixture," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 11(9), pages 1-13, September.
    2. Kristen A. Severson & Peter M. Attia & Norman Jin & Nicholas Perkins & Benben Jiang & Zi Yang & Michael H. Chen & Muratahan Aykol & Patrick K. Herring & Dimitrios Fraggedakis & Martin Z. Bazant & Step, 2019. "Data-driven prediction of battery cycle life before capacity degradation," Nature Energy, Nature, vol. 4(5), pages 383-391, May.
    3. Angeles Cabañero, Maria & Altmann, Johannes & Gold, Lukas & Boaretto, Nicola & Müller, Jana & Hein, Simon & Zausch, Jochen & Kallo, Josef & Latz, Arnulf, 2019. "Investigation of the temperature dependence of lithium plating onset conditions in commercial Li-ion batteries," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 171(C), pages 1217-1228.
    4. Chen, Dan & Meng, Jinhao & Huang, Huanyang & Wu, Ji & Liu, Ping & Lu, Jiwu & Liu, Tianqi, 2022. "An Empirical-Data Hybrid Driven Approach for Remaining Useful Life prediction of lithium-ion batteries considering capacity diving," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 245(C).
    5. Bing Long & Xiangnan Li & Xiaoyu Gao & Zhen Liu, 2019. "Prognostics Comparison of Lithium-Ion Battery Based on the Shallow and Deep Neural Networks Model," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(17), pages 1-13, August.
    6. Su, Shaosen & Li, Wei & Garg, Akhil & Gao, Liang, 2022. "An adaptive boosting charging strategy optimization based on thermoelectric-aging model, surrogates and multi-objective optimization," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 312(C).
    7. Lai, Xin & Huang, Yunfeng & Deng, Cong & Gu, Huanghui & Han, Xuebing & Zheng, Yuejiu & Ouyang, Minggao, 2021. "Sorting, regrouping, and echelon utilization of the large-scale retired lithium batteries: A critical review," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 146(C).
    8. Arias Chao, Manuel & Kulkarni, Chetan & Goebel, Kai & Fink, Olga, 2022. "Fusing physics-based and deep learning models for prognostics," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 217(C).
    9. Wu, Ji & Zhang, Chenbin & Chen, Zonghai, 2016. "An online method for lithium-ion battery remaining useful life estimation using importance sampling and neural networks," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 173(C), pages 134-140.
    10. Weiping Diao & Saurabh Saxena & Bongtae Han & Michael Pecht, 2019. "Algorithm to Determine the Knee Point on Capacity Fade Curves of Lithium-Ion Cells," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(15), pages 1-9, July.
    11. Xu, Meng & Wang, Xia & Zhang, Liwen & Zhao, Peng, 2021. "Comparison of the effect of linear and two-step fast charging protocols on degradation of lithium ion batteries," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 227(C).
    12. Li, Yi & Liu, Kailong & Foley, Aoife M. & Zülke, Alana & Berecibar, Maitane & Nanini-Maury, Elise & Van Mierlo, Joeri & Hoster, Harry E., 2019. "Data-driven health estimation and lifetime prediction of lithium-ion batteries: A review," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 113(C), pages 1-1.
    13. Khaleghi, Sahar & Karimi, Danial & Beheshti, S. Hamidreza & Hosen, Md. Sazzad & Behi, Hamidreza & Berecibar, Maitane & Van Mierlo, Joeri, 2021. "Online health diagnosis of lithium-ion batteries based on nonlinear autoregressive neural network," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 282(PA).
    14. Chen, Zhang & Shen, Wenjing & Chen, Liqun & Wang, Shuqiang, 2022. "Adaptive online capacity prediction based on transfer learning for fast charging lithium-ion batteries," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 248(C).
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Fan, Wenjun & Zhu, Jiangong & Qiao, Dongdong & Jiang, Bo & Wang, Xueyuan & Wei, Xuezhe & Dai, Haifeng, 2024. "Prediction of nonlinear degradation knee-point and remaining useful life for lithium-ion batteries using relaxation voltage," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 294(C).
    2. Du, Jingcai & Zhang, Caiping & Li, Shuowei & Zhang, Linjing & Zhang, Weige, 2024. "Aging abnormality detection of lithium-ion batteries combining feature engineering and deep learning," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 297(C).

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Wu, Ji & Fang, Leichao & Dong, Guangzhong & Lin, Mingqiang, 2023. "State of health estimation of lithium-ion battery with improved radial basis function neural network," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 262(PB).
    2. Rauf, Huzaifa & Khalid, Muhammad & Arshad, Naveed, 2022. "Machine learning in state of health and remaining useful life estimation: Theoretical and technological development in battery degradation modelling," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 156(C).
