IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/energy/v246y2022ics0360544222002109.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Posterior probability-based hydraulic unit division and prediction: A case study

Author

Listed:
  • Yu, Peng

Abstract

Hydraulic units (HUs) with analogous petrophysical and flow characteristics are commonly employed to describe reservoirs. However, their prediction performances would be greatly influenced if the relationship between well-logging parameters and HUs is not well revealed. In this study, the model broke through the dimensionality of the traditional model and expanded the dimensionality of the logging intersection space to three dimensions. Specifically, HUs of cored samples were divided into 5 classes based on flow zone indicators, and the Bayes theorem was used to write a VB program based on the posterior probability to determine the HU class in the 3D cube. Scheme B (RT-2 & AC & SH) exhibited good prediction performances when applied to predict the 30% cored data, with an overall accuracy rate of 90.06%, which exceeded that of the artificial neural network (80.45%). Therefore, scheme B was applied to predict HUs of un-cored wells. Then, sequential instruction simulation was conducted on HUs of inter wells in the Petrel software, based on which well section analysis was performed to identify the relationship between lithology and predicted HUs. HUs of wells with similar production time were dynamically verified based on the perforation thickness data of HUs, which were combined with the production performance data to confirm the distribution rationality of predicted HUs along the well trajectory. When planning infill wells, injection and production wells should be deployed in the same HU class to ensure good connectivity. HU#2 and HU#3 with relatively good quality occupy more than 26% (7.78% + 18.93%) of the total geological space, and they should be the main targets in the future remaining oil exploitation. More attention should be paid in the future to refine the interpretation results of well-logging parameters.

