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Fire risk prevention in underground coal gasification (UCG) within active mines: Temperature forecast by means of MARS models

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  • Krzemień, Alicja

Abstract

This paper focuses on fire prevention in UCG processes within active mines by means of temperature forecasting by a multivariate adaptive regression splines (MARS) approach. The main aim was to develop a model to forecast the temperature of the syngas with one hour of anticipation based on information from different parameters measured every hour (snapshots) during the experiment. As the response time of the syngas temperature to modifications in the composition/amounts of the gasifying agent is very short, this will reduce the temperature if necessary while keeping it as high as possible within the safety parameters, as UCG is a strongly exothermic process. The same model can be used to prevent undesired drops in the temperature of the syngas, as low temperatures could increase the precipitation of contaminants, causing a slowdown in the syngas flow and thus decreasing its calorific value.

Suggested Citation

  • Krzemień, Alicja, 2019. "Fire risk prevention in underground coal gasification (UCG) within active mines: Temperature forecast by means of MARS models," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 170(C), pages 777-790.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:energy:v:170:y:2019:i:c:p:777-790
    DOI: 10.1016/j.energy.2018.12.179
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

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    2. Aleksander Frejowski & Jan Bondaruk & Adam Duda, 2021. "Challenges and Opportunities for End-of-Life Coal Mine Sites: Black-to-Green Energy Approach," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(5), pages 1-18, March.
    3. Majid Mohammady, 2023. "Badland erosion susceptibility mapping using machine learning data mining techniques, Firozkuh watershed, Iran," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 117(1), pages 703-721, May.
    4. Yanpeng Chen & Tianduoyi Wang & Jinhua Zhang & Mengyuan Zhang & Junjie Xue & Juntai Shi & Yongshang Kang & Shengjie Li, 2022. "Simulation of Water Influx and Gasified Gas Transport during Underground Coal Gasification with Controlled Retracting Injection Point Technology," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(11), pages 1-29, May.
    5. Aroa González Fuentes & Nélida M. Busto Serrano & Fernando Sánchez Lasheras & Gregorio Fidalgo Valverde & Ana Suárez Sánchez, 2020. "Prediction of Health-Related Leave Days among Workers in the Energy Sector by Means of Genetic Algorithms," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(10), pages 1-16, May.
    6. Li, Xin & Tian, Jijun & Ju, Yiwen & Chen, Yanpeng, 2022. "Permeability variations of lignite and bituminous coals under elevated pyrolysis temperatures (35–600 °C): An experimental study," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 254(PA).
    7. Chen, Liangzhou & Qi, Xuyao & Zhang, Yabo & Rao, Yuxuan & Wang, Tao, 2022. "Gasification characteristics and thermodynamic analysis of ultra-lean oxygen oxidized lignite residues," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 240(C).

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