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Energy-related climate change mitigation in Brazil: Potential, abatement costs and associated policies

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  • Borba, Bruno S.M.C.
  • Lucena, André F.P.
  • Rathmann, Régis
  • Costa, Isabella V.L.
  • Nogueira, Larissa P.P.
  • Rochedo, Pedro R.R.
  • Castelo Branco, David A.
  • Júnior, Mauricio F.H.
  • Szklo, Alexandre
  • Schaeffer, Roberto

Abstract

This paper estimates the potential for energy-related greenhouse gas emission (GHG) reductions in Brazil, their abatement costs and proposes a number of policies to achieve these reductions. The Brazilian energy system is very peculiar as renewable energy accounts for some 45% of total primary energy and 85% of electricity production. The following sectors are covered in this paper: industry, transports and petroleum sector. Compared to a business-as-usual reference scenario, results show a potential to reduce future energy-related GHG emissions by 27% in 2030. However, in spite of that, the mitigation potential identified here is not large enough, in absolute terms, to reduce energy-related GHG emissions below the current level in Brazil by 2030.

Suggested Citation

  • Borba, Bruno S.M.C. & Lucena, André F.P. & Rathmann, Régis & Costa, Isabella V.L. & Nogueira, Larissa P.P. & Rochedo, Pedro R.R. & Castelo Branco, David A. & Júnior, Mauricio F.H. & Szklo, Alexandre &, 2012. "Energy-related climate change mitigation in Brazil: Potential, abatement costs and associated policies," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 49(C), pages 430-441.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:enepol:v:49:y:2012:i:c:p:430-441
    DOI: 10.1016/j.enpol.2012.06.040
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    4. Köberle, Alexandre C. & Garaffa, Rafael & Cunha, Bruno S.L. & Rochedo, Pedro & Lucena, André F.P. & Szklo, Alexandre & Schaeffer, Roberto, 2018. "Are conventional energy megaprojects competitive? Suboptimal decisions related to cost overruns in Brazil," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 122(C), pages 689-700.
    5. Manfred Lenzen & Roberto Schaeffer & Jonas Karstensen & Glen Peters, 2013. "Drivers of change in Brazil’s carbon dioxide emissions," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 121(4), pages 815-824, December.
    6. Lima, Fátima & Nunes, Manuel Lopes & Cunha, Jorge & Lucena, André F.P., 2016. "A cross-country assessment of energy-related CO2 emissions: An extended Kaya Index Decomposition Approach," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 115(P2), pages 1361-1374.
    7. Costa, Isabella & Rochedo, Pedro & Costa, Daniele & Ferreira, Paula & Araújo, Madalena & Schaeffer, Roberto & Szklo, Alexandre, 2019. "Placing hubs in CO2 pipelines: An application to industrial CO2 emissions in the Iberian Peninsula," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 236(C), pages 22-31.
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    9. de Aguiar, Thereza R.S. & Freire, Fatima de Souza, 2017. "Shifts in modes of governance and sustainable development in the Brazilian oil sector," European Management Journal, Elsevier, vol. 35(5), pages 701-710.
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