Suggested Citation

  • Yu, Peng, 2022. "Posterior probability-based hydraulic unit division and prediction: A case study," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 246(C).
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:energy:v:246:y:2022:i:c:s0360544222002109
    DOI: 10.1016/j.energy.2022.123307
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0360544222002109
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.energy.2022.123307?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Azadeh, A. & Tarverdian, S., 2007. "Integration of genetic algorithm, computer simulation and design of experiments for forecasting electrical energy consumption," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 35(10), pages 5229-5241, October.
    2. Chaturvedi, Krishna Raghav & Sinha, A.S.K. & Nair, Vishnu Chandrasekharan & Sharma, Tushar, 2021. "Enhanced carbon dioxide sequestration by direct injection of flue gas doped with hydrogen into hydrate reservoir: Possibility of natural gas production," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 227(C).
    3. Dong, Xiaohu & Liu, Huiqing & Chen, Zhangxin & Wu, Keliu & Lu, Ning & Zhang, Qichen, 2019. "Enhanced oil recovery techniques for heavy oil and oilsands reservoirs after steam injection," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 239(C), pages 1190-1211.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. He, Liuyue & Xu, Zhenci & Wang, Sufen & Bao, Jianxia & Fan, Yunfei & Daccache, Andre, 2022. "Optimal crop planting pattern can be harmful to reach carbon neutrality: Evidence from food-energy-water-carbon nexus perspective," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 308(C).
    2. You, Junyu & Ampomah, William & Sun, Qian, 2020. "Co-optimizing water-alternating-carbon dioxide injection projects using a machine learning assisted computational framework," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 279(C).
    3. Muhammad Fayaz & DoHyeun Kim, 2018. "Energy Consumption Optimization and User Comfort Management in Residential Buildings Using a Bat Algorithm and Fuzzy Logic," Energies, MDPI, vol. 11(1), pages 1-22, January.
    4. Verdone, Alessio & Scardapane, Simone & Panella, Massimo, 2024. "Explainable Spatio-Temporal Graph Neural Networks for multi-site photovoltaic energy production," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 353(PB).
    5. Anufriev, I.S. & Kopyev, E.P. & Alekseenko, S.V. & Sharypov, O.V. & Vigriyanov, M.S., 2022. "New ecology safe waste-to-energy technology of liquid fuel combustion with superheated steam," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 250(C).
    6. Zhao, Xin & Geng, Qi & Zhang, Zhen & Qiu, Zhengsong & Fang, Qingchao & Wang, Zhiyuan & Yan, Chuanliang & Ma, Yongle & Li, Yang, 2023. "Phase change material microcapsules for smart temperature regulation of drilling fluids for gas hydrate reservoirs," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 263(PB).
    7. Zhen-Yao Chen & R. J. Kuo, 2019. "Combining SOM and evolutionary computation algorithms for RBF neural network training," Journal of Intelligent Manufacturing, Springer, vol. 30(3), pages 1137-1154, March.
    8. Golberg, Alexander, 2015. "Environmental exergonomics for sustainable design and analysis of energy systems," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 88(C), pages 314-321.
    9. Xu, Qingyang & Sun, Feihu & Cai, Qiran & Liu, Li-Jing & Zhang, Kun & Liang, Qiao-Mei, 2022. "Assessment of the influence of demand-side responses on high-proportion renewable energy system: An evidence of Qinghai, China," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 190(C), pages 945-958.
    10. Camilo Andrés Guerrero-Martin & Angie Tatiana Ortega-Ramírez & Paula Alejandra Perilla Rodríguez & Shalom Jireth Reyes López & Laura Estefanía Guerrero-Martin & Raúl Salinas-Silva & Stefanny Camacho-G, 2023. "Analysis of Environmental Sustainability through a Weighting Matrix in the Oil and Gas Industry," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(11), pages 1-16, June.
    11. Shen, Peiliang & Jiang, Yi & Zhang, Yangyang & Liu, Songhui & Xuan, Dongxing & Lu, Jianxin & Zhang, Shipeng & Poon, Chi Sun, 2023. "Production of aragonite whiskers by carbonation of fine recycled concrete wastes: An alternative pathway for efficient CO2 sequestration," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 173(C).
    12. Yao, Yue & Sun, Deqiang & Xu, Jin-Hua & Wang, Bin & Peng, Guohong & Sun, Bingmei, 2023. "Evaluation of enhanced oil recovery methods for mature continental heavy oil fields in China based on geology, technology and sustainability criteria," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 278(PB).
    13. Wang, Sen & Qin, Chaoxu & Feng, Qihong & Javadpour, Farzam & Rui, Zhenhua, 2021. "A framework for predicting the production performance of unconventional resources using deep learning," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 295(C).
    14. Li, Fengyun & Zheng, Haofeng & Li, Xingmei & Yang, Fei, 2021. "Day-ahead city natural gas load forecasting based on decomposition-fusion technique and diversified ensemble learning model," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 303(C).
    15. Aydin, Gokhan, 2014. "Modeling of energy consumption based on economic and demographic factors: The case of Turkey with projections," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 35(C), pages 382-389.
    16. Wang, Lian & Yao, Yuedong & Wang, Kongjie & Adenutsi, Caspar Daniel & Zhao, Guoxiang & Lai, Fengpeng, 2022. "Hybrid application of unsupervised and supervised learning in forecasting absolute open flow potential for shale gas reservoirs," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 243(C).
    17. Chai, Maojie & Nourozieh, Hossein & Chen, Zhangxin & Yang, Min, 2022. "A semi-compositional approach to model asphaltene precipitation and deposition in solvent-based bitumen recovery processes," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 328(C).
    18. Qiao, Weibiao & Liu, Wei & Liu, Enbin, 2021. "A combination model based on wavelet transform for predicting the difference between monthly natural gas production and consumption of U.S," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 235(C).
    19. Zheng, Peng & Xia, Yucheng & Yao, Tingwei & Jiang, Xu & Xiao, Peiyao & He, Zexuan & Zhou, Desheng, 2022. "Formation mechanisms of hydraulic fracture network based on fracture interaction," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 243(C).
    20. Miaomiao Tao & Pierre Failler & Lim Thye Goh & Wee Yeap Lau & Hanghang Dong & Liang Xie, 2022. "Quantify the Effect of China’s Emission Trading Scheme on Low-carbon Eco-efficiency: Evidence from China’s 283 Cities," Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change, Springer, vol. 27(6), pages 1-33, August.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:energy:v:246:y:2022:i:c:s0360544222002109. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.journals.elsevier.com/energy .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.