    3. Li, Yi & Liu, Kailong & Foley, Aoife M. & Zülke, Alana & Berecibar, Maitane & Nanini-Maury, Elise & Van Mierlo, Joeri & Hoster, Harry E., 2019. "Data-driven health estimation and lifetime prediction of lithium-ion batteries: A review," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 113(C), pages 1-1.
    4. Gu, Xubo & Bai, Hanyu & Cui, Xiaofan & Zhu, Juner & Zhuang, Weichao & Li, Zhaojian & Hu, Xiaosong & Song, Ziyou, 2024. "Challenges and opportunities for second-life batteries: Key technologies and economy," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 192(C).
    5. Li, Alan G. & West, Alan C. & Preindl, Matthias, 2022. "Towards unified machine learning characterization of lithium-ion battery degradation across multiple levels: A critical review," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 316(C).
    6. Che, Yunhong & Zheng, Yusheng & Wu, Yue & Sui, Xin & Bharadwaj, Pallavi & Stroe, Daniel-Ioan & Yang, Yalian & Hu, Xiaosong & Teodorescu, Remus, 2022. "Data efficient health prognostic for batteries based on sequential information-driven probabilistic neural network," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 323(C).
    7. Ma, Yan & Shan, Ce & Gao, Jinwu & Chen, Hong, 2022. "A novel method for state of health estimation of lithium-ion batteries based on improved LSTM and health indicators extraction," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 251(C).
    8. Ye, Jinhua & Xie, Quan & Lin, Mingqiang & Wu, Ji, 2024. "A method for estimating the state of health of lithium-ion batteries based on physics-informed neural network," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 294(C).
    9. Shaheer Ansari & Afida Ayob & Molla Shahadat Hossain Lipu & Aini Hussain & Mohamad Hanif Md Saad, 2021. "Data-Driven Remaining Useful Life Prediction for Lithium-Ion Batteries Using Multi-Charging Profile Framework: A Recurrent Neural Network Approach," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(23), pages 1-25, December.
    10. Kong, Jin-zhen & Yang, Fangfang & Zhang, Xi & Pan, Ershun & Peng, Zhike & Wang, Dong, 2021. "Voltage-temperature health feature extraction to improve prognostics and health management of lithium-ion batteries," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 223(C).
    11. Che, Yunhong & Deng, Zhongwei & Li, Penghua & Tang, Xiaolin & Khosravinia, Kavian & Lin, Xianke & Hu, Xiaosong, 2022. "State of health prognostics for series battery packs: A universal deep learning method," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 238(PB).
    12. Deng, Zhongwei & Xu, Le & Liu, Hongao & Hu, Xiaosong & Duan, Zhixuan & Xu, Yu, 2023. "Prognostics of battery capacity based on charging data and data-driven methods for on-road vehicles," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 339(C).
    13. Kurucan, Mehmet & Özbaltan, Mete & Yetgin, Zeki & Alkaya, Alkan, 2024. "Applications of artificial neural network based battery management systems: A literature review," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 192(C).
    14. Wang, Fu-Kwun & Amogne, Zemenu Endalamaw & Chou, Jia-Hong & Tseng, Cheng, 2022. "Online remaining useful life prediction of lithium-ion batteries using bidirectional long short-term memory with attention mechanism," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 254(PB).
    15. Chang, Chun & Wu, Yutong & Jiang, Jiuchun & Jiang, Yan & Tian, Aina & Li, Taiyu & Gao, Yang, 2022. "Prognostics of the state of health for lithium-ion battery packs in energy storage applications," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 239(PB).
    16. Li, Guanzheng & Li, Bin & Li, Chao & Wang, Shuai, 2023. "State-of-health rapid estimation for lithium-ion battery based on an interpretable stacking ensemble model with short-term voltage profiles," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 263(PE).
    17. Wang, Yixiu & Zhu, Jiangong & Cao, Liang & Gopaluni, Bhushan & Cao, Yankai, 2023. "Long Short-Term Memory Network with Transfer Learning for Lithium-ion Battery Capacity Fade and Cycle Life Prediction," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 350(C).
    18. Wen, Shuang & Lin, Ni & Huang, Shengxu & Wang, Zhenpo & Zhang, Zhaosheng, 2023. "Lithium battery health state assessment based on vehicle-to-grid (V2G) real-world data and natural gradient boosting model," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 284(C).
    19. Xiaodong Xu & Chuanqiang Yu & Shengjin Tang & Xiaoyan Sun & Xiaosheng Si & Lifeng Wu, 2019. "Remaining Useful Life Prediction of Lithium-Ion Batteries Based on Wiener Processes with Considering the Relaxation Effect," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(9), pages 1-17, May.
    20. Tian, Yuan & Han, Minghao & Kulkarni, Chetan & Fink, Olga, 2022. "A prescriptive Dirichlet power allocation policy with deep reinforcement learning," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 224(C).

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:energy:v:275:y:2023:i:c:s0360544223008472. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.journals.elsevier.com/energy .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.